Comments on: New MORI Poll

By: Mike

Mike — Sat, 20 Jun 2009 14:20:01 +0000

STATTO “and three months ago, “independent” forecasters (and Cameron/Osborne) were saying the Treasury’s forecasts for growth of -3.5% in 2009 were fantasy. Now they look like they may be spot on.”.

They still appear to grossly overstate the likely growth. Please look at the latest independent forecasts including the most recent CBI prediction

By: Wayne

Wayne — Sat, 20 Jun 2009 14:17:10 +0000

Poll Alert !

On the Independent’s site John Rentoul is promising a Comres poll in tomorrows independent…

Lets see if they can come up with a load of balloney like their recent attempts !

Anthony are we getting any other polls this weekend ?

Thanks

By: Tony Dean

Tony Dean — Sat, 20 Jun 2009 12:38:20 +0000

Further to my last post about different kinds of LD/Con marginals, a former colleague has pointed out something interesting.
Look at seats Labour won, or came very close, in 1945 in the SE and SW regions outside the big cities. Then look at all the seats the LDs have gained and either held or lost back to the Conservatives since 1997……..the list has an uncanny correllation!

By: Jack

Jack — Sat, 20 Jun 2009 08:46:56 +0000

‘ADAM TEBBLE
Quite possibly the most unpopular Labour government ever and they still get a third of the public sector vote? Sounds like a rapantly self-interested, block vote to me.’

Actually a third support does not sound like a block vote. It sounds quite close to the core vote figures bandied around here given the often low paid nature of most public service jobs.

So; the Labour support in the PS seems to reflect the percentage support outside the PS for the same SES status. What a (not) surprise…

By: dean thomson

dean thomson — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 22:04:08 +0000

Prediction

Con: 38-41%
Lab: 24-27%
Lib: 17-20%

By: Colin

Colin — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 21:47:31 +0000

@ STATTO

Yes -£7bn away OK…only another £200 bn or so to go this FY.

By: Statto

Statto — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:56:25 +0000

@Colin “They indicate borrowing figures for this year of £200bn-£25bn worse than Treasury last forecast.”

And three months ago, “independent” forecasters (and Cameron/Osborne) were saying the Treasury’s forecasts for growth of -3.5% in 2009 were fantasy. Now they look like they may be spot on.

“the debt reduction timetable most likely to appeal to our creditors.” – the creditors seem quite happy with the current debt reduction timetable see last oversubscribed government debt auction for evidence of this.

By: Wes

Wes — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 19:50:09 +0000

Adam – you’ve got to be kidding me. People vote in their own interests? Shocking.

By: Adam Tebble

Adam Tebble — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 19:32:00 +0000

Quite possibly the most unpopular Labour government ever and they still get a third of the public sector vote? Sounds like a rapantly self-interested, block vote to me.

By: Adam Tebble

Adam Tebble — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 19:31:22 +0000

Quite possibly the most unpopular Labour government ever and they still get a third of the public sector vote? Sounds like a rapantly self-interested, special interest group block vote to me.