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	<title>Comments on: Has David Davis changed people&#8217;s minds?</title>
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	<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244</link>
	<description>Independent Survey and Polling News</description>
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		<title>By: Johnty</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439841</link>
		<dc:creator>Johnty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 18:22:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439841</guid>
		<description>A complete exercise in uselessness. David Davis is so sore he lost to Cameron he&#039;ll try anything to get back at him including wasting a quarter of a million pound on a non event where only 30% of the people bothered to vote. Doesn&#039;t he realise we are at war with terrorists and need every help we can get, including 42 days. As for the streetcams,look at the crime they solve.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A complete exercise in uselessness. David Davis is so sore he lost to Cameron he&#8217;ll try anything to get back at him including wasting a quarter of a million pound on a non event where only 30% of the people bothered to vote. Doesn&#8217;t he realise we are at war with terrorists and need every help we can get, including 42 days. As for the streetcams,look at the crime they solve.</p>
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		<title>By: Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439604</link>
		<dc:creator>Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:55:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439604</guid>
		<description>john tt,

&lt;i&gt;Christian - I wouldn’t worry about going OTT. Just read some of Fluffy’s posts!&lt;/i&gt;.

OTT: is that &lt;b&gt;O&lt;/b&gt;ver-my-&lt;b&gt;T&lt;/b&gt;hinkable-&lt;b&gt;T&lt;/b&gt;houghts...? :P And here was me thinking that I was a political puppy.

P.S. Camer&#039;s gets a positive response form this week&#039;s &lt;i&gt;The Economist&lt;/i&gt;. Independent commentary; don&#039;t you just love it...? :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>john tt,</p>
<p><i>Christian &#8211; I wouldn’t worry about going OTT. Just read some of Fluffy’s posts!</i>.</p>
<p>OTT: is that <b>O</b>ver-my-<b>T</b>hinkable-<b>T</b>houghts&#8230;? <img src='http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_razz.gif' alt=':P' class='wp-smiley' />  And here was me thinking that I was a political puppy.</p>
<p>P.S. Camer&#8217;s gets a positive response form this week&#8217;s <i>The Economist</i>. Independent commentary; don&#8217;t you just love it&#8230;? <img src='http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: john t t</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439587</link>
		<dc:creator>john t t</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:20:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439587</guid>
		<description>The purpose of focus groups is also to pick up on unforeseen objections. 

Surely it would be quite simple for the promulgation of a focus-group driven policy to include a pre-emptive answer to those objections?  Why wait until the objections are raised before answering them?

Do such opposing questions simply get ignored once the decisions are made? 

Christian - I wouldn&#039;t worry about going OTT. Just read some of Fluffy&#039;s posts!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The purpose of focus groups is also to pick up on unforeseen objections. </p>
<p>Surely it would be quite simple for the promulgation of a focus-group driven policy to include a pre-emptive answer to those objections?  Why wait until the objections are raised before answering them?</p>
<p>Do such opposing questions simply get ignored once the decisions are made? </p>
<p>Christian &#8211; I wouldn&#8217;t worry about going OTT. Just read some of Fluffy&#8217;s posts!</p>
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		<title>By: Christian Schmidt</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439563</link>
		<dc:creator>Christian Schmidt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 09:46:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439563</guid>
		<description>&gt; By and large proposals are focus group tested and tailored to get a positive message before being released. In follows therefore that after a short while you could expect to see some drop once the alternative view catches up and the original proposal is scrutinised.

Just the sort of comment I’d expect from a Nat . . . 

I would actually go further. Not only are the issues focus group tested, but different focus groups are fed different contexts (e.g. as in the ICM poll, in a terrorism context). The results are not simply used to decide which policy is popular and should be adopted, but to find out how a given policy that has the potential to cause problems to your political opponent must be packaged to maximise the damage. 

As you rightly state, the problems for the proponents start when the alternative view of the same issue gains popularity. But this alternative view must be pushed, and that’s what Davis tried to do. 

And I suppose I was somewhat over the top in my earlier post. If the alternative view had really gained popularity, it should feed through even to questions that set out a different context. (That is, if people start to associate 42 days with civil liberties, then even the answers to straight yes/no questions should shift.) 

Christian</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&gt; By and large proposals are focus group tested and tailored to get a positive message before being released. In follows therefore that after a short while you could expect to see some drop once the alternative view catches up and the original proposal is scrutinised.</p>
<p>Just the sort of comment I’d expect from a Nat . . . </p>
<p>I would actually go further. Not only are the issues focus group tested, but different focus groups are fed different contexts (e.g. as in the ICM poll, in a terrorism context). The results are not simply used to decide which policy is popular and should be adopted, but to find out how a given policy that has the potential to cause problems to your political opponent must be packaged to maximise the damage. </p>
<p>As you rightly state, the problems for the proponents start when the alternative view of the same issue gains popularity. But this alternative view must be pushed, and that’s what Davis tried to do. </p>
<p>And I suppose I was somewhat over the top in my earlier post. If the alternative view had really gained popularity, it should feed through even to questions that set out a different context. (That is, if people start to associate 42 days with civil liberties, then even the answers to straight yes/no questions should shift.) </p>
<p>Christian</p>
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		<title>By: Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439545</link>
		<dc:creator>Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 09:18:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439545</guid>
		<description>Rupert Read,

Did you wipe the sweat from your brow when you &lt;i&gt;just&lt;/i&gt; beat us English Democrats in the recount? Until a few months ago very few contributors claimed to know who the E.D.P. were.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rupert Read,</p>
<p>Did you wipe the sweat from your brow when you <i>just</i> beat us English Democrats in the recount? Until a few months ago very few contributors claimed to know who the E.D.P. were.</p>
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		<title>By: Rupert Read</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439515</link>
		<dc:creator>Rupert Read</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 08:05:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439515</guid>
		<description>The Green Party last night scored our highest-ever percentage in a byelection (beating our previous high, back in our best-ever-yet year of 1989), and claimed an unprecedented second place.
We asked, in this byelection, why 28 days (Davis’s preferred number) was so infinitely better than 42, and suggested (as Liberty believe) that it cannot possibly be just in a civilised society to keep someone for more than a week without charge – that habeas corpus is incompatible with 28 days, let alone 42 days.
And this is what is so gratifying about the election result: that, while Davis was supported by a long list of celebs and of politicians from the old Parties – by Bob Geldof, Anthony Barnett, Martin Bell, Bob Marshall-Andrews etc. --, and naturally (with new- and old- media complicity) he romped home, the second place didn’t fall to someone (such as Jill Saward, an Independent who attracted a good deal of press coverage and tacit Labour support – but who lost her deposit badly) to Davis’s authoritarian ‘right’ on this issue, but to us, who took the risk of arguing that Davis wasn’t going nearly far enough.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Green Party last night scored our highest-ever percentage in a byelection (beating our previous high, back in our best-ever-yet year of 1989), and claimed an unprecedented second place.<br />
We asked, in this byelection, why 28 days (Davis’s preferred number) was so infinitely better than 42, and suggested (as Liberty believe) that it cannot possibly be just in a civilised society to keep someone for more than a week without charge – that habeas corpus is incompatible with 28 days, let alone 42 days.<br />
And this is what is so gratifying about the election result: that, while Davis was supported by a long list of celebs and of politicians from the old Parties – by Bob Geldof, Anthony Barnett, Martin Bell, Bob Marshall-Andrews etc. &#8211;, and naturally (with new- and old- media complicity) he romped home, the second place didn’t fall to someone (such as Jill Saward, an Independent who attracted a good deal of press coverage and tacit Labour support – but who lost her deposit badly) to Davis’s authoritarian ‘right’ on this issue, but to us, who took the risk of arguing that Davis wasn’t going nearly far enough.</p>
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		<title>By: Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439504</link>
		<dc:creator>Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 07:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439504</guid>
		<description>Anthony,

I should make myself clearer. If you visit www.yougov.com the Research Hub [left-hand panel] is &lt;i&gt;UK and Southern Europe&lt;/i&gt;. It reminds me of some child&#039;s request to &lt;i&gt;Jim&#039;ll Fix-It&lt;/i&gt; back in the dark-days of the &#039;Seventies.

Sorry for the confusion....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anthony,</p>
<p>I should make myself clearer. If you visit <a href="http://www.yougov.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.yougov.com</a> the Research Hub [left-hand panel] is <i>UK and Southern Europe</i>. It reminds me of some child&#8217;s request to <i>Jim&#8217;ll Fix-It</i> back in the dark-days of the &#8216;Seventies.</p>
<p>Sorry for the confusion&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP)</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439246</link>
		<dc:creator>Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 00:02:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439246</guid>
		<description>I think there is another interpretation of this so called change of heart due to people being better informed.

By and large proposals are focus group tested and tailored to get a positive message before being released. In follows therefore that after a short while you could expect to see some drop once the alternative view catches up and the original proposal is scrutinised.

MP&#039;s and indeed parties are supposed to do this but things like the poll tax and abolishing the 10p rate still get through while they are sleeping. 

In addition as with referendums you can get a cumulative anti effect during a campaign where the proposal has to fend off a series of attacks many of which can be quite contradictory. 

We saw this in Ireland with the EU treaty where business was warning that it could mean to many restrictions on employers while unions warned it might erode workers rights.

Both positions can&#039;t be right but they were both arguments for voting No.

Peter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think there is another interpretation of this so called change of heart due to people being better informed.</p>
<p>By and large proposals are focus group tested and tailored to get a positive message before being released. In follows therefore that after a short while you could expect to see some drop once the alternative view catches up and the original proposal is scrutinised.</p>
<p>MP&#8217;s and indeed parties are supposed to do this but things like the poll tax and abolishing the 10p rate still get through while they are sleeping. </p>
<p>In addition as with referendums you can get a cumulative anti effect during a campaign where the proposal has to fend off a series of attacks many of which can be quite contradictory. </p>
<p>We saw this in Ireland with the EU treaty where business was warning that it could mean to many restrictions on employers while unions warned it might erode workers rights.</p>
<p>Both positions can&#8217;t be right but they were both arguments for voting No.</p>
<p>Peter.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony Wells</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439179</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Wells</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jul 2008 21:45:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439179</guid>
		<description>Simon - it would be for almost any question! Opinion poll questions by necessity force peoples answers into convenient little boxes, real people&#039;s views are more nuanced than that. 

There was a poll on 42 days for Liberty a month or two back that gave people the option of keeping 28 day detention and allowing post-charge questioning instead, and given the choice between the two post-charge questioning proved more popular than 42 day detention (sadly that poll also had it&#039;s drawbacks, since it missed the rather obvious option of having 42 day detention AND post-charge questioning - hence it didn&#039;t tell us about the popularity of 42 detention per se, only that post-charge questioning was even more popular!)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Simon &#8211; it would be for almost any question! Opinion poll questions by necessity force peoples answers into convenient little boxes, real people&#8217;s views are more nuanced than that. </p>
<p>There was a poll on 42 days for Liberty a month or two back that gave people the option of keeping 28 day detention and allowing post-charge questioning instead, and given the choice between the two post-charge questioning proved more popular than 42 day detention (sadly that poll also had it&#8217;s drawbacks, since it missed the rather obvious option of having 42 day detention AND post-charge questioning &#8211; hence it didn&#8217;t tell us about the popularity of 42 detention per se, only that post-charge questioning was even more popular!)</p>
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		<title>By: simon cooke</title>
		<link>http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1244/comment-page-1#comment-439125</link>
		<dc:creator>simon cooke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jul 2008 19:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1244#comment-439125</guid>
		<description>There is a lesson in discussing the impact of public debate on polling - levels of support for ID cards fell once the matter was subject to public scrutiny.  The same is true about 42 days, DNA databases and other aspects of our &#039;sleeper&#039; police state.  Which is, I guess DD&#039;s point however poorly manifest.

Last Tuesday in answer to a question about RIPA, the leader of Bradford Council revealed the expent to which this is used for investigations by council - and most frighteningly for me was that the most common use was covert surveillance of the Council&#039;s own staff.

Anthony, I agree about not leading the witness but how often are you asking question the answer to which is not necessarily encapsulated by the choices presented to the respondent.  Surely most people&#039;s answer to the 42 day question - if given the chance to think about it - will be; &quot;it depends...&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a lesson in discussing the impact of public debate on polling &#8211; levels of support for ID cards fell once the matter was subject to public scrutiny.  The same is true about 42 days, DNA databases and other aspects of our &#8217;sleeper&#8217; police state.  Which is, I guess DD&#8217;s point however poorly manifest.</p>
<p>Last Tuesday in answer to a question about RIPA, the leader of Bradford Council revealed the expent to which this is used for investigations by council &#8211; and most frighteningly for me was that the most common use was covert surveillance of the Council&#8217;s own staff.</p>
<p>Anthony, I agree about not leading the witness but how often are you asking question the answer to which is not necessarily encapsulated by the choices presented to the respondent.  Surely most people&#8217;s answer to the 42 day question &#8211; if given the chance to think about it &#8211; will be; &#8220;it depends&#8230;&#8221;</p>
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