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	<title>Comments on: New BPIX poll</title>
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	<description>Opinion polling and political analysis</description>
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		<title>By: Statto</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2493/comment-page-5#comment-605436</link>
		<dc:creator>Statto</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 18:16:28 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>What is the relationship between YouGov and BPIX?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is the relationship between YouGov and BPIX?</p>
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		<title>By: John C.</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2493/comment-page-5#comment-605413</link>
		<dc:creator>John C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 17:05:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2493#comment-605413</guid>
		<description>The most decisive component in the prediction game is the unknown: how many people will vote? The Tories are tradtionally more likely to turn out than Labour supporters. What effect will this have? LD loyalists are always keen to vote. Bearing all this in mind and ignoring the uniform swing phenemenon, i suggest the Tories will have a majority of 26 seats with offers of support from a tiny number UU MPs. This will give them a platform from which to govern. They may then regret the many promises they have so earnestly made: more mid-wives, more for the NHS, mending our &#039;broken society&#039;, reform of IHT, reorganisation of education with many more places in so-called &#039;good&#039; schools, tax breaks for married couples, more prison places etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The most decisive component in the prediction game is the unknown: how many people will vote? The Tories are tradtionally more likely to turn out than Labour supporters. What effect will this have? LD loyalists are always keen to vote. Bearing all this in mind and ignoring the uniform swing phenemenon, i suggest the Tories will have a majority of 26 seats with offers of support from a tiny number UU MPs. This will give them a platform from which to govern. They may then regret the many promises they have so earnestly made: more mid-wives, more for the NHS, mending our &#8216;broken society&#8217;, reform of IHT, reorganisation of education with many more places in so-called &#8216;good&#8217; schools, tax breaks for married couples, more prison places etc.</p>
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		<title>By: TrevorsDen</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2493/comment-page-5#comment-605401</link>
		<dc:creator>TrevorsDen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 16:18:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2493#comment-605401</guid>
		<description>Jack - just a point or two.  
Mandelson was staying on that yacht as I seem to recall, ie he was the one hobnobbing with the rich and famous.

Non Doms - I have lost count of labour peers who are non doms and donors.  So whats the fuss about Ashcroft?

First class travel?  As Iain Dale points out - &quot;Labour MP Tom Levitt tells the Sunday Times he should be allowed to travel in first because he is &quot;six feet tall&quot;. LibDem MP Sandra Gidley says she feels &quot;safer&quot; in first class.&quot;  err so whats odd about Winterton pointing out that civil servants get 1st class but MPs don&#039;t.  

In respect of polls - we are currently in the middle of a pre election boom of unprecidented proportions, with the govt spending zillions that it (we) do not have; interest rates held too low and indeed awash with 200 billion of printed money.  Its absolutely amazing that we have one poll with the Tories on 40.  I leave you to judge what the good will be to the country of this spendthrift behaviour  ---  as exposed AFTER the election.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jack &#8211; just a point or two.<br />
Mandelson was staying on that yacht as I seem to recall, ie he was the one hobnobbing with the rich and famous.</p>
<p>Non Doms &#8211; I have lost count of labour peers who are non doms and donors.  So whats the fuss about Ashcroft?</p>
<p>First class travel?  As Iain Dale points out &#8211; &#8220;Labour MP Tom Levitt tells the Sunday Times he should be allowed to travel in first because he is &#8220;six feet tall&#8221;. LibDem MP Sandra Gidley says she feels &#8220;safer&#8221; in first class.&#8221;  err so whats odd about Winterton pointing out that civil servants get 1st class but MPs don&#8217;t.  </p>
<p>In respect of polls &#8211; we are currently in the middle of a pre election boom of unprecidented proportions, with the govt spending zillions that it (we) do not have; interest rates held too low and indeed awash with 200 billion of printed money.  Its absolutely amazing that we have one poll with the Tories on 40.  I leave you to judge what the good will be to the country of this spendthrift behaviour  &#8212;  as exposed AFTER the election.</p>
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		<title>By: Jack</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2493/comment-page-5#comment-605372</link>
		<dc:creator>Jack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 14:11:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&#039;I agree with those who say that the specifics of the Ashcroft case will be quickly forgotten. But the damage is already done. The process is incremental: the Deripaska affair and George Osborne’s yacht-fondling, Zac Goldsmith’s non-dom status, the Joanne Cash episode, and Sir Nicholas Winterton’s declaration that standard-class rail passengers are “a totally different type of people”.
Each story does a little more to confirm the voters’ residual fear that the Tory party is a political front for a gang of people who want to govern so they can do the hell they like. Whether or not the fear is justified is irrelevant. It is an electoral reality, and one which should be uppermost in every Tory’s mind, every day - especially now. Lord Ashcroft should have followed his own advice. And Cameron should have insisted on full disclosure years ago.&#039;

From an excellent article from todays&#039; telegraph</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8216;I agree with those who say that the specifics of the Ashcroft case will be quickly forgotten. But the damage is already done. The process is incremental: the Deripaska affair and George Osborne’s yacht-fondling, Zac Goldsmith’s non-dom status, the Joanne Cash episode, and Sir Nicholas Winterton’s declaration that standard-class rail passengers are “a totally different type of people”.<br />
Each story does a little more to confirm the voters’ residual fear that the Tory party is a political front for a gang of people who want to govern so they can do the hell they like. Whether or not the fear is justified is irrelevant. It is an electoral reality, and one which should be uppermost in every Tory’s mind, every day &#8211; especially now. Lord Ashcroft should have followed his own advice. And Cameron should have insisted on full disclosure years ago.&#8217;</p>
<p>From an excellent article from todays&#8217; telegraph</p>
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		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2493/comment-page-5#comment-605303</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 10:33:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2493#comment-605303</guid>
		<description>@ Barnaby Jl whatever your name is...

So you are questioning what kid of circles I move in just because myself and all my friends will be voting Tory...? Well I could ask the same of you. Please try to be a little less patronising, there&#039;s a good little fellow. If you choose to take the time to insult others on here then it says more about you than me. There&#039;s a huge amount I could say about you and your fa,ily voting Labour but I shan&#039;t waste my breath..


And I will post on which ever site I chose thanks....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Barnaby Jl whatever your name is&#8230;</p>
<p>So you are questioning what kid of circles I move in just because myself and all my friends will be voting Tory&#8230;? Well I could ask the same of you. Please try to be a little less patronising, there&#8217;s a good little fellow. If you choose to take the time to insult others on here then it says more about you than me. There&#8217;s a huge amount I could say about you and your fa,ily voting Labour but I shan&#8217;t waste my breath..</p>
<p>And I will post on which ever site I chose thanks&#8230;.</p>
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