Apart from openly admitting that this recession was not foreseen – despite the global economic signs to the contrary – and then generating gut-wrenching amounts of borrowed debt in a desperate attempt to bluff this nation out of a depression ( ….and if trillions upon trillions of pounds are NOT gut-wrenching, then what is?) what else exactly should Labour receive the benefit for?

I have a mind of my own, as do most contributors to this website, and therefore we are quite capable of discerning fact from fiction – whether it be dispensed by Brown, Cameron or even Clegg. To suggest that the media’s only function is to fuel and then direct a right-wing frenzy at blameless Gordon is incredibly naive. I support the Conervatives, but I never take the words of the Express, Mail or Sun as gospel. I applaud and respect both honesty and integrity regardless of its political hue. I was genuinely saddened at the death of John Smith who, I feel, could have transformed the Labour party into one that could have even expected to win a fourth or even fifth term. But such leaders are very rare. And in his wake came the Labour circus with Blair as ring-master followed by Brown as Gordo the Clown. I can make up my own judgement about what I see and hear and, in my view, Brown has now been shown to have been a charlatan of a Chancellor and is now an indecisive leader of a party, a disastrous PM of a country and an embarassment to the Labour movement.

“A question to you experts please?
A blue candidate polls 42.5% against red 57.5% in County Council election in 59% turnout during 2005 in a straight fight.”

The local scene will always vary from the national as Anthony’s latest post shows, however, as a rough estimate;

Given that the national swing is somewhere between 8 and 10% depending which pollster you believe a blue candidate might expect just over 50% now in a two horse race. Adding the Lib dems as a new entry onto the scene would doubtless take a few votes from both with the bulk coming from the incumbant and, if things remain as they are, more unpopular ‘Red’ candidate.

So, perhaps (with the caveat that this is a complete guess!) 40% Blue, 35% red, 25% Yellow.

You’re right, this sort situation isn’t good for any incumbent to be winning a GE. It also helps the opposition if they’ve not had a go in government for a while, hence people have forgotten how not very good they were last time.

My mistake, I misread it as By me not to me.

Peter.

just like if labour had won in 1992,(they had the same erm policy)they would have been kicked out after one term because of weak handling of the currency crisis,and been out of power for a long time!
the same would have happened to the tories now if they had won in 2005.

See Ivan’s comment on Feb 17th for explanation- hope my reply now makes sense. Sorry didn’t reply sooner, but not able to come on the site until now.

Cheers.

An interesting post-thanks.