YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph has been released. The topline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll a week ago, has topline figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 27%(+2), LDEM 18%(-2).
Unlike ComRes in the week, this poll does not suggest any great boost for the Conservatives from their victory in Norwich North. In fact, my impression is actually that there’s no real change here – that drop in Lib Dem support merely puts them back where they normally are with YouGov, making last week’s 20% look like a bit of an outlier. It’s also worth noting that this is Labour’s highest score in a YouGov poll since the expenses scandal broke.
In the Telegraph’s report they concentrate upon the extreme negative rating for the government. Only 17% of people now approve of the government’s record, with 70% disapproving – a net approval rating of minus 53. The Telegraph seem to have focused on this because the dying Major government got the same figures in July 1996, a year before their annihilation. It’s worth noting however that this isn’t actually the worst this government have recorded – they managed minus 57 back in May. (For that matter, it’s not the worst Major recorded either!).