Wrexham

2015 Result:
Conservative: 10350 (31.6%)
Labour: 12181 (37.2%)
Lib Dem: 1735 (5.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 2501 (7.6%)
Green: 669 (2%)
UKIP: 5072 (15.5%)
Independent: 211 (0.6%)
MAJORITY: 1831 (5.6%)

Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat

Geography: Wales, Clwyd. Part of the Wrexham council area.

Main population centres: Wrexham, Gresford.

Profile: The overwhelming majority of the seat is made up of the town of Wrexham itself, the biggest town in north Wales, situated close to the English border. Wrexham is a former heavy industrial town, once dominated by mining and brewing. In more recent times it has successfully diversified into light and high tech industry and houses the second largest industrial estate in the country to the east of town. Companies operating here include Kelloggs, JCB and Calypso drinks.

Politics: Labour has held the seat since its creation in 1935, but not always safely. In recent years its safety has owed much to the opposition support being divided between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. The Welsh Assembly seat of the same borders has a much more exotic recent history, thanks to the political travels of the former Labour MP John Marek, who held the assembly seat as an independent after being deselected, failed to hold it for his new Forward Wales party and eventually joined the Conservatives.


Current MP
IAN LUCAS (Labour) Born 1960, Gateshead. Educated at Newcastle Royal Grammar School and Oxford University. Former Solicitor. Contested North Shrophire 1997. First elected as MP for Wrexham in 2001. Government whip 2008-2009, Under-secretary for Business 2009-2010. Resigned as a PPS in 2006 as part of the abortive Brownite coup that forced Tony Blair to name a date for his departure.
Past Results
2010
Con: 8375 (25%)
Lab: 12161 (37%)
LDem: 8503 (26%)
PC: 2029 (6%)
Oth: 1908 (6%)
MAJ: 3658 (11%)
2005
Con: 6079 (20%)
Lab: 13993 (46%)
LDem: 7174 (24%)
PC: 1744 (6%)
Oth: 1395 (5%)
MAJ: 6819 (22%)
2001
Con: 6746 (22%)
Lab: 15934 (53%)
LDem: 5153 (17%)
PC: 1783 (6%)
Oth: 432 (1%)
MAJ: 9188 (31%)
1997
Con: 8688 (24%)
Lab: 20450 (56%)
LDem: 4833 (13%)
PC: 1170 (3%)
Oth: 1281 (4%)
MAJ: 11762 (32%)

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ANDREW ATKINSON (Conservative)
IAN LUCAS (Labour) See above.
ROB WALSH (Liberal Democrat)
NIALL PLEVIN-KELLY (UKIP)
DAVID MUNNERLEY (Green)
CARRIE HARPER (Plaid)
BRIAN EDWARDS (Independent)
Links
Comments - 143 Responses on “Wrexham”
  1. Yes, Inds made most of the Gains here.

  2. Tories gained 4 here.

  3. Ive had 2 visits from Labour within a week here ( as opposed to never at any other GE ). Obviously not giving up without a fight – although they looked very despondent I have to say !!

  4. Theresa May launching the Conservative’s Welsh manifesto here today.

  5. There will be a Welsh barometer released by YouGov at some point today apparently it has raised some eye brows.

  6. In a negative sense?

  7. My guess on the new Welsh poll is Lab will be back ahead, maybe comfortably. Welsh polls usually move broadly in line with national polls – if they did we’d expect Lab +1 or so, compared to Con +6 two weeks ago. Will be interesting to see if Plaid are collapsing, like other smaller parties.

  8. New Welsh poll is as follows:

    LAB: 44% (+9)
    CON: 34% (-7)
    PC: 9% (-1)
    LDEM: 6% (-1)
    UKIP: 5% (+1)

    Ian Lucas and co. might be sleeping a little better tonight.

  9. All I will say is the Tories do seem incredibly efficient with the Welsh vote. I could see them take an incidental vote increase but still gain two or three seats.

  10. I think it’s worth re-stating that Welsh poll but using the 2015 GE figures for comparison instead of the last poll :

    Lab 44% (+7)
    Con 34% (+7)
    PC 9% (-3)
    LibDem 6% (-)
    UKIP 5% (-9)

    Swing – Zero

  11. Lab hold, maj up one vote

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