The full tables for the YouGov/Telegraph are now on YouGov’s website. The other underlying questions show movement against Labour (not unexpectedly, since these are all comparisons to the last YouGov/Telegraph poll in December, not the Sunday Times one in January). Gordon Brown’s net approval rating continues to fall, now down to minus 36. Government approval falls to 22%, a net score of minus 40. Both of these are significantly above the scores in summer 2008, which taking a “glass half full” perspective means things aren’t at bad as they were, and taking a “glass half empty” one means there is potential for ratings to fall still further.

Interestingly, while we’ve seem some measures showing economic confidence falling again, in YouGov’s poll its held up. Last month the net feel good factor (people who thought things would get better for their household in the next 12 months minus those who thought it would get worse) was minus 46, now it is minus 44. Not a significant rise, but clearly not a fall.

On the YouGov/Telegraph tracker the Conservatives kept their lead as the best party on the economy throughout autumn 2008, but Labour did cut it down to 2 points. This poll shows it growing to 8 points. Perhaps more notably, the Conservatives no also lead on being the best party to get Britain out of the present crisis, by 35% to 28%. In previous surveys, while the Conservatives have often managed to maintain a led on the economy per se, Labour have normally lead on handling the present crisis.

In other questions s sizeable majority (64%) of people agree that this is a global crisis and that there was nothing that could have been done to avoid a downturn in Britain. However, this doesn’t mean that Gordon Brown is seen as being blameless – 31% also say that he bears much of the responsibility for allowing lending and borrowing to get out of hand in the first place and a further 48% think he bears some responsibility. It would appear that people recognise that there is a global cause to the problem, but are blaming Gordon Brown to some extent for how it is affecting the UK.

Barack Obama, incidentally, is still the golden boy. 65% of people expect him to handle the economic crisis well…based I expect, on the rather flimsy criteria that he isn’t George W Bush, a qualification that all but one of the world’s population meet.

(People watching closely will have noticed that this post has changed – I originally got my tables mixed up and wrote about some questions in the December YouGov poll. Mea culpa!)


8 Responses to “More from the YouGov/Telegraph poll”

  1. As ever Scots are far more pro Labour and brown in particular.

    We are also more optimistic about the economy and our prospects that the rest of the UK.

    It will be interesting to watch this as yesterday ( after this poll was done) all the Scottish press reported that the Scottish economy had dropped by 0.8% in Q3 as opposed to the UK’s 0.6%.

    So our economy seems to be doing worse but we feel more confident.

    All together now;

    “Always look on the bright side of life……..”

    Peter.

  2. I think I’m right it’s only the second time in almost 2-and-a-half years that consecutively released YouGov and ICM polls have *not* had ICM giving the LibDems a higher share than YouGov.

    I can only find 2 instances since 2005 where YouGov have given the LibDems higher shares than ICM (in consecutively released polls). Once in July 2006 and once in Nov 2005.

  3. Anthony,

    There was a press report this week on a social attitudes survey that included people across the UK’s attitudes to both the Scottish parliament and devolution in general.

    I thought I might see a thread about it here, do you have any intention of doing one?

    Peter.

  4. Peter

    In an unofficial poll of 1 person (me), 100% thought that devolution has been a complete cock-up (see West Lothian question).

    “So our economy seems to be doing worse but we feel more confident.”
    Too much Buckfast being drunk before answering polls perhaps?

  5. @Peter – The scotts have always been Mad Beasties :-) when it comes to GB.

    What I believe you will see (based on the few Scottish friends I have) is a slower move but more pronounced when it happens due to scottish voters not being as fickle (in general) as English voters. One said to me the other day “When I make my mind up, I don’t like to argue. I’d be a mad man if I started to argue with myself”. – Sorry refuse to do Scottish accents when writing, they always end up sounding like yorkshiremen.

  6. Keir,

    “The scotts have always been Mad Beasties”

    That would be Mr and Mrs Scott I presume, as opposed to Scots in general.

    Peter.

  7. “As ever Scots are far more pro Labour and Brown in particular.”

    He isn’t Tony Blair, and he isn’t Margaret Thatcher. I don’t hear many say how wonderful he is. They are just less against him than any Conservative or Labour option. It doesn’t mean they actually like him, trust him or admire him.

  8. John,

    I think you are wrong on this one, like it or not a great number of Scots do like, trust and admire gordon brown.

    Personally i think that is largely misplaced but I am not going to deny it. Where it becomes interesting is when we look at who replaces him and how he is replaced.

    If he steps down with honour and is replaced with his chosen successor Labour in Scotland and Scots in general may be happy enough. If it’s bloody and he is removed and replaced by someone Scots think knifed him and is in their eyes more like a Tory then things could change.

    It sort of depends on if you believe the way Kennedy and Campbell were replaced has had an effect on how Scots see and support the LibDems.

    I am not a Brown fan, but even if it was likely to boost SNP support , I wouldn’t like to see a guy who tried his best but wasn’t up to it back stabbed by cowards fighting to keep their seats or hoping to dump the blame for collective failings on one man.

    Peter.