Comments on: Poll of West London marginals http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781 Opinion polling and political analysis Sat, 11 Feb 2012 20:38:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Anthony Wells http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781/comment-page-1#comment-536189 Anthony Wells Tue, 06 Jan 2009 20:21:12 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1781#comment-536189 On Mike's comment about the big upweighting needed for the under 24s, my impression (I haven't taken the time to collate the figures and look at them over a large number of polls) is that this this is a pretty common occurance - under 24s seem to be an age group that are often under-represented in the raw samples who need weighting upwards (understandably enough I suppose, since they are most likely to be mobile only or to be out having an active social life!) On Mike’s comment about the big upweighting needed for the under 24s, my impression (I haven’t taken the time to collate the figures and look at them over a large number of polls) is that this this is a pretty common occurance – under 24s seem to be an age group that are often under-represented in the raw samples who need weighting upwards (understandably enough I suppose, since they are most likely to be mobile only or to be out having an active social life!)

]]> By: Mark Senior http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781/comment-page-1#comment-536171 Mark Senior Tue, 06 Jan 2009 19:11:36 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1781#comment-536171 Peter , the data from the big marginals poll some months ago now certainly showed LibDem support holding up better in LibDem seats . I agree with Mike , the results for the subsample for 18-24 yr olds in this poll looks odd , but with these small subsamples there is usually a freak or two . Peter , the data from the big marginals poll some months ago now certainly showed LibDem support holding up better in LibDem seats .
I agree with Mike , the results for the subsample for 18-24 yr olds in this poll looks odd , but with these small subsamples there is usually a freak or two .

]]> By: Anthony Wells http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781/comment-page-1#comment-536141 Anthony Wells Tue, 06 Jan 2009 17:10:59 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1781#comment-536141 Conor - the disclosure rules of BPC are that those pollsters who are signed up (which includes ICM and the other main companies) will put the tables up on their website (or provide them if asked) within 2 days. Conor – the disclosure rules of BPC are that those pollsters who are signed up (which includes ICM and the other main companies) will put the tables up on their website (or provide them if asked) within 2 days.

]]> By: Conor Ryan http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781/comment-page-1#comment-536134 Conor Ryan Tue, 06 Jan 2009 16:43:44 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1781#comment-536134 I thought as much when I read the contrived piece in the Sunday Times. Other polling has suggested that the wider public back the third runway, and recognised that many people living near Heathrow work there. ICM were very tardy putting up these figures on their website. Shouldn't there be a requirement that they do so once partial reports of their findings are being made in the newspapers? I thought as much when I read the contrived piece in the Sunday Times. Other polling has suggested that the wider public back the third runway, and recognised that many people living near Heathrow work there. ICM were very tardy putting up these figures on their website. Shouldn’t there be a requirement that they do so once partial reports of their findings are being made in the newspapers?

]]> By: Mike Smithson http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1781/comment-page-1#comment-536052 Mike Smithson Tue, 06 Jan 2009 11:29:46 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1781#comment-536052 The Labour position seemed to be driven by the 18-24 cohort who went L67% to C23%. ICM seemed have found it hard get a reasonable sample of the age group and they had to be weighted up by more than half. A survey of voter registration levels across the whole London by NOP last year had more than a quarter in this group not on the register. The Labour position seemed to be driven by the 18-24 cohort who went L67% to C23%. ICM seemed have found it hard get a reasonable sample of the age group and they had to be weighted up by more than half.

A survey of voter registration levels across the whole London by NOP last year had more than a quarter in this group not on the register.

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