Comments on: ICM show Conservatives back at 40%

By: COLIN

COLIN — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 07:42:57 +0000

ALJ
“Having had a look at the details – you are assuming that 21 Lib/Dem seats will fall to the Tories.”

No-I’m not.
Just bringing an opinion to your attention , which explains why the C4 headline ( which you quoted) -”cons would be 11 seats short of a majority”-cannot be implied from that Poll.

By: JR Tomlin

JR Tomlin — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 03:30:59 +0000

It’s too bad there is so rarely any real polling in Scotland. It would be interesting to know if the rather “fraught” situation in Glasgow will have any results at all.

By: Steve A

Steve A — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 00:56:46 +0000

Peaking back up to 40% is still not enough for a Tory majority, especially when you take account of tonight’s BPIX poll showing a Tory lead of only 2%.

The trend is clear. A month ago 2% Tory lead was unthinkable -now it’s happened twice and the norm is about 6%. Not enough for a Tory government. the marginal seats cannot deliver because the trend there also has turned Labours way.

By: dwin

dwin — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 00:45:11 +0000

Love the Lab back slapping and spin, and once again ignoring the obvious – the tory lead increasing.
Does make me laugh. GB in Afganistan – simply incredible defies belief.

By: Al J

Al J — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 00:20:49 +0000

Colin

Having had a look at the details – you are assuming that 21 Lib/Dem seats will fall to the Tories. I don’t know where you get the evidence for that happening.