There is also a YouGov pre-budget poll in this morning’s Sun. In MORI’s poll they showed a drop in economic confidence, YouGov (who ask about the financial situation in people’s own household, rather than the economy as a whole) found an even sharper drop, down to -43, the worst since last January.

Nevertheless, people on balance supported the government’s economic policy, with 47% expecting cuts to be good for the economy compared to 30% bad. However, the public were evenly split on whether the cuts risks puttign the country back into recession and whether they would be carried out in a far manner or not. Blame for the impending cuts continued to be placed upon the outgoing Labour government, with 49% blaming Labour, 19% the coalition and 18% both of them.

Respondents expressed strong support for both an increase in the personal tax allowance (64% support) and a new tax on banks (76% support). Asked about other specific tax rises, the most popular were the “sin taxes” on alcohol and cigarettes, higher corporation tax and a rise in the higher rate of income tax. This is pretty much par for the course – polls normally show the most popular taxes being those on people richer than the respondent, those on businesses and the “sin taxes”.

The least popular options were higher petrol duty, higher council tax, VAT on food and childrens clothes, or an increase in the basic rate of income tax.

UPDATE: Tables are here

UPDATE2: Voting intention figures from the poll are now also up on the YouGov website here (and lest it be misconstrued by me putting it up at 4pm, these are pre-budget voting intention figures from yesterday). Voting intention stands at CON 41%, LAB 33%, LDEM 18%. Note that these are also being carried out with YouGov’s new post-election weighting figures, of which much more later.


54 Responses to “YouGov pre-budget poll”

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  1. Eoin – “all polling evidence indicated that ordinary folk would rather pay higher income tax than let pensioners, children and the impoverished pay VAT.”

    All polling?

    If there were a choice, which of the following tax changes, all of which would raise similar revenue, would you least object to?
    Raising VAT from 17.5% to 20% – 39%
    Increasing National Insurance contributions by 2.5% – 27%
    Increasing the basic rate of income tax from 20% to 22.5% – 19%
    Don’t know – 15%

    http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-110610.pdf

  2. Interestingly, according to the recent Guradian poll, Tory voters are slightly more likely than Labour ones to favour a rise in taxes as opposed to a cut in public spending.

  3. Interesting looking at different front pages today – one saying the poor will suffer most, one saying Osborne is taxing the rich and one saying its an attack on the middle classes. Maybe a sign that there is some balance.

    Personally, I think a lot of the tax measures make sense. I’d even support the rise on VAT, encouraging rampant consumerism is no long term solution economically and is an environmentally unsustainable approach.

    I have more reservations about some of the welfare cuts, esopecially freezing child benefit and reducing the cap on housing benefit. Could create a lot of strain in the system.

  4. Hmmm, as I said above I think this budget is not the instant “honeymoon ender” I originally thought it could be. True they’ll be a dip until the headlines move onto something else (England win world cup – ahem!) but it looks like the public service cuts will take time to be worked out , gather momentum and be noticed by numbers of people that things that used to be on offer aren’t any more or need to be paid for, or quality of service dips.

    It’ll be more like a slow erosion of the Conservative lead. Could be 6 months before we see anything in the polls we can attribute to this.

    Yes, it is bad enough. it’s just that a lot of the “bad” probably isn’t going to be apparent just yet.

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