Comments on: Conservatives enjoy 20 point lead from Populus

By: Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP)

Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP) — Tue, 02 Jun 2009 16:20:59 +0000

The populus figures are up and the Scottish figures (on a sample of only 180) are;

Lab 29%, Tories 8%, LibDems 11%, SNP 42%, Others 10%.

I think the SNP may well be ahead but I doubt the Tories are below 10%.

Still we’ll see what thursday brings.

Peter.

By: » Tories up 22%, plus earlier pollingLiberal Conspiracy

» Tories up 22%, plus earlier pollingLiberal Conspiracy — Mon, 01 Jun 2009 16:38:39 +0000

[...] Populus [...]

By: Gray

Gray — Sun, 31 May 2009 18:23:36 +0000

Cliff:
I don’t know if Labour is going to slide below 20% on its own, but in the immediate face of a slaughter on Thursday I could see it. I also tend to agree with the old statement that Labour had a base around 25% which would keep them from sliding much below 27% except in rogue polls; part of the reason Labour is stabilizing, I suspect, is that the collapse in their polling numbers is cutting into bone (and largely flipping to third parties, from what the “Others” totals are giving).

I don’t know that Labour is dead yet, but they’re certainly getting into a hell of a bind that doesn’t show any signs of getting any better. I’ll be interested to see where numbers go after voters get a good chance to vent on Thursday.

By: Paul

Paul — Sun, 31 May 2009 10:45:58 +0000

@ keith

have to agree with you, you wouldnt know there was an election on , going by the window poster count.

i’ve seen one Ukip, one Labour and one Bnp.

i must admit, when i was in Devon a few weeks back, the Tories and Ukip had banners everywhere in farmers fields.

By: Richard

Richard — Sun, 31 May 2009 10:20:23 +0000

“Anthony, please can you extend your list of Conservative target seats beyond 200: this poll predicts 211 Tory gains.”

Rather like last year’s constituency megapoll which revealed that Harrow and Finchley were going to be Conservative gains and at the bottom of many pages also said ‘no polls were carried in constituencies w, x, y and z but on the same swing they would also be Conservative gains”.

AW, regarding the last constituency megapoll is it possible for you to tell me what the swing to the Conservatives in Bassetlaw was? Please?