YouGov’s daily poll for the Sun is out early (it seemed a bit pointless to put it out at the same time the debate started, by the time anyone noticed it, it would have been out of date!).

The topline figures are CON 34%(+1), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 28%(-3). That’s the lowest score that YouGov have given the Lib Dems since the first debate, and the highest they have given to the Conservatives. Perhaps the media onslaught upon Nick Clegg has started to damage him… or perhaps it is just down to random sample error. We may never know, since the next round of polling will most likely be after the second leaders’ debate.


323 Responses to “YouGov/Sun – 34/29/28”

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  1. GB being a bit smarmy and a fist thumping type mood. NC trying to get a laugh and corner GB a little. NC policy on immigration is frightening. Trying to belittle both NC and DC now…looks a little silly and desparate.
    GB tone looks more like he’s giving a speech every time to me….but he’s waaaay better than last week.

  2. “You can’t deport 900,000 people if you don’t know where they live”.

    A brilliant line that took a long time to be delivered.

    But it’s still brilliant.

    Response to GB’s amnesty charge not thought through though:

    You simply time date it. Anyone here illegally who does not come forward, or entering illegally once an amnesty is agreed, is automatically deported if discovered.

  3. Clegg is almost looking – dare I say it – inexperienced in the middle of two heavyweights. Interrupting too much. Impressed with both Brown and Cameron tonight.

  4. This is non-partisan, I am just baffled that no-one seems to pick up on GB’s claim that not imposing a £6bn tax is somehow ‘taking money out of the economy’?
    How can NOT doing something take money out of the economy? It’s complete nonsense.

  5. Overall I still think Nick Clegg did better than the other two though Brown and Cameron improved over their performance last week.

    Closing statement specially, Nick Clegg did better.

  6. GB’s close – strident rather than “desperate”.

    DC’s closing statement very relaxed & impressive.

    NC’s same as last week… no change to his ‘change’ speech :-)

  7. Ha! Nick Clegg just did an “I agree with Nick” lol

  8. A very robust and resounding performance from DC tonight it has to be said, NC and DC have literally swapped places in more than one sense.

    As for GB, its the same sickening lies, spin and broken/empty promises- a belly rumble of a performance.
    It might have worked in ’07, dont think it will now sir!!

    Just to vent a spleen, I am disgusted at the BBCs refusal to reconsider their position regarding SNP/Plaid partaking in the final debate.

  9. I sense people are getting fed up of Camerons PR speak. It is all about the message to him. He takes up stances, rather than sensible thought through positions.

    Brown a bit too agressive questioning the others and a bit dogmatic. Last week Clegg scored because he answered the questions, this time around he was on the back foot a little.

    In regard to the issues, score draw between Cameron and Brown, in relation to those that support their polarised positions. Clegg a step back, as some of the issues raised perhaps not a strong point for the Libs.

    Prediction for the polls, once the debate filters through.

    Con 35%, Labour 31%, Libs 26%

    Still heading for a hung parliament. Tories still need to convince people that they are the change they want.

  10. Cameron won today I thought – I’d expect the polls to show 36/29/26, depending on media reaction to the debate.

  11. Sharing 100

    Clegg 34
    Cameron 33.5
    Brown 32.5

  12. Can’t believe NI comes up so much!

    As a few commentators have pointed out already, £6bn is, relatively, peanuts. It’s not exactly as if it’s removed from the economy, simply being spent by different people. Probably won’t make much difference on jobs either though.

  13. I sense people are getting fed up of Camerons PR speak. It is all about the message to him. He takes up stances, rather than sensible thought through positions.

    Brown a bit too agressive questioning the others and a bit dogmatic. Last week Clegg scored because he answered the questions, this time around he was on the back foot a little.

    In regard to the issues, score draw between Cameron and Brown, in relation to those that support their polarised positions. Clegg a step back, as some of the issues raised perhaps not a strong point for the Libs.

    Prediction for the polls, once the debate filters through.

    Con 35%, Labour 31%, Libs 26%

    Still heading for a hung parliament. Tories still need to convince people that they are the change they want. Not sure the Libs can sustain their position.

  14. @ Pete B
    That’s correct though. As the government is running a deficit the six bill is debt funded. By implementing the spending cuts earlier the net effect is six bill less economic activity – at the cost of more debt. The issue is whether it is more urgent to cut or to get the wheels going again.

  15. Close run thing between Cameron and Clegg, Clegg’s closing speech may have just swung it in his favour.

  16. Very interesting watching the ‘worm’ reaction live.

    It was positive virtually the whole time, when all 3 were speaking.

    The only time it went below neutral was when DC was spouting on about ‘the only way to bring real change was to vote Conservative.’

    The worm dived to negative !

  17. GB was much better this week, DC was better too, and NC was shown to be green and inexperienced.

    This will,in my opinion, lead to an small increase in the Conservative and Labour vote, and drop the LD’s a bit

  18. Isn’t that Lady presenting for Sky annoying and useless?

  19. “That’s correct though. As the government is running a deficit the six bill is debt funded. By implementing the spending cuts earlier the net effect is six bill less economic activity – at the cost of more debt”

    If you tax less and spend less the deficit remains the same.

    The impact on economic activity will depend on how much the private hands that £6bn ends up in spend it on things and how much they use to pay off their own debts.

  20. Just caught the last half hour. As a Clegg fan I must confess to finding him less than impressive tonight. Cameron was hugely better than the first debate, and Brown was also better, but Clegg skewered him on the immigration issue.

    Overall, Cameron then Clegg then Brown but Cameron and Brown improved from last week while Clegg slipped back. I doubt though that this debate will have the same sort of impact that the first one did, and expect little shift in the polls.

  21. Nick Clegg was the winner all the way through.

  22. According to the Angus Ried website, Nick Clegg won again, DC second and GB third.

    I doubt GB would ever win – if it was a debate regarding the colour of grass, and GB said it was green, DC said it was pink and NC said it was blue, I’m sure GB would still come third.

  23. I agree Pete b . no one is interested in facts only style .This is not a game, it is about watching our country go into teminal decline.

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