YouGov Daily figures – 40/31/18
Interesting daily YouGov figures today – toplines are CON 40%(-3), LAB 31%(+2), LDEM 18%(+2) – others remain down at 11%.
A Labour boost certainly wasn’t what we expect to see at the Conservative conference, yet this is Labour’s highest level of support in a poll since April. Chris Grayling made a bit of a fool of himself yesterday, but other than that there was nothing to provoke a sudden shift back to Labour. It could be that the more detailled coverage of the cuts in George Osborne’s speech has damaged support, but my guess is that either yesterday’s upwards bounce for the Tories, or today’s move in the opposite direction (or both!) is a bit of an outlier. We’ll probably never know for sure, since tomorrow’s figures will have the effect of the Cameron conference speech.
On other questions, Vincent Cable is still the country’s narrow preference as Chancellor, though there’s really very little between the three parties main candidates: Cable is preferred by 19%, Osborne by 17%, Darling by 16%.
YouGov also tested out two of Labour’s attacks on David Cameron and the Conservatives. The idea that he “has repeatedly taken the wrong decisions about the measures needed to tackle the recession” was agreed with by 36% of people, but rejected by 41%. The idea that Cameron is too priviled to understand the problems of real people had more traction – 60% agreed with this argument.
I TAKE ON BOARD THE COMMENT THAT WAS MADE ABOUT THE BANK BALLANCES ETC ABOUT MPS BUT MY PRIMARY SUBMISSION IS SIMPLE,IN THE LABOUR PARTY THEIRE ARE MANY GRASS ROOTS CANDIDATES WHICH COME FROM NORMAL WORKING CLASS FAMILIES AND THE RICH ONES ALSO MOSTLY TEND TO DANE FROM SAME HOWEVER IN THE TORY PARTY THERE ARE HARDLY ANY TO BE FOUND APART FROM THE MORE RECENT CANDIDATES WHICH HAVE BEEN ADDED AT SPEED TO GIVE THE PARTY A MORE HUMAN FACE HOWEVER I SEE SOME OF THESE BECOMING DISILLUSIONED RATHER QUICKLY WHEN THESE YOUNG INDIVIDUALS REALISE THE TRUE IDEAOLOGY OF THE TORY PARTY,THE UPSHOT OF THIS IS WE HAVE MORE CHANCE A LABOUR PARTY WOULD UNDERSTAND THE PLIGHT OF THE WORKING MAN/WOMAN RATHER THAN CAM/OS & HIS FLOATING DUCK ISLAND PARTY
I am not surprised at the Tories falling in the polls. Austerity isn’t a great vote winner even if conventional wisdom says it’s necessary.
JAKOB,YOUR SPOT ON ABOUT LABOURS CORE VOTERS GOING BACK TO LABOUR AT A GE YOUR INSTINCTS DO YOU PROUD,AS FOR SAM AHAMEFULE,YOU ARE ALSO SPOT ON ,RAGS LIKE THE SUN WILL NEVER PRINT ANYTHING GOOD ABOUT LABOUR ALL THE GOOD THINGS ACHIEVED ARE SWEPT UNDER THE CARPET MUROCH STYLE,KEEP UP THE WORK GUYS & FEEL WITH THE GUTS INSTEAD OF THE GOB ALMIGHTY