Comments on: ComRes -17 point Tory lead http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209 Opinion polling and political analysis Sun, 12 Feb 2012 00:24:58 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Mike http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209/comment-page-1#comment-400208 Mike Mon, 19 May 2008 19:46:49 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1209#comment-400208 ComRes poll for The Independent in the Crewe constituency "puts the Tories a huge THIRTEEN points ahead, the highest lead so far" ComRes poll for The Independent in the Crewe constituency “puts the Tories a huge THIRTEEN points ahead, the highest lead so far”

]]> By: oliver http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209/comment-page-1#comment-400168 oliver Mon, 19 May 2008 18:49:28 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1209#comment-400168 14 point Tory lead w/ICM, Labour onle 5 points ahead of the Lib-Dems 14 point Tory lead w/ICM, Labour onle 5 points ahead of the Lib-Dems

]]> By: John B Dick http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209/comment-page-1#comment-400145 John B Dick Mon, 19 May 2008 17:56:23 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1209#comment-400145 Sally C "other factors affected the result in London. Loyality to Ken, his distinction from New Labour etc." Not being associated with a third-term government which is losing support is certainly helpful. John Major's great achievement in very similar circumstances was to persuade people that there had been a change of management and so win an election. He actually once referred to the need to reverse something that had been done by "the previous government" of which of course he had been a leading member. Sally C

“other factors affected the result in London. Loyality to Ken, his distinction from New Labour etc.”

Not being associated with a third-term government which is losing support is certainly helpful. John Major’s great achievement in very similar circumstances was to persuade people that there had been a change of management and so win an election.

He actually once referred to the need to reverse something that had been done by “the previous government” of which of course he had been a leading member.

]]> By: Thomas Widmann http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209/comment-page-1#comment-400058 Thomas Widmann Mon, 19 May 2008 15:09:07 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1209#comment-400058 The Scottish figures look absurd, but then, the Scottish subsample is ridiculously small. It's a shame nobody treats England and Scotland separately for polling purposes. The Scottish figures look absurd, but then, the Scottish subsample is ridiculously small. It’s a shame nobody treats England and Scotland separately for polling purposes.

]]> By: NBeale http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/1209/comment-page-1#comment-399534 NBeale Sun, 18 May 2008 19:19:57 +0000 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/?p=1209#comment-399534 CommRes tends on average to over-estimate the C Lead by 1 point, and has a Standard Deviation of 3 - so it's the least reliable pollster. On this occasion it seems to have been true to form, and over-estimated by 1.4 points (the WMA is now a 17 pt CLead because of the latest YouGov whose fieldwork was after the ComRes poll.) CommRes tends on average to over-estimate the C Lead by 1 point, and has a Standard Deviation of 3 – so it’s the least reliable pollster. On this occasion it seems to have been true to form, and over-estimated by 1.4 points (the WMA is now a 17 pt CLead because of the latest YouGov whose fieldwork was after the ComRes poll.)

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