ICM’s monthly poll for the Guardian has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their previous poll, of CON 45%(+3), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 20%(-1).
The poll was conducted between the 20th and 22nd June. The timing means that the public would have had time to thoroughly digest both David Davis’s resignation and the recent outbreak of sleaze allegations in the Tory party (Caroline Spelman and various MEPs). It does not suggest any have had any effect.
Labour’s level of support is the lowest ICM have recorded, the Tory lead the largest, the gap between Labour and the Lib Dems remains at 5 points. With YouGov, Populus, ICM and BPIX all showing Tory leads of 20+ points and Ipsos-MORI in abeyance while they review their methods, now ComRes are the only pollster showing a Conservative lead below 20 points.