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	<title>Comments on: Prediction: Good or Bad news for Gordon Brown?</title>
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	<description>Independent Survey and Polling News</description>
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		<title>By: Peasmold</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-508301</link>
		<dc:creator>Peasmold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 19:46:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-508301</guid>
		<description>GB already has the dubious distinction of replicating Sunny Jim&#039;s feat of October 1978  - cancelling the election he had a real chance of winning.  However, the present crisis offers him an alternative to just soldiering on until overtaken by events.  That alternative is to go to the country in February, before the depression really bites, but whilst memories of how he steered the ship of state through the financial storm still fresh in the voters&#039; minds. The best he can hope for might yet be a hung parliament, but a Tory administration dependent on the SNP and a diminished band of liberals would surely not last long....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>GB already has the dubious distinction of replicating Sunny Jim&#8217;s feat of October 1978  &#8211; cancelling the election he had a real chance of winning.  However, the present crisis offers him an alternative to just soldiering on until overtaken by events.  That alternative is to go to the country in February, before the depression really bites, but whilst memories of how he steered the ship of state through the financial storm still fresh in the voters&#8217; minds. The best he can hope for might yet be a hung parliament, but a Tory administration dependent on the SNP and a diminished band of liberals would surely not last long&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: colin</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-507367</link>
		<dc:creator>colin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 12:51:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-507367</guid>
		<description>&quot;Probably most of us.&quot;

I don&#039;t think he meant most of us at all.

If there were no rules or regulations in our society , crime, chaos &amp; anarchy would soon be the order of things.

Given cheap &amp; untramelled credit-lot&#039;s of people borrowed sums they couldn&#039;t afford to repay.

Lots of  people didn&#039;t.

When the Banks who touted this cheap credit totted up their bad debts-and their fellow bank&#039;s bad debts-they froze in fear, shut up shop &amp; hoped it would all go away.

We have all suffered for this-the imprudent borrower  &amp; the prudent saver alike.So I don&#039;t buy the &quot;it&#039;s all of us who are at fault&quot; version of history. 

I suspect what Adair Turner meant by &quot;we&quot; is the FSA before he joined it-the FSA who were set up by GB &amp; who manifestly failed to ensure that UK Banks acted within the bounds of -dare I say it-Prudence.

I suspect he meant the &quot;old&quot; FSA before the present one, which under his regime is now imposing the most stringent Capital Reserves on Banks, and dictating their remuneration &amp; lending practices.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Probably most of us.&#8221;</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think he meant most of us at all.</p>
<p>If there were no rules or regulations in our society , crime, chaos &amp; anarchy would soon be the order of things.</p>
<p>Given cheap &amp; untramelled credit-lot&#8217;s of people borrowed sums they couldn&#8217;t afford to repay.</p>
<p>Lots of  people didn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>When the Banks who touted this cheap credit totted up their bad debts-and their fellow bank&#8217;s bad debts-they froze in fear, shut up shop &amp; hoped it would all go away.</p>
<p>We have all suffered for this-the imprudent borrower  &amp; the prudent saver alike.So I don&#8217;t buy the &#8220;it&#8217;s all of us who are at fault&#8221; version of history. </p>
<p>I suspect what Adair Turner meant by &#8220;we&#8221; is the FSA before he joined it-the FSA who were set up by GB &amp; who manifestly failed to ensure that UK Banks acted within the bounds of -dare I say it-Prudence.</p>
<p>I suspect he meant the &#8220;old&#8221; FSA before the present one, which under his regime is now imposing the most stringent Capital Reserves on Banks, and dictating their remuneration &amp; lending practices.</p>
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		<title>By: john t t</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-507214</link>
		<dc:creator>john t t</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 08:14:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-507214</guid>
		<description>The Taxpayer share purchase deal apparently includes commitments for the relevant Banks to return to” 2007 lending practices “( though I haven’t caught up with the detail yet)


is exactly what I was referring to when I said :

“Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend.”


By &quot;we&quot; I think he means all those who did not reccommend credit controls or controls on &quot;rising share prices&quot;

Probably most of us.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Taxpayer share purchase deal apparently includes commitments for the relevant Banks to return to” 2007 lending practices “( though I haven’t caught up with the detail yet)</p>
<p>is exactly what I was referring to when I said :</p>
<p>“Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend.”</p>
<p>By &#8220;we&#8221; I think he means all those who did not reccommend credit controls or controls on &#8220;rising share prices&#8221;</p>
<p>Probably most of us.</p>
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		<title>By: colin</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506537</link>
		<dc:creator>colin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506537</guid>
		<description>Just couldn&#039;t resist this :-

http://www.last.fm/music/Queen/+videos/+1-j0ppC3smQ7E</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just couldn&#8217;t resist this :-</p>
<p><a href="http://www.last.fm/music/Queen/+videos/+1-j0ppC3smQ7E" rel="nofollow">http://www.last.fm/music/Queen/+videos/+1-j0ppC3smQ7E</a></p>
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		<title>By: colin</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506535</link>
		<dc:creator>colin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:16:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506535</guid>
		<description>&quot;Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend.&quot;

That&#039;s not what Adair Turner-new boss of FSA said today john :- 



“What we do not want is a return to some of the extreme lending practices - the very high loan to value ratios, the self certification of your income which applied in the past. We want a more sensible approach.

“We’re trying to make sure, and I think we will undoubtedly make sure,  that there is adequate credit for sensible lending, but without going back to some of the extremes that did help us get into this mess in the first place.

Many lessons to be learned over what has gone on in the last ten years.  There are many interrelated things that we have got to think about. 

&quot; I think at the macro-economic level we probably allowed a boom to go on for too long and with too much rising house prices, rise in share prices etc. There are issues that we need to think about the whole macro-economy.&quot;


I wonder who he means by &quot;we&quot;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend.&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not what Adair Turner-new boss of FSA said today john :- </p>
<p>“What we do not want is a return to some of the extreme lending practices &#8211; the very high loan to value ratios, the self certification of your income which applied in the past. We want a more sensible approach.</p>
<p>“We’re trying to make sure, and I think we will undoubtedly make sure,  that there is adequate credit for sensible lending, but without going back to some of the extremes that did help us get into this mess in the first place.</p>
<p>Many lessons to be learned over what has gone on in the last ten years.  There are many interrelated things that we have got to think about. </p>
<p>&#8221; I think at the macro-economic level we probably allowed a boom to go on for too long and with too much rising house prices, rise in share prices etc. There are issues that we need to think about the whole macro-economy.&#8221;</p>
<p>I wonder who he means by &#8220;we&#8221;?</p>
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		<title>By: colin</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506527</link>
		<dc:creator>colin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:08:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506527</guid>
		<description>This New  Banking Era is already fascinating.

The Taxpayer share purchase deal  apparently includes commitments for the relevant Banks to return to&quot; 2007 lending practices &quot;( though I haven&#039;t caught up with the detail yet)

On BBC Radio&#039;s Money Box Prog this afternoon, some small business people were complaining that their Borrowing rates had recently been increased &amp; their facility tightened.

BBC advice on the show was-go back &amp; tell them the rules just changed-they can&#039;t do that!!

Things could get very uncomfortable at Bank Counters as &quot;The People&quot; assert their rights.

Will we see the Tumbrils trundling up to NatWest Branches and recalcitrant managers being dragged away by those who bailed them out?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This New  Banking Era is already fascinating.</p>
<p>The Taxpayer share purchase deal  apparently includes commitments for the relevant Banks to return to&#8221; 2007 lending practices &#8220;( though I haven&#8217;t caught up with the detail yet)</p>
<p>On BBC Radio&#8217;s Money Box Prog this afternoon, some small business people were complaining that their Borrowing rates had recently been increased &amp; their facility tightened.</p>
<p>BBC advice on the show was-go back &amp; tell them the rules just changed-they can&#8217;t do that!!</p>
<p>Things could get very uncomfortable at Bank Counters as &#8220;The People&#8221; assert their rights.</p>
<p>Will we see the Tumbrils trundling up to NatWest Branches and recalcitrant managers being dragged away by those who bailed them out?</p>
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		<title>By: john t t</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506438</link>
		<dc:creator>john t t</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 13:51:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506438</guid>
		<description>We won&#039;t necessarily be in recession by 2010 spring -  the mega-bust this time has one or two important distinctions from the early 90s - low inflation and low interest rates most importantly. It&#039;s likely that we&#039;ll have a (ok painful) growth rate of .5% in 2009 before re-claiming 2.5% in 2010

Peter, what is slightly worrying is that at the same time as wanting to encourage saving, the Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend. 

There needs to be a co-operative attitude within the EU, and in the USA in order to effectively create a new banking system that allows a balance of freedom and responsibility within it.

Thinking of &quot;oneself&quot; first before one&#039;s responsibility to one&#039;s neighbour clearly is not as good as thinking of both at the same time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We won&#8217;t necessarily be in recession by 2010 spring &#8211;  the mega-bust this time has one or two important distinctions from the early 90s &#8211; low inflation and low interest rates most importantly. It&#8217;s likely that we&#8217;ll have a (ok painful) growth rate of .5% in 2009 before re-claiming 2.5% in 2010</p>
<p>Peter, what is slightly worrying is that at the same time as wanting to encourage saving, the Govt appears to be about to join the boards of the major banks and insist on making it easier to borrow/lend. </p>
<p>There needs to be a co-operative attitude within the EU, and in the USA in order to effectively create a new banking system that allows a balance of freedom and responsibility within it.</p>
<p>Thinking of &#8220;oneself&#8221; first before one&#8217;s responsibility to one&#8217;s neighbour clearly is not as good as thinking of both at the same time.</p>
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		<title>By: shakedown</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506264</link>
		<dc:creator>shakedown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 09:10:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506264</guid>
		<description>I think this is not a Falklands moment but it surely is an &quot;ERM Ejection&quot; moment. This generation of Labour politicians will be tarred with this and any survivors of this administration will find their association with the Blair / Brown mega bust impossible to shake off. Of course the Tories seem irrelevant at moment as everyone looks to Brown to hopefully give us the benefit of his experience but when the general election comes around peope will be looking for vision and a narrative. Still not easy for Cameron because so many of the nation&#039;s challenges would seem to require collective solutons. Should be a golden opportunity for the Lib Dems but I don&#039;t think Clegg has it in him ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think this is not a Falklands moment but it surely is an &#8220;ERM Ejection&#8221; moment. This generation of Labour politicians will be tarred with this and any survivors of this administration will find their association with the Blair / Brown mega bust impossible to shake off. Of course the Tories seem irrelevant at moment as everyone looks to Brown to hopefully give us the benefit of his experience but when the general election comes around peope will be looking for vision and a narrative. Still not easy for Cameron because so many of the nation&#8217;s challenges would seem to require collective solutons. Should be a golden opportunity for the Lib Dems but I don&#8217;t think Clegg has it in him &#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Cllr Peter cairns (SNP)</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506205</link>
		<dc:creator>Cllr Peter cairns (SNP)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 08:09:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506205</guid>
		<description>John tt,

Goldspans ballon; he warned that the dot com bubble would burst and tried to warn people and talk it down. But when it failed he cut interest rates to slow it&#039;s descent an stop it crashing.

In effect to much speculation and cheap money had lead to speculation and a credit boom based on over hyped stockes, so when the crash came he cut interest rates to make credit even cheaper and allowed people in debt to take on more.

The economy kept going with the thing to buy shifting from technology stocks to property. Like Brown at the time goldspan was seen by most as a safe pair of hands on the economy who could defy boom and bust when what he was actually doing was just keeping the boom booming.

Peter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John tt,</p>
<p>Goldspans ballon; he warned that the dot com bubble would burst and tried to warn people and talk it down. But when it failed he cut interest rates to slow it&#8217;s descent an stop it crashing.</p>
<p>In effect to much speculation and cheap money had lead to speculation and a credit boom based on over hyped stockes, so when the crash came he cut interest rates to make credit even cheaper and allowed people in debt to take on more.</p>
<p>The economy kept going with the thing to buy shifting from technology stocks to property. Like Brown at the time goldspan was seen by most as a safe pair of hands on the economy who could defy boom and bust when what he was actually doing was just keeping the boom booming.</p>
<p>Peter.</p>
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		<title>By: john t t</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1495/comment-page-1#comment-506174</link>
		<dc:creator>john t t</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 07:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1495#comment-506174</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m pretty sure we&#039;d have had some sort of house price crash a couple of years ago, but were &quot;rescued&quot; from it by the CDSs and the re-packaging of sub-prime by the banks. The &quot;rocket scientists&quot; not only came up with devices that sustained the bubble, but ensured it would make a much bigger mess when it finally burst.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m pretty sure we&#8217;d have had some sort of house price crash a couple of years ago, but were &#8220;rescued&#8221; from it by the CDSs and the re-packaging of sub-prime by the banks. The &#8220;rocket scientists&#8221; not only came up with devices that sustained the bubble, but ensured it would make a much bigger mess when it finally burst.</p>
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