I don’t normally do a post everyday on YouGov’s daily tracking figures – it is, after all, the trend that counts, not the change from day to day. This one is worth noting though. Following on from the net approval rating of zero yesterday, YouGov’s net approval for the government tonight is minus 2 – 39% approve of the government, 41% disapprove of the government. This is the first time the coalition have scored a negative approval rating.

Voting intention tonight is at CON 41%, LAB 38%, LDEM 13%


479 Responses to “YouGov’s government approval turns negative”

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  1. Eoin
    thanks for the Welsh poll result. It does not surprise me that liberal minds turn to national minds in this situation. The difference with the Scots, may i suggest, is that SNP are in sole power there so that they are unable to capitalise (so much) on feelings of rebellion.

    What a pity we do not appear to have a Welsh contributor.
    Back to work.

  2. Howard,

    You make an excellent point. Liberals in Scotland Wales do not really want to switch to red. The highland Libs recent their lowland city folk. The Welsh valleymen, look upon with suspicion the mining areas. The inter country rivalry between lowlanders/highlanders city folk/mining folk is almost as bad as the anti-Enlgishness I have spoke about.

    I was at a Celtic game recently (they were playing Aberdeen). A city no more than 6 (from Glasgow) saw fit to announce the Aberdeen folk’s penchant for shepard related duties.

    In short Howard, it does make sense that they switch to national parties first. I had not thought of it…

    Only in the leafy suburbs of Edinburgh/Cardiff do we have flux between red/yellow is sufficient numebrs to make one consider whol seats switching hands…

  3. If Labour acknowledge their control freak ways and stubborness in believing they are always right, they might just start to regain a level of support.
    ————————————————–
    I found this part of R Huckle’s post very pertinent because..

    … I believe the exact opposite. I thought Labour were too willing to be ‘wrong’ & to listen to the media, focus groups, businessmen & bankers. Which is where all the allegations of ‘spin’ & ‘triangulation’ came from.

    Being accused of triangualtion & focus groupery; yet being castigated for always being convinced Labour was right about everything…. A no win scenario but coming soon to the new government too, I’d guess! 8-)

  4. Amber,

    i am particulary proud that Gordon tried to listen and be collegiate. Citizen juries were a great idea. The big talk, the big listen, moving cabinet meetings, focus groups, having your say, downing street petitions. It is all good and the fact the Cameron has kept it all would suggest he thought so to. Brwon’s citizenship tests, his attempts to discuss what it meant to be British. His inviation to Campbell to let the LDs join government. His governmen tof all the talents. His rapid promotion of bLairites, his invitation of Thatcher. I welcomed and applauded them all. He made more appearances in PArl than his predecessor his 67 proposlas to change the way parliament worked for the better were great ideas..

    Gordon was gruff, lacked emotional intelligence, lost his temper too easily, over estimated his own intelligence….. but I do think that history will judge that he tried very very hard to listen. I think the problem was that we had heard that many bad things about him that ‘we’ were not ready to listen to him. I’d welcome him back as our leader in the morning.

  5. That’s strange, Eoin. Did you not get the email from Ken Livingstone urging us all the back Ed Milliband?

  6. Sue,

    thanks for that. Lol. Is red Ken backing EM? Well i’ll be damned. No I didnt (or if I did it has gone straight in the deleted items). Obviously, I think the criticism stands for either of the two of them.

    I thought it interesting the regional location of all five’s campaign headquarters… poor Ed Balls – it does not look like he every properly thought through how he might run a campaign. Do you think he ever believed he could win? I don’t.

  7. Eoin – I don’t know, I’m meeting him next Saturday, I’ll ask him!! lol

  8. Sue,

    Give a cuddle for me- tell him if Yvette kicks him out – he’ll always have a palce at mine lol.

  9. Correction : I’m sorry, Ken called for Lab members to back Ed Balls, not Ed Miliband.

  10. New ITV Wales/ Yougov Welsh poll
    Headline figures
    Labour-39%, Plaid Cymru-23%, Conservative-22%, Lib Dem-10% (Lowest ever poll rating for Welsh Assembly election), Others-6%
    http://itvwales.wordpress.com/2010/08/25/yougov-poll-results-show-support-for-lib-dems-is-still-falling/

  11. Sue,

    Ahh- that would make a wee bit more sense. Mr Livingstone has had an eventful career that is for sure. Whose voice carries more influence do you think ? Him or Crudeass?

  12. Eoin – Can’t help yourself, can you? :twisted:

  13. These article sconfused me greatly. Is there an inherent contradiction in these two BBC articles.

    h ttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4268142.stm

    h ttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-11094655

    _________________________________
    Sue – apoligies I could not help that one no

  14. @ Amber Star – “Karaoke style singing & comedy are often the favourites.”

    I’m looking foward to Roland’s reprise of well loved film roles. ;)

  15. Backing another candidate may be Ball’s best move now, provided he picks a winner. Irrespective of his qualities, he was always going to struggle due to his media caricature as Brown’s dog of war. That said, I think his campaign and his attacks on Gove have served him well. Not sure why Ken Follett thought it was worth donating £100,000 to someone who stands almost no chance of winning.

    I was disappointed to read comments on here recently suggesting Alastair Darling had ruled himself out of future front line politics – I had been under the impression that he was prepared to stay on?

  16. Amber – I am a HUGE fan of Karaoke!! (I say these things now with a trembling sense of freakiness…..)

  17. @R Huckle – “This will be particularly the case with new MP’s and inexperienced ministers.”

    ‘Spending more time with the family’ might become an irresistible option.

    @Michael V – I think AD has had enough – he made an announcement he would not stand for re-election to the shadow cabinet.

  18. Michael,

    I agree. Although his politics and my own are very close even I will not be voting him. It saddens me that this is so but it is the right thing to do. Foisting a Brownite upon the party is not really what we need.

    AB is not as close to me on policy but his halfway house would be more unifying. In addition he has the likeability and charm of a leader.

  19. Having been the proverbial safe pair of hands for so long he (AD) deserves a life.

  20. Michael,

    With some of the money that Ed B raised, he (and CWU) commissioned a poll (YG carried it out) on the Post Office privatisation. Readers will note that the Blairite wing of the party of keen to part privatise it. The YG poll reported 60% were against any privatisation of the Post Office.

    Perhaps Ed Balls is simply trying to shape policy and has already accepted he will not win.

  21. Hello luvies,
    me here Rolly Redhat, wot say Gordon Brown for international development job on Milliblokes front bench ? You heard it first from Rolly Redhat.

  22. Roland – on a serious note, what would a blue like you think of a return to the front bench of AD and GB?

  23. Can’t see Brown wanting to return to the front bench, an NGO seems more likely.

  24. Michael V

    I can’t see it either

  25. Me neither, was just interested to know what Blues would think.

  26. Old Nat
    I did think long and hard before posting hence the use of “mass” starvation. I fully (I hope) appreciate the significance of the Scottish dimension to the potato famine but thought it might seem to be putting it on the same footing as the Irish great famine or the Scottish great dearth of the 1690s.
    I was headteacher in Farr High School where we did a lot of work on this local history which was fairly controversial locally.
    Eoin
    Your political geography of Scotland is a bit scatter-gun. The Labour Party has never been exclusively the party of the central belt in part because of how close the migratory patterns were. Glasgow’s left-wing papers wee covering events in Barra more than a century ago. The Labour Party eclipsed the Liberal Party in the Outer Hebrides 70 years agoand was strong throughout the Highlands until the SDP split. C Kennedy while from a family with radical Liberal links was in the Labour Party until the brink of becoming a candidate. Caithness and Sutherland with Britain’s emptiest spaces was Labour until the incumbant MacLennan defected.
    However also remember Aberdeen and its hinterland is in no sense Highlad culturally. We are celebrating the 600th anniversary of the defeat of Highland gaelic depradations in the coming year. And Aberdeen arguably has a stronger Labour history than Glasgow before the 1960s.
    Sue
    Which reminds me. Sue are you still wondering where to campaign in Scotland? Come to Aberdeen. We have it all. Labour’s most marginal defence from SNP, a four way marginal in Aberdeen South and a Labour target from the SNP in Aberdeen Donside. And hey I just might be a candidate.

  27. Roland,

    GB is most likely to take up a job, which pays tuppence and allows him to continue to push for equality in the UK and Africa. Perhaps a UNICEF role or something to that effect. We are also hoping at Queen’s that the undertakes a lecture tour (of the academic type- not the money making sort). GB is an historian afterall.

  28. Oooh, Barney, sounds tempting.

    I think I’ll come for the last week, so that I can enjoy a good election party at my friend’s house. Which seat would you be candidate in?

  29. Barney,

    Yes my geogrpahy of Scotland is at best limited :)

    Yes -My brother lives in Aberdeen.. it is an urban centre (a distinction I made in my post).My joke about the 6 yar old Celtic kid was a reference to the stereotype i nwhich all northerners are held in. I am fully aware that an Aberdonian has an much experience with sheep as a someone in south Lanarkshire. I am also aware that the foot of the highlands is closer to Inverness and that it stretches to the left of it.. I also have family outside Dingwall (I am not sure if I told you that before).

    regarding politicla strenghts in Scotland…

    Liberalism has had its electoral basis in northern Scotland (Cornwall and Wales) since the 1850s. Further to the south they also had strength in the heart of midlothian area.

    In the rural areas of Dumfries, Berwick (the Scot one) or even Inverness the Tories have had some electoral success. Wasnt Rikkind’s seat also to the south east of you?

    Since the 1930s the SNP have had a strong presence also in N Scotland.

    But Belfast lite (Glasgow)/ Edinburgh has always been Labour if I am not mistaken (apart from one or two seats going to blue and yellow respectively.).

  30. @SUE MARSH
    I think one of the 2 is dangerous to us. The other is dangerous to you. By the way, it is M Smithson who is talking about Gordy Brune.

  31. Eoin
    Are you aware of the West Highland Free Press?
    I would particularly direct you to the Rev Donnie “Foot” McLeod, a wonderful writer who will give you a flavour of a still live Highland tradition

  32. Barney,

    I am not but I will look it up… My wee man competed in the Srath (peffer) games this year. He also attened the Black Isle show. He is very much still the proud Scot.

  33. Thanks Rolly RedHat

  34. Eoin
    Glasgow/Edinburgh
    The shocking truth is that Edinburgh was a Conservative strong hold until not that long ago. I don’t think Labour had had a majority on the Council until the 70s? I am not absolutely sure about Glasgow but I think the first Labour Provost was in the 50s? Rifkind is Edinburgh through and through. Remember that Like Belfast in Glasgow and Edinburgh sectarianism was a major feature. In the 30s Edinburgh had I think three very extreme anti-Catholic Orange councillors

  35. Barney,

    Useful information- thank you! It must be quite a releif now to see hoops and blue noses all vote for the one party eh? That’s progress I think.

    My hero was a son of Edinburgh- he carried the Hiberian platers footy botos as a child in the 1880s before setting off for Irleand to casue trouble.

  36. @BARNEY CROCKETT
    What you say fits well with my memories of Edinburgh in the late 70s early 80s. The Morningside Tories were refined people who I imagine would have loved Super Mac and Home, tolerated Heath and deserted Thatcher as if she were a street walker. I can only reiterate what I said the other day, whatever I may approve of regarding Mrs T, she was as successful in Scotland as Johnny Cope.

  37. Just floated through this afternoon’s correspondence.

    Roll on Independence (for England).

  38. Sue
    That would be great. I am off this evening for an informal get-together of Labour members in Aberdeen Donside in which I live.

  39. @HOWARD
    I SECOND THAT MOTION. Then it will be like old times, my lot verses your lot and no interference from socialism.

  40. Roland,

    You forget the half a million Irish who live in ScouseLand. There aint a Tory MP in Mersyside and the only Lib in town is John Pugh. Thus, Liverpool will lawyas be a thorn in your side :P

  41. I don’t know whether any of you have noticed but I can understand why Germany exports are booming.
    Euro value:
    Nov 2009 now
    £ 0.95 0.82
    $ 1.50 1.27

    Hope that comes out right as a table.

    Of course Greece and every other Euro country has the same advantage as Germany so no excuse.

    I stil think the urge to join will come back after the political fashions change. Our stuff is very dear over there and a tourist complained to me last week that ‘Britain is a very expensive country to visit.

    When GB sold the gold he bought mostly euros. Even now he made 50% on that one as well as acquiring a more useful reserve.

  42. Actually 93p lat Nov -mustn’t exaggerate.

  43. @EOIN
    Do you know, this keeps happening, the other day I replied to a post of Valerie’s, I went through the usual Labour strongholds in England and left out Merseyside. I just do not think of it as English. I feel more at home in Leige or Antwerp than I would in Liverpool.
    Tell me Eoin, are the Irish particularly left wing? The Scots are, The Welsh are now less so (or are they) but, what about the Irish.

  44. Roland
    On the button
    When we had our first council meeting after we were elected it was Apologies on the agenda and one conservative said “everything we did from 1979 until 2007”
    Howard
    I wonder why we don’t have Welsh contributers?
    Eoin
    Blue and green? In Scotland it is a sensitive subject to talk about. I was surprised that thes things get talked about by politicians in a light-hearted (apparently) way eg too many left footers in England’s squad!

  45. Eoin wrote
    Thus, Liverpool will always be a thorn in your side

    Perhaps we could give it a sort of Hong Kong status.

  46. Eoin
    I meant discussed in Northern Ireland

  47. Roland,

    Very good question. I would say that Catholic Ireland is quite right wing. We tend to be very very socially conservative. Divorce was only legalsied in Irleand in 1995 and it is very difficult to actually get one. Abortion is still illegal. Coroporate business is rampantly right wing.

    The Irish that travel especially to Englsih cities have a deference to the LAbour movement simply because they treated us better than the Tories. But the reverance for Labour is more ot do with their stance on the national question. That same reverance used to be held for the Liberal Deomcrats.

    Northern Irish catholics are different. Since we have received strong condemnation from the Catholic Chruch for our military campaign against England (the one which you are all too familiar with) it led to the development of a strong anti-clericla sentiment in Belfast and parts of Derry. These areas particularly men are quite left wing but almost Trotskyite.

    Our rural Northern irish areas are very conservative. We tend not to do contracpetion and marriage usally occurs at a young age.

    Remove the national question from irish politics and you might have a propoer Tory country. At least the Americans think so. Any strain of Christian socialism is more linked to charitable work that actual votes.

    Our Labour party movement in Belfast is practically all Brits and incredibly few Catholics. lol. I hoep that answers your question Roland.

  48. Barney,

    That post made me laugh. It is the most striking feature of Northern Irish society. If we were to be sensitive about it then I am afraid it would be a very large elephant in the room.

    Endogamy is practised by 97% of our population (excluding myself). Segregation is 90% along religous grounds. Only 38,000 of our kids go to mixed religion schools. Beleive me, it is far too big of an issue to ignore.

    I teach 20 century Irish politics at queen’s university. One of my first challenges every September is to break the ice between two opposing faiths who have never even sat in the same room before.

  49. @EOIN
    Thanks that helped. You may wonder why I do not understand more, but your explanation kinda says it all.
    Out in the sticks chatting up some farmer and his lady, Royal Blue “I love the queen more than you do son”.
    In certain republican quarters, I may as well have been questioning a bloody Russian.

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