Comments on: Testing likelihood to vote http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1242 Opinion polling and political analysis Sun, 12 Feb 2012 01:02:34 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Anthony Wells http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1242/comment-page-1#comment-439699 Anthony Wells Fri, 11 Jul 2008 14:07:43 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1242#comment-439699 Hi George - yep, the question is likelihood to vote with the scale from "very unlikely" to "very likely" Hi George – yep, the question is likelihood to vote with the scale from “very unlikely” to “very likely”

]]> By: George Illingworth http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1242/comment-page-1#comment-439695 George Illingworth Fri, 11 Jul 2008 13:48:23 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1242#comment-439695 You use the phrase "10/10 likely to vote" and also the phrase "10/10 certain to vote". Which one was used in the survey? I trust it was "likely"? Surely thinking people could never say 10/10 they were certain to vote (as all sorts of events might prevent them), though they could say 10/10 they were likely to vote. George You use the phrase “10/10 likely to vote” and also the phrase “10/10 certain to vote”. Which one was used in the survey? I trust it was “likely”?

Surely thinking people could never say 10/10 they were certain to vote (as all sorts of events might prevent them), though they could say 10/10 they were likely to vote.

George

]]> By: Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.) http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1242/comment-page-1#comment-437546 Fluffy Thoughts (E.D.P.) Tue, 08 Jul 2008 07:56:43 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1242#comment-437546 I am sure I made a similar comment (about Internet polls reflecting the more committed voter) to Mark Senior a few months ago (in a YouGov blog). So no surprises for me. :) That said, your graphic is hard to read. The closeness of postal and proxy votes (in palette as well as dimensions) initially led me to believe that proxy-voting is growing. [Ok, I mistook the likelihood dimension (x-axis) to be a time-phase analysis, but I have examined closer.] Needless to say my annual appointment to the opticians is due. Better phone up a certain opticians, hey Virgil...! I am sure I made a similar comment (about Internet polls reflecting the more committed voter) to Mark Senior a few months ago (in a YouGov blog). So no surprises for me. :)

That said, your graphic is hard to read. The closeness of postal and proxy votes (in palette as well as dimensions) initially led me to believe that proxy-voting is growing. [Ok, I mistook the likelihood dimension (x-axis) to be a time-phase analysis, but I have examined closer.]

Needless to say my annual appointment to the opticians is due. Better phone up a certain opticians, hey Virgil…!

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