Comments on: ICM poll of the (former) cabinet’s seats

By: Paul H-J

Paul H-J — Tue, 09 Jun 2009 08:29:57 +0000

Michael,

Yes, it is likely that the visible pro-EU approach cost the LDs a large number of votes in the Euro elections, and that a fair number of LD supporters voted Green.

However, there is ample evidence that in the SW, which has historically been one of the strongest regions for LDs, most of the more euro-sceptic support went to UKIP not Greens. (The strong Green showing in the SW having come mainly at the expense of Labour)

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Tue, 09 Jun 2009 00:34:35 +0000

I think Brown was the wrong choice for them.
They should have had a wider variety of candidates promoted and with experience to choose from when the time came, and the trick from their point of view I think was to keep firmly in the centre ground, but to do more for the core Labour voters to motivate their members and arrest these appalling turnouts.

I think this rather silly love in spectacle in 2007 where they all just went for him unanimously without a contest, many clearly hoping to believe what they wanted to believe, has weakened him, the government, and their party as things got more difficult.

By: Nick Keene

Nick Keene — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 17:35:22 +0000

As a footnote to my last comments I would add that the Tories are now one to ten on with the bookies to win the next election and one to three on to gain an outright majority….

By: Michael

Michael — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 14:57:10 +0000

@Grey

Fair enough;)

Its also worth noting that in Euro elections, the less euro-enthusiastic Lib Dem supporters probably vote Green which is why they dont do as well in european election, thats just my thoughts.

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 14:26:44 +0000

What we really need to do on the national projection from the County Council elections is to compare some Parliamentary seats to last year, but they are generally different places which voted.