YouGov’s daily poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). The lead remains at 5 points, but both the main parties have increased with the Lib Dems down to 16 points again. As I said at the weekend while writing about ICM’s poll, this is often a difficult time for the Liberal Democrats as the media concentrate on the horse race between the Conservatives and Labour in the pre-election period. Once the formal campaign guarantees them a higher level of media coverage I’d expect them to recover.

We are still awaiting a Populus poll of marginal seats. It appears the vote shares are 38/38, but until we know which seats were polled and what swing it represents that’s pretty meaningless.

102 Responses to “YouGov Daily Poll – 39/34/16”

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  1. Mike N,

    The answer does vary depending on the way the question’s asked. The good thing about Yougov’s forced choice question is that it has been asked in exactly the same way since 2004.

  2. there is an assumption that the lib dems will recover as they get more coverage in the general election period. I am not sure that this will be the case. The last 3 elections for pretty clear cut in terms of who was going to form the Government so a lib dem vote had no cost. In an election where it is seen as being close between the two main parties they could well be squeezed despite the extra profile.

    Also Charles Kennedy did have a personality and Paddy Ashdown had gravitas and charisma

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