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	<title>Comments on: Contrasting figures in Sunday&#8217;s polls</title>
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	<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380</link>
	<description>Opinion polling and political analysis</description>
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		<title>By: BEANS</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380/comment-page-3#comment-593802</link>
		<dc:creator>BEANS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 19:44:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2380#comment-593802</guid>
		<description>Stuart Dickson,

The UK General Election next year is likely to result in either a Conservative or Labour government in Westminster. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which do you think would be best for Scotland, a Conservative government in Westminster, or a Labour Government?

Conservative Government
Labour Government  
Both the same (DO NOT READ OUT) 
Don’t know

Do you feel that this question is somewhat loaded?  

Particularly since the third question should not be read out loud.  I mean surely it would be better to not read out any of the answers and ask...

The UK General Election next year is likely to result in either a Conservative or Labour government in Westminster. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which do you think would be best for Scotland?

Ipsos Mori also seem to reduce the difference between Holyrood and Westminster voting intentions.  The Conservatives seem stuck in their 2005 general election result.  It would be interesting to see if their vote is becoming regionalised in the marginals as some suggest here.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stuart Dickson,</p>
<p>The UK General Election next year is likely to result in either a Conservative or Labour government in Westminster. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which do you think would be best for Scotland, a Conservative government in Westminster, or a Labour Government?</p>
<p>Conservative Government<br />
Labour Government<br />
Both the same (DO NOT READ OUT)<br />
Don’t know</p>
<p>Do you feel that this question is somewhat loaded?  </p>
<p>Particularly since the third question should not be read out loud.  I mean surely it would be better to not read out any of the answers and ask&#8230;</p>
<p>The UK General Election next year is likely to result in either a Conservative or Labour government in Westminster. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which do you think would be best for Scotland?</p>
<p>Ipsos Mori also seem to reduce the difference between Holyrood and Westminster voting intentions.  The Conservatives seem stuck in their 2005 general election result.  It would be interesting to see if their vote is becoming regionalised in the marginals as some suggest here.</p>
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		<title>By: oldnat</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380/comment-page-3#comment-593766</link>
		<dc:creator>oldnat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 17:02:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2380#comment-593766</guid>
		<description>Re that ORB poll that Stuart mentioned earlier in this thread. Tables are now out.

I wonder why the Tories chose not to publicise Scots views of Cameron?

&quot;Please tell me whether you have a very favourable, favourable, unfavourable or very unfavourable opinion of David Cameron?&quot;

Very favourable - 4% : Favourable - 48% : Unfavourable - 33% : Very unavourable - 15%.

The other questions were as leading as one might have guessed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re that ORB poll that Stuart mentioned earlier in this thread. Tables are now out.</p>
<p>I wonder why the Tories chose not to publicise Scots views of Cameron?</p>
<p>&#8220;Please tell me whether you have a very favourable, favourable, unfavourable or very unfavourable opinion of David Cameron?&#8221;</p>
<p>Very favourable &#8211; 4% : Favourable &#8211; 48% : Unfavourable &#8211; 33% : Very unavourable &#8211; 15%.</p>
<p>The other questions were as leading as one might have guessed.</p>
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		<title>By: Jay Blanc</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380/comment-page-3#comment-593755</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay Blanc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 15:07:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2380#comment-593755</guid>
		<description>And even when they do reveal a private poll... Consider that you haven&#039;t seen their other private polls, and can&#039;t identify a trend or an error tendency in that poll. And remember that they will only ever release the polls that are good news for them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And even when they do reveal a private poll&#8230; Consider that you haven&#8217;t seen their other private polls, and can&#8217;t identify a trend or an error tendency in that poll. And remember that they will only ever release the polls that are good news for them.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony Wells</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380/comment-page-3#comment-593753</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Wells</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 13:53:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2380#comment-593753</guid>
		<description>David in Oxford  - 

Unless they cough up some actual polling figures and tables to prove it, I&#039;d always advise people to ignore what political parties *claim* their private polling shows.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David in Oxford  &#8211; </p>
<p>Unless they cough up some actual polling figures and tables to prove it, I&#8217;d always advise people to ignore what political parties *claim* their private polling shows.</p>
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		<title>By: David - in Oxford</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2380/comment-page-3#comment-593752</link>
		<dc:creator>David - in Oxford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 13:41:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=2380#comment-593752</guid>
		<description>The closer you look at the numbers, the more dire it gets for Labour.  On the uniform swing, you have the Cons at 350 seats.  But if the swing is slightly higher in the English marginals, (which has been confirmed in private polling for the Cons according to The Times a couple of weeks ago)  Labour in England could be headed for the oblivion of less than 100 seats.....from 282!   My view is that the firming up of the Labour vote which we are seeing is coming from their traditional strongholds where the the SNP and Plaid are set to inflict the deserved damage.  The election is going to be decided in the 180 English marginals which will fall on a swing of less than 10% and at the moment I don&#039;t see any reason for DC to be losing any sleep!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The closer you look at the numbers, the more dire it gets for Labour.  On the uniform swing, you have the Cons at 350 seats.  But if the swing is slightly higher in the English marginals, (which has been confirmed in private polling for the Cons according to The Times a couple of weeks ago)  Labour in England could be headed for the oblivion of less than 100 seats&#8230;..from 282!   My view is that the firming up of the Labour vote which we are seeing is coming from their traditional strongholds where the the SNP and Plaid are set to inflict the deserved damage.  The election is going to be decided in the 180 English marginals which will fall on a swing of less than 10% and at the moment I don&#8217;t see any reason for DC to be losing any sleep!</p>
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