Sky News are reporting tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sunday Times as having topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 17%(nc). There is clearly no significant change in the voting intention, and YouGov now seem to be showing lead of around 4 or 5 points, down from a week ago when their lead seemed pretty consistent at 6 points.

UPDATE: Looking at the rest of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll, the public think that the Conservatives are far more likely to cut spending on frontline public services by 50% to 14%. However, they also think the Conservatives are more likely to increase taxes (by 37% to 26%). The implication is that people think the Conservatives are more likely to actually cut down the deficit… but that this is not necessarily a political plus!

With Samantha Cameron about to join the campaign trail, there was also a question asked whether she or Sarah Brown would make the better Prime Ministerial consort – 29% said Sarah Brown to 25% for Samantha Cameron.


439 Responses to “YouGov Sunday Times poll – 37/33/17”

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  1. Eoin Clarke

    If it’s not confidential, what is the topic of your research?

  2. I have a publication in the pipeline. My interest is gender equality. This book was for my Doctoral thesis. PIRA women 1969-83. Basic conclusion, nationalsim offers no equality to women. It took me 300 pages to say that.

    My next work will be Women & islam/ palestine. My aim is to show that Christians perceive other religion sto be more gender inequal than our own. Incorrectly, in my view.

    But since the research has not been done, that opinion will laways surely change. Hence the 300 pages is more bou tfiguring out what I think. lol

  3. @SUE MARSH
    I hardly call the bunch of private educated (or the VERY BEST of state educated)

  4. Eoin Clarke

    “nationalism offers no equality to women.”

    Mrs Nat could have told you that! :-)

    But thanks. That’s interesting.

  5. Eoin – “Inform Communication Political Opinion Poll?”

    They do, they did the voting intention poll last month. They seem to be kosher.

    A sample of 1000 is fine, heterogenity of opinion doesn’t really come into the necessary sample size (especially given that however diverse their opinions are, they are still forced into the boxes the questionnaire designer offers them).

  6. I went to public (independent school). I know all about poverty, deprivation and the hardships of ordinary life. I am sure there are people from state schools in rural Oxfordshire who know nothing about any of those things.

    Cameron is clearly from the privileged class, but that is to do with the income bracket of his parents. I resent the implication that the type of school you attended alone marks out what you can and cannot understand.

  7. … politico types who dominate the government cabinet representative of the average Joe/Jane in the street!!

  8. “I went to public (independent school). I know all about poverty, deprivation and the hardships of ordinary life. I am sure there are people from state schools in rural Oxfordshire who know nothing about any of those things.

    Cameron is clearly from the privileged class, but that is to do with the income bracket of his parents. I resent the implication that the type of school you attended alone marks out what you can and cannot understand.”

    Fear not. The poverty-stricken people these days are people like my father, who earned and appalling £16,000 grand a year, before tax, and yet is taxed for any savings he has accrued in his whole life (i.e. for showing personal responsibility).

    My current thinking is why be like him, when I can get my own house (which I could never do otherwise) by living off the state? I’d be richer than my parents ever were. Less stressful too. [snipped… AW]

  9. Matt – welcome to the site, but it really isn’t a place for posts about how rubbish Labour are (or how rubbish the Conservatives or Lib Dems are) – see the comment policy (linked just about the comment form)

  10. @OldNat,

    Well mrs nat and I share soemthing in common then- that’s good ! :)

  11. Occupation Background of MPs in 2005

    Conservatives:
    Company Executive/Director 32%
    Barrister/Solicitor 20%
    Politician/Political organiser 10%

    Labour:
    Teachers 21%
    Politician/Political organiser 17%
    Misc. white collar worker 20%

  12. @ NEILA
    ” I resent the implication that the type of school you attended alone marks out what you can and cannot understand”

    And you are right to do so NEIL.

    It is a lazy shorthand for the class prejudice which so pervades the tribal corners of our politics.

    To most ordinary, normal people the only thing which matters about a person’s education, is what they got out of it , what they achieved at the end of it and how they used it in their life.

  13. @ EOIN CLARKE

    Will your “nationalism offers no equality to women” paper be published?

    I’d be very interested in reading it.

    Is it from an Irish perspective or more general?

  14. @ ASH
    “Occupation Background of MPs in 2005

    Conservatives:
    Company Executive/Director 32%
    Barrister/Solicitor 20%
    Politician/Political organiser 10%

    Labour:
    Teachers 21%
    Politician/Political organiser 17%
    Misc. white collar worker 20%”

    Did you have any thoughts on these statistics ASH?

    You rather left them hanging in the air-as though you felt they say something.

    I wondered what you thought it was?

  15. @Neila A and Colin are mostly right on this.

    Provided Cameron supports fully the value of meritocracy, his past should not be allowed to constrain him.

    I do think the onus is on someone of Eton / bullingdon background to explicitly commit to meritocracy.

    Colin/NeilA presumably you both agree meritcracy is paramount? I do no tdoubt that you do, migh tI add.

  16. @ Amber,

    Chicago University Press are going to publish the book this year. (I think Liverpool Univeristy in England will have it also)

    It is focused on Irish Catholic women but the findings I think are transferable.

  17. @ EOIN

    Then I shall buy several copies & distribute them amongst my Feminist + Nationalist + Labour friends (of all genders).

    When it goes into print, I hope you will post the REF#.

  18. @ EOIN

    ” Women & islam/ palestine. My aim is to show that Christians perceive other religion sto be more gender inequal than our own. Incorrectly, in my view.”

    Do you mean Christians perceive all “other religions” as more gender unequal…………or just Islam?

    As a matter of interest EOIN what is the purpose of this study-I am intrigued by your “aim” to demonstrate that perception.

  19. @ Colin,

    My interest is gender equality as I say (not relevant to Uk polling might I add).

    What offers women the best hope of equality? given that they are the majority in our society, does liberalism? socialism? nationalism?

    I am sure I will get no closer than many to the answer but I intend to enjoy the quest…..

  20. @Amber, :) :)

    There is quite a lot in it on Labour. For a time, Catholic N Irish women valued them. There are a lot of links between miner’s wives and Irish women. I still think the majority of the constitunecy I researched would hold positive views on Labour. Not least Mo Mowlam.

  21. EOIN
    “Provided Cameron supports fully the value of meritocracy, his past should not be allowed to constrain him.”

    Do you doubt it?

    My perception of “Conservatism” ( at least the one I believe in!) is that it is rooted in meritocracy-that is why they championed Grammar Schools-one of which took me from a working class background.into a profession.

    Despite an awful lot of tip toeing around to avoid Labour’s depressing chant of “elitism” for any hint of selection, Gove is on record as follows :-

    ” Children should be given the opportunity to learn in accordance with their particular aptitude and ability, so that the brightest pupils are stretched and those who might be struggling are given extra support.
    “We want to see more teaching by ability in schools so we can begin to narrow the gap in achievement between those from the most disadvantaged backgrounds and the rest.”

    Seems pretty clear to me.

    What did you mean by “his past should not be allowed to constrain him”?

  22. Eoin,

    I certainly support meritocracy, but also personal freedom. Independent schools cannot and do not claim to be meritocratic. Competition for jobs, promotions, awards etc should be strictly based on the merit of the applicant. It may be that certain applicants’ school background equips them better and therefore increases their chances of success. However, that is true of so many aspects of a person’s background that to try and curtail it would cut so deep into the personal freedoms I believe in as a small ‘L’ liberal that I could never accept it.

    I suspect the underlying philosophy behind a lot of the criticism is that public schools are wrong and should be banned.

  23. A thought…if the Sun had continued to back Labour instead of backing the Cons, would Labour be ahead in the polls now?

  24. @Colin, Neal,

    I note that neither of you backed meritocracy without qualification

    but thats ok- your tories :P

  25. @ MIKE N

    A thought…if the Sun had continued to back Labour instead of backing the Cons, would Labour be ahead in the polls now?
    ————————————————————-
    IMO – No.

  26. Well, Eoin, do you? Would you level down by ensuring that all children receive equal treatment with those who get the worst treatment? Should we slap, demean and discourage all of our children equally just so those with decent parents don’t get an unfair advantage? See what I mean about ‘liberal’?

  27. @ Anthony,

    RE: The Sun Newspaper

    Would you be able to share the YG party weighting for those who confess to being Sun readers?

    Can you disclose if the Sun’s backing of a particular party was a significant factor in YG’s weighting of party id by newspapers read?

    Thanks :-)

  28. Im all for parents having the freedom to send their kids to prrivate schools but I do object to the schools masquerading as ‘charities’ And why dont these parents choose independent universities for their off spring rather than Oxbridge?

  29. @ neil

    :) :) :)

    I had the privelege of Christian brothers lol. So I take the whole lot with a pinch of salt.

    Pre- 2005 I taught in a Nottingham Comp and a Lincolnshire Grammar,

    I found the posh kids in Lincoln had as much deprivation, in many respects, as the comp children.

    Children are children, not sure I like putting them into lots of different categories…. but then what would I know?

  30. @ EOIN
    “I note that neither of you backed meritocracy without qualification”

    You don’t appear able to read.

    Look at my reply

    I back it 100%

    It transformed my life from my background.

    Now then EOIN -explain how resistance to selection by ability is meritocratic please.

  31. Amber

    Tories have extended their lead by 2%

    ICM Con 40(37) Lab 31(30) Lib Dem 20(-).

  32. @ VALERIE
    “And why dont these parents choose independent universities for their off spring rather than Oxbridge?”

    That question says it all!

  33. ALJ-your change figure are wrong . Its

    40( +1)
    31 ( nc )
    20 ( -1)

  34. sorry-40 ( +2)

  35. OK Colin I don’t want to argue.- but I got my figures from the Guardian – Julian Glover

  36. @ Colin,

    Try camomile tea…..

  37. EOIN

    Try answering a question.

    Asking them is easy.

    What do you mean by “meritocracy”?

    ( the answer is not a variety of tea infusion) ;-)

  38. @well colin

    There is no use in having access to the grill room at the Ritz if you cannot afford the bill.

  39. EOIN
    “There is no use in having access to the grill room at the Ritz if you cannot afford the bill.”

    Ah….that sort of meritocracy…….the enforced equality sort.

    For an all too brief moment I thought we were having a serious conversation.

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