Comments on: Sunday Polls

By: Andrew Myers

Andrew Myers — Sat, 18 Jul 2009 21:51:28 +0000

The average result of the two polls of 40C: 24L: 20LD would give a Tory majority of 86.

It also looks like the trend is for the Tory lead holding, if not increasing slightly

By: Stephen W

Stephen W — Sat, 18 Jul 2009 20:54:00 +0000

UKIP are surprisingly low in the breakdown for those others considering the Euros. Well below BNP? Doesn’t appear they’ve gone flooding back to the Tories either, at least in relation to the others.

Very bad results for Labour

Comres Yougov
Con 38 42 %
Lab 23 25 %
Lib 22 18 %
Con lead 15 17 %
in both Polls Cons increase lead and Labour remain in fail to break even back in high 20′s.
Good results for Libs from Comres, within 1pt of Labour in a poll, though either one of the lib results is rogue or their real result is somewhere in the middle of the two. Still it’s their best poll result since they almost caught level with Labour at the end of May/start of June.

By: plumbus

plumbus — Sat, 18 Jul 2009 20:22:28 +0000

I expect Norwhich to be a straight fight between the Tories & Lib-dems with Labour having to scrabble with various others for a poor third place.

By: David D

David D — Sat, 18 Jul 2009 20:10:09 +0000

On the basis of these polls it appears that Labour are likely to enter the recess having lost the Norwich by election and facing a large Tory majority.

The summer recess is traditionally one that is good for the Government as they can make the news but may be that won’t be true this year with job and Afghanistan losses likely to be the main news drivers

Thus in September are we likely to see a realisation amongst Labour MPs (and Mandleson) they have nothing to lose by changing leader for an election in say Oct/Nov might give a boost that Brown could never achieve?

By: Jonboy

Jonboy — Sat, 18 Jul 2009 20:08:38 +0000

BBQ? This weather?