Westmorland & Lonsdale

2015 Result:
Conservative: 16245 (33.2%)
Labour: 2661 (5.4%)
Lib Dem: 25194 (51.5%)
Green: 1798 (3.7%)
UKIP: 3031 (6.2%)
MAJORITY: 8949 (18.3%)

Category: Semi-marginal Liberal Democrat seat

Geography: North West, Cumbria. Most of the South Lakeland council area.

Main population centres: Kendal, Windermere, Sedbergh, Kirkby Lonsdale, Ambleside.

Profile: A large rural seat in Cumbria. The seat includes Kendal, Windermere, Sedbergh, Kirkby Lonsdale and Ambleside, but not the historic county town of Appleby-in-Westmorland. It also includes Lake Windermere, Coniston Water and much of the Lake District. The local economy is largely based on agriculture and tourism.

Politics: In 2005 the Conservative shadow minister Tim Collins was defeated in this seat by a tiny majority, the lone victim of what had been described as a Liberal Democrat decapitation strategy against Conservative frontbenchers in marginal seats. In 2010 the new Liberal Democrat MP Tim Farron managed a further huge swing in favour, making this into a solid enough Liberal Democrat seat to withstanding even their 2015 drubbing.


Current MP
TIM FARRON (Liberal Democrat) Born 1970, Preston. Educated at Lostock Hall School and Newcastle University. Former manager in higher education. Lancashire councillor 1993-2000, South Ribble councillor 1995-1999, South Lakeland councillor 2004-2008. Contested North West Durham 1992, South Ribble 1997, Westmorland & Lonsdale 2001. First elected as MP for Westmorland and Lonsdale in 2005. PPS to Menzies Campbell 2006-2007, President of the Liberal Democrats 2010-2015. Leader of the Liberal Democrats since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 18632 (36%)
Lab: 1158 (2%)
LDem: 30896 (60%)
UKIP: 801 (2%)
MAJ: 12264 (24%)
2005*
Con: 22302 (45%)
Lab: 3796 (8%)
LDem: 22569 (45%)
UKIP: 660 (1%)
Oth: 309 (1%)
MAJ: 267 (1%)
2001
Con: 22486 (47%)
Lab: 5234 (11%)
LDem: 19339 (40%)
UKIP: 552 (1%)
Oth: 292 (1%)
MAJ: 3147 (7%)
1997
Con: 21470 (42%)
Lab: 10459 (21%)
LDem: 16949 (33%)
MAJ: 4521 (9%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
ANN MYATT (Conservative) Educated at Bookwell School and Leeds University. Consultant dermatologist. Contested Hemsworth 2010.
JOHN BATESON (Labour) Educated at Kendal Grammar School. Semi retired examiner and teacher. Contested Westmorland and Lonsdale 2001.
TIM FARRON (Liberal Democrat) See above.
ALAN PIPER (UKIP) Hotelier.
CHRIS LOYNES (Green) University lecturer.
Links
Comments - 1,164 Responses on “Westmorland & Lonsdale”
  1. ”What more do you guys want?”

    As I said in my previous post schools are a massive problem area. It simply isn’t discussed to the extent it should be and consequently many young gay people feel isolated and alone (I speak from experience). There is very little repercussions for homophobic abuse either as teachers broadly don’t seem to want to/don’t know how to deal with it whereas they do take racist abuse very seriously (as they should).

    Nobody thinks that people should be made to love gay people (well maybe the authoritarian left) but there should be equality under the law, actual repercussions for homophobic abuse and a good standard of information for LGBT+ youth. You are correct equality under the law has been achieved but the actual repercussions for homophobic abuse are still lacking in areas (e.g. schools and probably certain work places). Education for gay people though is diabolical, there is very little support in terms of how to ‘come out’ to your parents and generally coming to terms with your feelings. That is even before you get on to sexual health information, for straight people it’s very bad anyway but for gay people it’s non-existent.

  2. ”You are correct equality under the law has been achieved”

    Apart from smaller things like blood donation,.

  3. This is going to seem a bit random but if the Isle of Man were not a crown dependency and a unitary authority in the United Kingdom instead how do we think they would vote at Westminster elections?

  4. Probably for a regionalist, Manx-specific party. The only organized party is a Lib Dem sister party called Liberal Vannin (perhaps I am deficient, but I have no idea what Vannin means — is it a Manx word?), but I doubt that would translate to a win overall. Most likely a regionalist and centrist party would win, but if not, then Tory/LD would be the best guess.

  5. If the Isle of Man was a supersized oversized seat of its own could it feasibly be a Tory/Lib Dem marginal if it voted for the UK parties?

  6. More or less what I said. But, again, I think it’d vote for more a Plaid or MK-type party.

  7. I see what you’re saying. So it would of course be very much a nationalist seat. I wonder whether Labour would get much of a vote?

  8. I think the comparatives would be things like Westmoreland, Ceredigion, West Aberdeenshire, or Orkney & Shetland.

  9. On the same tangent. What about the Channel Islands?

  10. Would an Isle of Man constituency perhaps vote something roughly along these lines?
    Lib Dem- 12000 (39.3%)
    Manx Nationalist Party- 9500 (31.1%)
    Conservative- 6500 (21.3%)
    Labour- 2500 (8.1%)

    Bearing in mind of course that as with all islands or heavily isolated rural areas e.g. Scottish Highlands or Cornwall, the personalities of the candidates would matter a bit as well.

  11. Given the nature of the economy and demographics on the Isle of Man I’d have thought it would be a pretty safe Conservative seat, with the potential for an LD challenge in the right circumstances. But of course if it weren’t a Crown dependency it couldn’t have the low tax regime it has and the demographics might hence be different.

  12. Maybe you’re right. Perhaps taking into account the island’s tax status, something like this might be slightly more accurate for how it would vote as a UK Parliamentary constituency?
    Conservative- 12000
    Lib Dem- 9000
    Manx Nationalist Party- 8500
    Labour- 2500

  13. Vannin is the Manx word for Man (the island). So Liberal Vannin is just the Isle of Man Lib Dems.

  14. Interesting.

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