Mori are showing the issues as;

Most Important Issues

Crime 55%
Race/ Asylum 35%
NHS/ Hosp’ 26%
Defence 25%
Educat’n/ Schools 19%
Eco’ 9%

How much have these changed over the summer? I think crime has risen which could explain Brown’s suggested “Have a Go Hero” law change. Also with Race and Asylum at number 2, the “British Jobs” line is hardly a surprise.

Maybe you could do us a graph of the main issues over time and how they have changed with key point dates, like terror attacks and government announcements, along the bottom.

Then we can see how events are shaping opinion and the time lag before politicains respond.

Not that I am a cynic…….

Peter.

It looks to me that at present labour is piling on votes in areas where they are already safe, where as turnout is if anything falling in areas where the Tories are both ahead and need to win.

Still nothing detailed on Scotland although the SNP seem to be on a higher vote nationally (3%) than UKIP (2%). It’s about 8% of the “North” figure but i don’t know what that covers, so we are still in the dark about how the Brown bounce has effected Scotland.

i am sure that the reported figure of SNP at 35% with the Tories and LibDems both at 10% or less can’t be right or if it is wouldn’t be repeated in an election.

Peter.

No, when I said ‘pick off’ I meant shoot down rather than use .
Though there could be a bit of that too.

On the immediate election polls, all normal polls ask about an election tomorrow – that is itself normal voting intention, so I expect that the private polls Labour were claiming weren’t asking that, but some other wording asking about immediate elections. Since nothing about it is public we can’t possibly make any judgements about it, MORI’s question is kosher and above board and judging from that a fair question about how people would vote in an immediate election doesn’t make any great difference to the normal voting intention figures.