Comments on: YouGov’s lowest Tory lead since last year http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668 Opinion polling and political analysis Sat, 11 Feb 2012 20:23:43 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Gary Gatter http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668/comment-page-1#comment-521967 Gary Gatter Mon, 17 Nov 2008 01:03:01 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1668#comment-521967 Over the next two weeks or so I would expect the G20 summit (will it look good or bad) and George Osborne (will he stay or go) to cause some movement in the polls. The Iraq troops withdrawal news may also cause some movement. Currency movements are allways a double edged sword so I can't see that having much effect either way (I could be wrong - it has been known). But i think that unless the Conservative vote drops below 40% for a month or more then things are still not that good for Labour, they seem to be picking up votes from everywhere except the Conservatives. Over the next two weeks or so I would expect the G20 summit (will it look good or bad) and George Osborne (will he stay or go) to cause some movement in the polls. The Iraq troops withdrawal news may also cause some movement. Currency movements are allways a double edged sword so I can’t see that having much effect either way (I could be wrong – it has been known). But i think that unless the Conservative vote drops below 40% for a month or more then things are still not that good for Labour, they seem to be picking up votes from everywhere except the Conservatives.

]]> By: wolf http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668/comment-page-1#comment-521871 wolf Sun, 16 Nov 2008 19:56:58 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1668#comment-521871 People may not know much about politics but they don't like going on holiday and not being able to buy. People may not know much about politics but they don’t like going on holiday and not being able to buy.

]]> By: KTL http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668/comment-page-1#comment-521671 KTL Sun, 16 Nov 2008 10:21:44 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1668#comment-521671 I don't think Osborne's comments will be a factor - what he said is perfectly logical and his comments have been echoed by K en Clarke and the British Chamber of Commerce in the last 24 hours. Actually he didnt predict a run on the pound - he said it was possible that their could be one. More to the point, if you scan some of the other questions that pollsters asked in the recent polls , 75 odd % agree that any tax cuts should be paid for by cutting public spending not by borrowing more. It is inevitable that if the Governments borrowing increases further it will weaken the pound and judging by the pounds recent performance the markets already seem to have made their minds up. I don’t think Osborne’s comments will be a factor – what he said is perfectly logical and his comments have been echoed by K en Clarke and the British Chamber of Commerce in the last 24 hours.
Actually he didnt predict a run on the pound – he said it was possible that their could be one.

More to the point, if you scan some of the other questions that pollsters asked in the recent polls , 75 odd % agree that any tax cuts should be paid for by cutting public spending not by borrowing more. It is inevitable that if the Governments borrowing increases further it will weaken the pound and judging by the pounds recent performance the markets already seem to have made their minds up.

]]> By: Barnaby Marder http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668/comment-page-1#comment-521669 Barnaby Marder Sun, 16 Nov 2008 10:20:25 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1668#comment-521669 Lord Kalms said that? Could be a rare burst of sympathy for George Osborne from this Labour supporter....... :) Lord Kalms said that? Could be a rare burst of sympathy for George Osborne from this Labour supporter…….

:)

]]> By: Patrick Haseldine http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1668/comment-page-1#comment-521460 Patrick Haseldine Sat, 15 Nov 2008 23:22:54 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1668#comment-521460 We have yet to see the "Osborne effect" where today he predicted a run on the pound, and Lord Kalms said that Osborne should be replaced by Tory heavyweight, David Davis. My guess is that the Tory lead is going to evaporate very quickly. We have yet to see the “Osborne effect” where today he predicted a run on the pound, and Lord Kalms said that Osborne should be replaced by Tory heavyweight, David Davis.

My guess is that the Tory lead is going to evaporate very quickly.

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