I’m expecting at least two new polls to be published tonight. John Rentoul promises us a new ComRes poll in the Sunday Indy, which also has questions on whether Brown is to blame for unemployment rising, whether the team around Cameron are lightweight, whether tax cuts should be funded by spending cuts or borrowing and whether Labour will lose the next election. There should also be the monthly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times.

The most recent poll we have was Populus, conducted last weekend straight after Glenrothes and the large interest rate cut – that showed the lowest Conservative lead for months at only 6 points. In contrast these polls would have been conducted at the end of this week with the tragic case of “baby p” the dominant news story.


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