Comments on: Biggest Tory lead for 20 years

By: Breaking Up Is Hard To Do: Westminster Watch: w/b 17th March 2008 | The Wardman Wire

Thu, 20 Mar 2008 11:03:01 +0000

[...] the Sunday Times YouGov poll that put the Tories sixteen points ahead of the comrades. Although the UK Polling Report concluded that this one was probably an outrider, a subsequent ICM poll confirmed the (albeit [...]

By: Glenn Benson

Glenn Benson — Wed, 19 Mar 2008 00:50:49 +0000

Fluffy; So I will watch with interest the value of your contributions to this site, apart from slatig other people!

By: Frederic Stansfield

Frederic Stansfield — Tue, 18 Mar 2008 11:42:05 +0000

Following the ICM poll this YouGov one looks accurate, not an outlier.

The financial crisis of the last week, and the pathetic budget that showed Labour’s lack of control over the UK’s fate, appear to have caused a shift similar to that the Tories suffered over withdrawal from the ERM.

Perhaps it is a bigger surprise that we have not had polls like this ever since Northern Rock, but the Tories’ own history perhaps helps explain.

As usual, the reports underplay Other repsonse. There appears to be a shift to “Others”.

It will be interesting to see the voting intentions analyses according to reported voting at previous elections. Mu suspicion is that Labour vters are desrting to both Lib Dems and Tories, but the voters the Lib dems are gaining are being offset by Lib Dem voters switching to the Tories. This is bad news for the Lib Dems, because they would lose the many Southern seats they hold from the Tories by a narrow margin, whilst picking up votes in Northern Lib Dem/Labour marginals, of which there are fewer.

By: Mike "the oracle" Richardson

Mike "the oracle" Richardson — Tue, 18 Mar 2008 02:08:12 +0000

STEVE WHEELER – I had more faith in you than to run for the hills as some past Tories on here have done with a bad POLL.

By: Steve Wheeler (lab)

Steve Wheeler (lab) — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 23:55:33 +0000

Oh I see now

By: Steve Wheeler (lab)

Steve Wheeler (lab) — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 23:35:06 +0000

The BBC news website says that ICM are reporting a 13point lead to the Conservatives?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7301163.stm

Is this there anything in this or are they just trying to rub it in?

By: NBeale

NBeale — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 22:04:37 +0000

Brown’s “political genius” is bailing out – about time someone left with 5 ministers gone already. Meanwhile the Evening Standard Mayoral poll gives a similar C support in London to the YouGov tables. Let’s see what the next polls bring.

By: Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP)

Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP) — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 20:29:41 +0000

Just as a rule of thumb I tend to almost make a paragraph out of a sentence because it’s just easier to read on a screen.

After all it’s not like paper that you need to pay for, screen space is free.

Peter.

By: TJ Jones

TJ Jones — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 20:05:41 +0000

Steve Wheeler and co.Have faith still plenty of time yet.

Just think what it would be like on Conservative Home,sorry,I mean this messageboard if the polls swing back around.It’s not like it has not happened before.Think back to 8 months ago.

Keep the faith…tic toc…tic toc.

By: Colin

Colin — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 19:51:25 +0000

William Rees-Mogg says in The Times today :-

“….I have looked up the table at the end of Colin Rallings’s and Michael Thrasher’s Media Guide; this converts voting preferences into seats. I found that the authors had not even included a column in which Labour has only 27 per cent; this YouGov poll has gone off their scale.”

terra incognita.

Steve-please keep the faith & post on.Without different views there is no politicsyour”bravery” much appreciated !;-)