There is a new Scottish Ipsos MORI poll in the Sunday Times.

The Sunday Times highlight that only 20% of people support full Scottish independence, though notably this was not a strauight YES/NO question asking voting intention in a referendum on Scottish independence. Rather it was a question asking about people’s broader preference on Scotland’s constitutional status – 20% supported independence, 32% the status quo and 46% a higher level of devolution such as that suggested by the Calman commission. This is indeed the lowest level of support for independence I’ve seen in recent polls, but it’s not completely out of line with previous polls – YouGov and the Scottish Social Attitudes survey have both in the past had it as low as 23%.

Asked about whether their should be a referendum at all, 75% supported a referendum, but only 25% wanted it as soon as possible, with 50% saying it should be held in a few years time. Looking at previous polling this seems to be the general pattern – when people are asked about the principle of a referendum they support it (as, indeed, they nearly always do when asked about referendums on almost anything), but asked whether it is a priority to hold it now they tend to say no.


54 Responses to “Ipsos MORI on Scottish Independence”

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  1. Did the poll give any option for less devolution or no devolution? I suspect it just gave the three options listed – status quo; more devolution; separation. So it doesn’t really tell us an awful lot.

  2. John B Dick,

    I have often thought the same – why do the English want us. It is because they have a sense of Britishness – a oneness with us, which, sadly, many here in Scotland lack.

  3. Neil,

    Well said. Many Scots assume that the benefits of the Union are purely economic, and that if those soul-less accountants determine that England would be financially better off without Scotland, then the English should support Scottish independance.

    Equally, there is this assumption that just because Scotland has not returned a Conservative majority for 50 years it must perforce be Conservative policy to cut Scotland loose so as to improve the chances of forever dominating England.

    Other parties may be so unprincipled in advancement of their desire for political power, but that is not the Tory way. We are unionists for historic and cultural reasons, not pecuniary or political advantage.

    I suspect that the whinging is part of a deliberate strategy to annoy the English into agreeing with the distruction of the Union. This reflects iller on the Scots who promote it tahn on those English who fall for it.

    This English Tory remains steadfast in his support for the Union. My reasons may be misty-eyed romantic drivel, and have got nothing to do with which oil fields lies in which territorial waters (though I suspect many Scots would be horrified how little would be left them if the Orkneys & Shetlands chose to stay in the UK) but I firmly believe that all Britain is stronger as a United Kingdom than we could ever be as a series of regional provinces in a federal Europe.

  4. id like to see the SNP committment for self determination for all peoples if Shetland voted to split away, taking its oil with them.

    “Its Shetlands oil!!!!”

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