Comments on: ComRes gives the Conservatives an 8 point lead

By: Mike Richardson

Mike Richardson — Wed, 31 Oct 2007 00:23:56 +0000

JOE JAMES BROUGHTON :-

Thank you for your comment on my posting about the effect the Liberals have on politics – it was my “Vision” .

By: David Bowtell

David Bowtell — Tue, 30 Oct 2007 21:35:03 +0000

If the ICM figures are right they still give Labour a lead and with a bit of tactical voting it won’t be that far short of a majority. I can’t see an election before October 2009 and I imagine there’ll be a vote-catching budget of some sort earlier that year. I still think a small Labour majority (low 20s like Major in ’92) is likely and if it’s no-overall with Labour in the lead the Liberals will be sorely tempted!

By: Mark Senior

Mark Senior — Tue, 30 Oct 2007 21:01:55 +0000

Tim I don’t think that is true nationwide . In West Yorkshire and Loughborough for example the BNP have clearly been taking more votes from the Conservatives but it was certainly true in London in the 2006 locals .

By: Tim Withers

Tim Withers — Tue, 30 Oct 2007 20:54:03 +0000

Andy D – The BNP attract largely former Labour voters.

I daresay Brown’s claim of “British jobs for British workers” – despite it being non-workable – has attracted back a few.

By: Mark Senior

Mark Senior — Tue, 30 Oct 2007 19:56:41 +0000

Interesting comparing ICM and Comres . If you apply ICM’S weighting to Comres raw data the published figures would have been roughly Con 39 Lab 34 LibDem 18 all +/- 1%