At least according to the Telgraph this morning they are. If these figures were true, it would see the Tories winning 48 seats in Greater London, including Poplar & Limehouse, Erith & Thamesmead, Lewisham East, Lewisham West & Penge, Holborn & St Pancras and Feltham & Heston.

Alas, for any excited Conservatives out there, it isn’t quite accurate. On YouGov’s detailed tables, the regions listed aren’t the government regions, they are ITV television regions. In practice that means that London covers not just London, but big chunks of the home counties, which tend to vote Conservative. With bits of Surrey, Essex and Sussex thrown in the London TV region is far more Tory than Greater London, and that 25% lead suddenly isn’t nearly as impressive as it sounds.


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