Comments on: ComRes on honesty and spending cuts

By: Wayne

Wayne — Mon, 13 Jul 2009 09:07:51 +0000

Anthony,

Any idea what’s happened to cause a lack of polls. Do you think they will all suddenly come along together like the buses ?

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Mon, 13 Jul 2009 01:16:06 +0000

This must be one of the longest periods recently without a voting intention opinion poll. I thought this might happen in August but not July.

By: Richard Manns

Richard Manns — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 19:24:09 +0000

Anthony Wells

Mea culpa, I apologise.

By: Philip JW

Philip JW — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 18:25:39 +0000

What I find to be significant is that during this year until 23rd of April Yougov polled for Labour on average 32%
and ICM until the 19th of April polled on average 30%.

Yougov polled on average until that time 2 points higher on average than ICM

From the 23rd of April Yougov showed a massive dip of 8 points in Labour’s support polling on average 24%.

But ICM showed a much smaller dip of only 2.75 points polling on average from the19th of April 27.25%

Now that Labour have dipped well below what they gained at the GE we find that ICM are polling on average 3.25 points more than Yougov !!! This can only be explained by differing methodology. How much more evidence must I submit to sceptics !!!

By: Andrew Myers

Andrew Myers — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 13:06:02 +0000

Does anyone know when the next run of polls is due? There seems to have been a bit of a hiatus recently.

I’m guessing we won’t see too much more before the Autumn now.

By: Anthony Wells

Anthony Wells — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 12:05:35 +0000

Richard Manns –

1) ICM are the pollster used by the Guardian.

2) ComRes have recorded an average level of support for Labour of 25.8% so far in 2009, compared to 28.7% for ICM, 26% for MORI, 27.4% for Populus and 27.7% for YouGov.

By: stuart gregory

stuart gregory — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 11:48:08 +0000

while on PB last night an artical was on there regarding murdock and pointing to him turning againest labour for the tories and the artical gave the idea the the sun may turn is backing to the tories, and that could be a watershead moment should it happen as the sun is reed by quite a few voters of the red colour, if the miror comes on board as well that would be a double blow, but i have seen in the last six month or so the even without merdocks blessing the sun has moved somewhat to the tories and away from labour but is still sitting on the fence a push from murdock should swing both papers for the tories and signal the end of labour rule after 13 years

By: wolf

wolf — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 11:34:51 +0000

Has anyone read the Daily Mail story about Lloyds Bank shareholders possibly suing Gordon Brown regarding the HBOS takeover?

By: Richard Manns

Richard Manns — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 10:53:16 +0000

ComRes, the pollster used by the Guardian, whose previous polls are the most inaccurate and Labour-biased, is employed by the BBC, and then asks leading questions.

Excuse me if I wait for the next YouGov poll…

By: Leslie

Leslie — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 09:24:38 +0000

A poll question – should public sector workers have their pay frozen – is always going to have poor support, since people automatically think of nurses, binmen and other manual workers. The question is thus a forced choice. A much better question would have been to pose some options, which might have included: freezing pay for all public sector workers earning over (say) £40,000 a year which would I supect have gathered more support.

There is an essential dishonesy in the public sector pay and pension debate. To the Tories, public sector workers equals bureacrats, quangocrats and managers generally, especially those with tiles including any combination of Tsar, equality, coordinator and environmental. . To Labour, it equals nurses, teachers and any workers covered by Unite. So when they “debate” they are talking at cross-purposes.

FWIW I believe that many public and quasi-public sector workers are poorly-remunerated compared to the private sector, and a decent pension is fair compensation for this. But there is a growing tranche of well-paid workers who are getting the best of both worlds, plus job security. If cuts are needed, it is from these people I would start. When the DG of the BBC starts asking out loud why he is not paid the same as a FTSE 100 CEO you know that these people have lost the plot.