Comments on: New YouGov poll

By: craig

craig — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:49:35 +0000

Paul i agree the more the Labour party play the race card the more people will vote BNP.They dont understand the white working class anymore, its all about minorites they have lost touch with the people who put them in power .

By: » Tories up 22%, plus earlier pollingLiberal Conspiracy

» Tories up 22%, plus earlier pollingLiberal Conspiracy — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:29:56 +0000

[...] YouGov (31st May) [...]

By: Richard Manns

Richard Manns — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:27:32 +0000

@ Ivan the Terrible

I think that some of the Labour hard-core are hiding too, but Labour areas are well-known for low turn-outs; who can say that they’ll turn out in the GE, given the current record?

Given the anecdotal and real evidence for Labour votes, enough hard-core might not vote for anyone, rather than vote for Brown or another. But, on the other hand, Labour’s highly geographically-concentrated votes will mitigate much of such loss.

By: Michael

Michael — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:26:20 +0000

@ Ivan the terrible

Obama got 52-53% of the popular vote in november but he has about a 62% approval rating.

In other words what im trying to say is, just because some people think your doing a good job doesnt mean you popular.

Now that i think about it, Churchill in the 1945 election would probably be a better example for what im trying to say.

By: MC

MC — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:25:06 +0000

Put the Mori figures through electoral calculus, LIb dems lose a few on 51, labour collapse to 140 and the Tories more than double their seats. More interestingly others win 6. Is this the lowest Labour have ever received in a poll and did Major even receive as little as this? any euro figures?
Brown will be challenged after thursday either by a stalking horse or some kind of plot from a few ministers. However he will win but will also lose his reputation which will surely lead to oblivion in 2010 and after that I wouldn’t rule out a complete split in the Labour party.