Comments on: Poll suggests Brown’s rivals would be no improvement

By: thomas

thomas — Sun, 03 Aug 2008 22:30:03 +0000

Mike – you’re sounding as repetitive as John Bull after retraining to be a DJ.

By: Mike "the oracle" Richardson

Mike "the oracle" Richardson — Sun, 03 Aug 2008 08:19:05 +0000

The great failing of the this Labour government & the current British perception of them is all because they won 3 elections – this is the longest period in their history as a political party that they been in office so long – in the past the British only used Labour as a temporary punishment factor against the Tories for perhaps one term in office before they could do any damage – that is what should have happened in 1997 – they should have been back out of power by 2002 at the latest – those extra 5 years (eventually 7 extra years) will be the end of Labour and Britain back where they were in 1979 – sad but true !!

By: Mike "the oracle" Richardson

Mike "the oracle" Richardson — Sun, 03 Aug 2008 08:14:23 +0000

This is like watching the implosion in slow motion – the rats are deserting the sinking ship & fast –

ANTHONY’S Figures :- (CON 45% to LAB 24%. Under David Milliband support would be CON 47%, LAB 24% – worse than with Gordon Brown, albeit, not by a significant amount. With Ed Balls as Labour leader, the party would be pushed into third place behind the Liberal Democrats: CON 50%, LAB 17%, LDEM 18%.)

It’s the last set of figures showing Labour in 3rd place if Ed Balls was leader – this is not fantasy land / as per my previous predictions – that is where Labour will be within months of losing the next election (3rd place) before breaking up for good – once again cut and paste !!

By: Philip J W

Philip J W — Sun, 03 Aug 2008 01:14:08 +0000

Labour are presently stuck on around 26% in the polls. But I think there is a strong possibility that they will drop further in October for three reasons: the coming Labour party conference is likely to be difficult with the media focussing on divisions; the new, and for many more expensive car tax system is likely to be unpopular; the big price rises in gas and electricity will begin to bite as the days get shorter and the weather colder.

I predict a long, hard winter for this Labour government during which they will be even more unpopular then they are now! And the desire for a complete new start will be even greater in this country.

By: Jack

Jack — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 21:59:57 +0000

‘If they don’t get rid of Brown soon, Labor will be out of power for a generation – so any challenger to his leadership would be a good thing.’

I do get bored with predictive comments based on people’s prejudices. Here is meant to be about analysis of polls; please go elsewhere for wish fulfilment.

By: Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP)

Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP) — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 21:19:44 +0000

Scottish figures for the Poll are;

Lab 24% ( 1 lower than UK!), Tory 20%, LibDem 13%, SNP 38%. Even with the small sample a figure of 38% suggests a post Glasgow East boost for the SNP at Labours expense with the Tories up slightly but not by much and the Libdems still in the doldrums.

As with elsewhere scotland is still more pro Brown that the rest of the UK with Scottish support for labour lower for almost everyone else that the UK Labour figure, Straw breaks even and Blair is worst but all the rest lower in an area where you would normally expect a higher vote than the UK.

It could be that the disinclinatio of Scots voters to vote SNP for Westminster is currently on the wain, although I’ll avoid any of the nonsense that is in vogue about techtonic plates.

Peter.

By: simon cooke

simon cooke — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 19:43:29 +0000

NBeale, the calamities are consequences of rather than contributors to Labour’s problems. Most folk have arrived at a position and gone to the pub/holiday/garden centre. Things won’t shift again until the kids go back to school (barring major happenings). The leadership stuff with Miliband doesn’t register with ordinary voters and won’t until he jumps.

It remains the case that the problem the electorate has is with the Labour Government rather than specifically with Gordon Brown. There are no particular policy issues affecting the situation (which makes it rather different from 1980)rather it is a combination of the economy and a sense of ‘rabbits and headlights’.

By: NBeale

NBeale — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 17:38:36 +0000

Amazingly the net result of all these polls is that the Weighted Moving Average is utterly stuck at 45:26:17 – no change at all for the last 20 days and not much since mid-June. Given the continuing stream of calamities happening to Labour this is hard to understand. Perhaps the increasing chance of Brown going before the next election is holding up the Labour vote? Or maybe the politically aware are on holiday?

By: stuart gregory

stuart gregory — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 15:55:24 +0000

lpf

thats just what im saying in my resent comment that labour is doomed with brown but that if a new leader is elected he will call an election as soon as he can and try at least to give him self a mandate.

By: lpf

lpf — Sat, 02 Aug 2008 12:55:15 +0000

If they don’t get rid of Brown soon, Labor will be out of power for a generation – so any challenger to his leadership would be a good thing.