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	<title>Comments on: YouGov has Tory lead back to 12 points</title>
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	<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385</link>
	<description>Opinion polling and political analysis</description>
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		<title>By: Keith Blackett</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385/comment-page-2#comment-594626</link>
		<dc:creator>Keith Blackett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Dec 2009 08:24:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2385#comment-594626</guid>
		<description>The minor parties will in my view continue to benefit from the expenses scandal and increasingly from disenchantment with the war in Afghanistan.

My first visit to this site and it was disappointing that there were not distinct options to &quot;vote&quot; BNP, UKIP or Green for example.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The minor parties will in my view continue to benefit from the expenses scandal and increasingly from disenchantment with the war in Afghanistan.</p>
<p>My first visit to this site and it was disappointing that there were not distinct options to &#8220;vote&#8221; BNP, UKIP or Green for example.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony Wells</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385/comment-page-2#comment-594285</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Wells</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 09:46:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2385#comment-594285</guid>
		<description>NBeale -

There&#039;s weighting to actual past vote, and weighting to past vote adjusted by false recall. 

For quasi random polls at least, the result of either will be to increase Conservative support and reduce Labour support. False recall however increases the proportion of people who claim to have voted Labour, so a pollster weighting to past voted adjusted for false recall would reduce Labour less, and increase the Conservatives less.

The order of Labourness or Conservativeness would be - 

MOST LABOUR
Sample without political weighting
Sample with political weighting, accounting for false recall
Sample with political weighting, not accounting for FR
MOST CONSERVATIVE</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NBeale -</p>
<p>There&#8217;s weighting to actual past vote, and weighting to past vote adjusted by false recall. </p>
<p>For quasi random polls at least, the result of either will be to increase Conservative support and reduce Labour support. False recall however increases the proportion of people who claim to have voted Labour, so a pollster weighting to past voted adjusted for false recall would reduce Labour less, and increase the Conservatives less.</p>
<p>The order of Labourness or Conservativeness would be &#8211; </p>
<p>MOST LABOUR<br />
Sample without political weighting<br />
Sample with political weighting, accounting for false recall<br />
Sample with political weighting, not accounting for FR<br />
MOST CONSERVATIVE</p>
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		<title>By: NBeale</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385/comment-page-2#comment-594276</link>
		<dc:creator>NBeale</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 04:11:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2385#comment-594276</guid>
		<description>Anthony: If the &quot;false recall&quot; weights the Labour vote down, how come Angus Reid, which doesn&#039;t do it, shows a much bigger C Lead?

Unless I have misunderstood, this would mean that the people who were weighted down (Others?) were less likely to vote C than past Labour voters.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anthony: If the &#8220;false recall&#8221; weights the Labour vote down, how come Angus Reid, which doesn&#8217;t do it, shows a much bigger C Lead?</p>
<p>Unless I have misunderstood, this would mean that the people who were weighted down (Others?) were less likely to vote C than past Labour voters.</p>
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		<title>By: Cynosarges</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385/comment-page-2#comment-594250</link>
		<dc:creator>Cynosarges</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 22:25:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2385#comment-594250</guid>
		<description>Barnaby JL Marder asks

if Mark could actually name the “cronies” he blathers on about I will be extremely surprised &amp; even maybe impressed.

I will supply Barnaby with one example of the cronies - one Andrew Marr.

The recent &quot;interview&quot; where Marr (Loretto public schoolboy) discussed with Alistair Darling (Loretto public scoolboy) their opinion of David Cameroon, and concluded that an Eton education made Cameron unfit to be Prime Minister, was an act of New Labour spin and hypocrisy of astounding crassness.

Still, I suppose it is possible that since Marr&#039;s wife is the daughter of a peer, Marr considers his own public school days as &#039;infra dig&#039; and unworthy of mention.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Barnaby JL Marder asks</p>
<p>if Mark could actually name the “cronies” he blathers on about I will be extremely surprised &amp; even maybe impressed.</p>
<p>I will supply Barnaby with one example of the cronies &#8211; one Andrew Marr.</p>
<p>The recent &#8220;interview&#8221; where Marr (Loretto public schoolboy) discussed with Alistair Darling (Loretto public scoolboy) their opinion of David Cameroon, and concluded that an Eton education made Cameron unfit to be Prime Minister, was an act of New Labour spin and hypocrisy of astounding crassness.</p>
<p>Still, I suppose it is possible that since Marr&#8217;s wife is the daughter of a peer, Marr considers his own public school days as &#8216;infra dig&#8217; and unworthy of mention.</p>
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		<title>By: Andy Stidwill</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2385/comment-page-2#comment-594240</link>
		<dc:creator>Andy Stidwill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 21:40:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2385#comment-594240</guid>
		<description>This poll is simply in line with Angus Reid.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This poll is simply in line with Angus Reid.</p>
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