And so do Ipsos MORI!

Scottish polls by YouGov and ICM are now joined by Ipsos MORI, who have carried out a poll of 534 people in Scotland on behalf of Reuters. Again, we have a slightly different result, but with the balance of Scottish opinion still opposed to the decision.

47% of the Scots MORI interviewed disagreed with the decision, with 40% agreeing. Unlike Yougov and ICM who gave people a straight choice between right and wrong, MORI offered a more nuanced scale, so 37% strongly disagreed with the decision, 10% tended to disagree, 21% tended to agree and 19% strongly agreed.

No tables yet, so we can’t see exactly what wording MORI’s question used.

UPDATE: On unconnected things, YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph appears to be on the front page of the paper in the Sky news paper review, but it’s headlining on attitudes to Afghanistan, so no voting intention figures just yet.


8 Responses to “And so do Ipsos MORI!”

  1. One of the most shocking statistics recently, suggests that one home in six have no occupants in work. Do the polls take account of this adequately? Would it not be helpful to include in each poll, a question about voting intentions, addressed to households without work? It has always seemed to me that the voters involved have virtually no motivation to vote at all or certainly not to vote for the government . I suspect probability of voting will be heavily skewed against Labour and past performance will be no guide when interpreting the polls.

  2. Anthony

    But there is a big difference between the 7 point gap reported by MORI (and the similar one by YouGov) on the one hand and the 28 point gap recorded by ICM.

    That is down to both the biased ICM questions identified by you and probably the imbalanced sample explanation favoured by Mike at political betting.

    Aren’t we due an explanation as to why the BBC is involved

  3. Any questions asked as to whether people actually thought the issue was in any way important or just a media beat up?

  4. In Glasgow for the great debate.

    Rumours are circulating of a new poltical poll out tomorrow which is good for the Nats.

    Any gen anyone?

  5. The biggest problem the SNP have is not the same as the UK Government have,i believe Brown & labour are up to their necks in this,the fact they were able to play the SNP like a harp however says a lot about the calibre of the SNP.

    No,the problem that the SNP have & it will last years & could be a game changer,whatever the wishful thinking of the SNP crowd is Salmond blew it.

    Despite Brown’s incompetence he was able to stop British flags being flown when that plane arrived,Salmond did nothing,that is poor judgement,for the hours that plane was in the air it did not occur to him to pick up the phone & say guys i really do not want any saltires flying on the arrival of a convicted terrorist.

    It was SNP amateur hour by Salmond.

    The Scottish Government that day were truly that,the decisions made were devolved on a international basis though for the first time since devolution,there was no difference at all on the handling than if Scotland was in the union or independent.

    What on earth was Salmond doing when that plane was in the air that he couldnt pick up a phone to Libya?

    Add that with the whole BREAKING NEWS aspect of the story the lack of information about the exact timing to the relatives of the dead was unforgivable.

    They should have had chapter & verse from weeks in advance.

    The SNP can forget an independence referendum until at least the next but one elections in Scotland & the UK because of this decision,perhaps 2014-2015.

    The SNP only have themselves to blame!

    I agree with FOX NEWS & that is a first,Salmond is a political wannabe,so much of Scottish independence is about sucking up to the USA for investment & backing,FOX NEWS may be seen as a joke here,in America it is the most watched news channel of all.

    Salmond has blown it!

  6. This is quite interesting. The polling before has shown Tories generally disagree with the decision, Labour are kind of 50-50, while Lib Dems generally agree to som extent. Tory opinion, concerning law & order, is not as fanatically supported widely in Scotland.

    This could be because the Tories themselves are unpopular, and thus anything they say is unpopular. Adversely, it could be that the Scottish opinion is actually less extreme as Tory opinion.

    Although the polls clearly show a majority against the decision, it is probably a lot closer than people realise. There could also be a factor that the ‘reaction’ to the Megrahi release immiediately after the decision may have had a big bearing on the polls.

    I think Fox News is a rather strange organisation to quote. Likewise, Europe as a whole is a more important trading partner to Scotland and the UK than America. Only if Scotland were independent would that likely change – and we adopted an Irish style growth formula.

  7. I find it noticeable that while many people have accused Westminster/Labour to have done / have been trying to do a deal with Libya, the Nats have not been accused of anything similar. The worst comment is ‘grave error of judgement’, and is a question of opinion.

    Now I might be biased as I think MacAskill did the right thing, but realistically in my view if you disregard the idea that the Nats were part of a deal with Libya, and accept the general principles of the Scottish justice system, then MacAskill’s decision is at worst borderline. Hence I cannot seeing it hurting the SNP in the long term, while there is a danger to the opposition parties that their opposition to freeing Megrahi is seen as based purely on a desire to bash the Nats rather than the merits of the case. (Notice the LibDems caving in a already.)

  8. I was sorry to see the debate divide on party lines and surprised at Ms Goldie with a very weak argument when I thought from her background she might have supported what was in fact a judicial decision (not a sermon as the BBC said)

    Not for the first time Malcolm Chisholm broke ranks. He is the only surviving Labour MP to leave Westminster to go to the first session of the SP and was close to Donald Dewar. He’s still young enough to be the man to watch after the collapse of Labour and/or independence who could lead the consolidation and revival of the non-doctrinaire left if freed from Westminster bondage.