Mike Smithson has the latest Angus Reid poll for PoliticalBetting, conducted over the weekend just gone. The topline figures are CON 39%(+1) LAB 22%(-2) LDEM 21%(+1). I’m on the way to a meeting, and will post properly on my return – in the meantime feel free to discuss it here.
| 38 | 38 | 11 |
 | 24 Jan | 40 | 38 | 9 | Con +2 |
 | 23 Jan | 37 | 40 | 10 | Lab +3 |
 | 23 Jan | 35 | 37 | 11 | Lab +2 |
| 23 Jan | 39 | 40 | 8 | Lab +1 |
 | 23 Jan | 38 | 38 | 12 | Tie |
 | 22 Jan | 37 | 38 | 13 | Lab +1 |
 | 22 Jan | 40 | 35 | 16 | Con +5 |
| 20 Jan | 41 | 36 | 9 | Con +5 |
 | 19 Jan | 38 | 38 | 11 | Tie |
| 19 Jan | 41 | 38 | 8 | Con +3 |
| 18 Jan | 40 | 39 | 7 | Con +1 |
| 17 Jan | 39 | 40 | 8 | Lab +1 |
| 16 Jan | 40 | 40 | 9 | Tie |
 | 15 Jan | 37 | 37 | 9 | Tie |
| 13 Jan | 38 | 40 | 9 | Lab +2 |
| 12 Jan | 41 | 40 | 8 | Con +1 |
| 11 Jan | 40 | 38 | 10 | Con +2 |
| 10 Jan | 40 | 40 | 10 | Tie |
| 9 Jan | 39 | 41 | 10 | Lab +2 |
| 6 Jan | 38 | 40 | 11 | Lab +2 |
| 5 Jan | 36 | 37 | 9 | Lab +1 |
| 5 Jan | 39 | 41 | 11 | Lab +2 |
| 4 Jan | 38 | 42 | 10 | Lab +4 |
| 3 Jan | 39 | 41 | 9 | Lab +2 |
| 22 Dec | 40 | 40 | 9 | Tie |
@Pete B
“The hardcore Labour vote is 28%
I think you are right some ducks might vote for Christmas but turkeys never.
Paul McLennan
Nothing yet on their website other than an op-ed article, that the end of the world has come for the SNP. Prof Curtice on Newsnicht suggesting that Lab/SNP percentages are back similar to 2005. I’m waiting to see the detail to see how accurate these are.