Comments on: Lib Dems overtake Labour

By: geoffthegreen

geoffthegreen — Sun, 18 Apr 2010 21:38:08 +0000

the improvement in libdem standing as a result of equal coverage makes one wonder what would happen to “other” support if they got anything resembling fair coverage

By: tom newell

tom newell — Sat, 17 Apr 2010 17:32:22 +0000

Emigrating is very difficult for most people but I am quite certain that, if Labour form the next government, there will be a large exodus.

Five more years of Labour is just unthinkable and frankly, if they form the government with 27% of the vote I think there will be serious unrest.

Surely, the next week will see Clegg as pro-immigration, pro-Europe and that his policies will leave the country with a less effective military than Iran.

By: Yakobs

Yakobs — Sat, 17 Apr 2010 17:12:57 +0000

Rob Sheffield

The reason I said anything could happen and no-one knows is because that’s actually what I think ie I don’t rule out the Conservative vote falling below 30% or the LibDems actually getting the highest share of the popular vote.

As regards marginals, the answer to your question is No. I have never argued that! If I am following the marginals correctly, as reported, (and I may not be) I have picked up the impression that the swing to the Conservatives was higher than the national swing.

By: Raf

Raf — Sat, 17 Apr 2010 17:05:08 +0000

Bill Roy
I agree completely that Lab have been desperately trying to push Cameron to the right. And that the Tory inner circle have thought (like the rest of us to date) that this would be electoral suicide for Cameron.

However, whether the current LD surge is temporary or not, it has scuppered DC’s carefully crafted campaign to appeal to the centre ground. There will now be intense pressure on DC to find some clear blue water. And for the first time of late this now makes sense. After all, if we accept Lab and LD are largely centrist/c left, the Tories are the only party on the Right.

How DC deals with this change of strategy (or not) will determine his fate.

By: ROB SHEFFIELD

ROB SHEFFIELD — Sat, 17 Apr 2010 17:04:34 +0000

yokobs

“what is really needed is to see whether what has happened so far is replicated in the marginals – I suspect to some extent but probably not to the extent of the national polls.”

The voice of conservative optimism- bon chance. But aren’t you the type who always argues that national swings between parties are heightened in ‘the marginals’?