York Central

2015 Result:
Conservative: 13496 (28.3%)
Labour: 20212 (42.4%)
Lib Dem: 3804 (8%)
Green: 4791 (10%)
UKIP: 4795 (10.1%)
TUSC: 288 (0.6%)
Others: 291 (0.6%)
MAJORITY: 6716 (14.1%)

Category: Safe Labour seat

Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, North Yorkshire. Part of the York council area.

Main population centres: York.

Profile: As the name suggests this seat covers York city centre, a tourist centre with its historic walls, the Minster, museums and quaint shops. More populus are the surrounding residential areas, including council built developments in Clifton and Tang Hall (much of which is now owner occupied or rented thanks to right to buy). York`s economy was one based upon the railways and confectionary making. The railway industry has now gone, but Nestle remains a significant local employer. The University of York campus lies just outside the constituency boundary in York Outer and there is a significany student population within the seat.

Politics: York Central was created for the 2010 election, though it is a clear successor to the old City of York seat. The two York seats are an unusual case of the Boundary Commission splitting a city into two seats by creating an inner central seat and an outer doughnut, rather than splitting a town east-west or north-south. The old City of York seat was normally a reliable Labour seat, a record broken only by a brief (and extremely narrow) Conservative victory in 1987.


Current MP
RACHAEL MASKELL (Labour) Educated at East Anglia University. Former trade union officer and physiotherapist. First elected as MP for York Central in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 12122 (26%)
Lab: 18573 (40%)
LDem: 11694 (25%)
GRN: 1669 (4%)
Oth: 2425 (5%)
MAJ: 6451 (14%)
2005*
Con: 11364 (24%)
Lab: 21836 (47%)
LDem: 10166 (22%)
GRN: 2113 (5%)
Oth: 1118 (2%)
MAJ: 10472 (22%)
2001
Con: 11293 (24%)
Lab: 25072 (52%)
LDem: 8519 (18%)
GRN: 1465 (3%)
Oth: 1631 (3%)
MAJ: 13779 (29%)
1997
Con: 14433 (25%)
Lab: 34956 (60%)
LDem: 6537 (11%)
Oth: 1336 (2%)
MAJ: 20523 (35%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from York, City of

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ROBERT MCILVEEN (Conservative) Born 1981. Educated at Warwick and Sheffield Universities. Network rail manager.
RACHAEL MASKELL (Labour) Educated at East Anglia University. Trade union officer and physiotherapist.
NICK LOVE (Liberal Democrat) Contested Wentworth and Dearne 2010.
KEN GUEST (UKIP)
JONATHAN TYLER (Green) Railwayman and transport consultant. Contested Walsall North 1976 by-election, Birmingham Edgbaston 1979.
CHRIS WHITWOOD (Yorkshire First) Teacher.
MEGAN OLLERHEAD (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 117 Responses on “York Central”
  1. They campaign in Dore and Totley, the one Sheffield ward where Tories are (or, more accurately used to be) relatively competitive. One of their candidates came behind Labour this year though, so their remaining support is collapsing.

    Otherwise, yes, they campaign in NE Derbyshire, High Peak and Penistone and Stocksbridge.

  2. Boundary changes that add Penistone might make it possible, but unlikely I agree.

  3. “I’ve never studied or worked there myself but know people who do and their Political Science department has a very left-wing reputation, as does their Economics department.”

    That reputation is not at all accurate as regards the economics department (either staff or students). LSE has always had a strong contingent of right wing economics professors including some who were instrumental in developing/applying monetarist policies in the 70s and 80s. There has also long been a strong contingent of “third way” centrists in the department some of whom became very influential during the early Blair period….again, hardly left wing.

    The student body is probably right of the national average overall, more so in the economics department than government or law. As Max says, a very large number of students are international though so many can’t vote.

  4. I imagine the third way economists were of the social liberal stance which is what makes uni’s seem more left wing than are. I have tory voting friends on my law course but they were all just as pro remain and anti Syria Bombing as my Corbyn supporting friends.

  5. I’m a bit surprised about the LSE to be honest, and I did know about Imperial-high concentration of science students tends to do that to a university. I find that in general scientists are more right wing-then again I’m an English student who chairs the York Uni UKIP so there are exceptions to every rule of the thumb.
    Hemmelig-there are some Tories who are far more right wing than I am, I mean that there are high concentrations of socialists, and actually people who are considered by socialists and an-coms to go too far (particularly in UCL and Goldsmiths) .

  6. I’m not disagreeing with you about UCL and Goldsmiths, nor the ex-polys, my point was just that there are other London institutions which do not conform to the left wing stereotype. Pretty sure Roehampton is another.

    “I’m a bit surprised about the LSE to be honest”

    Why? LSE has educated much of the global financial elite. It’s hardly likely to be full of raving lefties purely on the basis that Mick Jagger studied there 50 years ago.

  7. I’m not so sure she does appear to be a pretty strong Corbyn loyalist. She might just stay in the cabinet and vote against Article 50, I doubt there will be any repercussions. Corbyn can hardly afford to sack her!

  8. Vulnerability out of 10?

    I’m a York resident and Maskell is fairly prominent locally. Central pretty strongly remain as well. There will be some Lab-LD switchers but can’t see that many.

    Would need to be a really good night for the Tories. Their candidate is likely to be Chris Steward – known for leading the local Council until quite recently but also for saying that there is no poverty in the UK and that people shouldn’t donate to food banks.

  9. I could see Labour’s majority here being reduce to a very small margin.

  10. UKIP did not do particularly well here in 2015 and there does not appear to be enough of their vote for the Conservatives to squeeze.

  11. This one might have a small enough swing to buck the trend.

  12. I’d be very surprised if this one fell. There’s a strong Green vote for Labour to squeeze.

  13. I thought this was common knowledge but the Greens aren’t standing here, they’ve pulled out and are endorsing Maskell. Given the nature of the Green vote in a seat like this I think its fair to assume most of that 10% will go Labs way making a Tory gain here extremely unlikely.

  14. I’d expect something like this for this seat

    Lab 46
    Con 36
    LD 18

    Tories are hitting this quite hard probably because they have no other targets nearby. It’s unwinnable.
    Incidentally it will be strong Labour results in seats like this which will be responsible for Labours vote holding around 28-30%.

  15. Or alternatively, a 6% Lab+Grn decrease. When put that way it seems pretty plausible, if anything a little harsh on Labour.

  16. Holgate Ward By-election, 15.02.18:

    Lab 1,521
    LD 982
    Cons 334
    Green 203

    Lab hold.

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