Comments on: MORI show an even smaller Tory lead…

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Thu, 20 Nov 2008 00:01:01 +0000

Paul Goodard, I hope the recession is shallow, and in my posts over the summer, I was prepared to wait and see.
Unfortunately, I think this is going to be almost as bad as 1990-92 as GDP could fall by 2 per cent next year, about the same as in 1980 or 1991.

By: Barnaby Marder

Barnaby Marder — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 23:26:11 +0000

Philip Johnston – your contribution is semi-literate, hard to fathom at times, but definitely totally partisan. It makes no reference to the polls at all.

By: Ivan the terrible

Ivan the terrible — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 23:21:45 +0000

Paul, I agree.

As well as the pain it’ll cause us all I think the impending recession allows the Labour hierarchy to paint themselves as hard working, solid figures.

Prior to this strife, just a few months ago, they were viewed as a bunch of clowns! Lost data, dodgy crime figures, bloated bureaucracy, 10p tax…

I won’t hide my belief that Labour ARE partly responsible for the financial mess we’re in but I must admit, both personally and from a political viewpoint, I wish we weren’t.

By: paul goddard

paul goddard — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 22:31:09 +0000

It does sadden me to read repeatedly individuals relying on a recession to increase the chances of the tories increasing their poll leads once again. I am hoping that it will be a moderate recession, but even so let me take you back to the recession of the early 90′s

Conservatives – The recession is a global recession, it is not our fault.
Labour – It is the fault of the Conservative government.

and now in 2008

Labour – The recession is a global recession, it is not our fault.
Conservatives – It is the fault of the Labour government.

1992 – Conservatives win election
2010 – who knows, but the message is don’t rely on a recession to bring a change of government, in turbulent times voters can stay with who they know.

By: tony jones

tony jones — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 22:12:48 +0000

Has there been an Oracle bug sweeping this board. Go through his post from the last few months and you will notice his predictions of 50%+conservative vote, Labour being dead and buried, copy and paste to your hearts content is utter trollies.

Yet this plucking Conservative leads out of the airthat is being done by now quite a few posters” in a few months time”, “the next set of polls”, “when the recession kicks in”,is identical to what was posted two months ago. Don’t believe me check it is in the archive, by November Brown was gone, Labour was supposed to be dead,etc etc.It is getting wilder as the polls get closer.

Do some of you think your political views are actually staining your Oracle crystal ball when in the last few weeks the polls have closed whilst your future predictions seem to make it wider. I would have thought the McCain Victory Prediction Turkey would have knocked this silly partizan approach to predictions on its head and people would try and use what is actually happening in the polls as some kind of indicator not what they wish was happening.

Here’s a prediction I will give, if in the next poll it is getting even closer the words ROGUE POLL will appear.