West Ham

2015 Result:
Conservative: 8146 (15.4%)
Labour: 36132 (68.4%)
Lib Dem: 1430 (2.7%)
Green: 2651 (5%)
UKIP: 3950 (7.5%)
Others: 484 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 27986 (53%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of Newham council area.

Main population centres: Forest Gate, Upton Park, Plaistow, West Ham, Canning Town, Stratford.

Profile: West Ham is deeply deprived seat in the London Borough of Newham. It has one of the highest proportions of ethnic minorities of any seat in the country, and is one of the few where white people form a minority - in the 2011 census only 35% gave their ethnicity as white. Around a quarter of the population are Muslim, around a quarter are black. Parts of the area have undergone unprecedented revelopment in recent years, especially Stratford where the a huge Stratford City project includes large scale residential and commerical development, a new international railway station on the channel tunnel rail link and, most significantly, the Olympic Village and Stadium for the 2012 Olympics.

Politics: Politically Newham is normally a one party state, in the 2010 and 2014 elections every councillor elected represented the Labour party, as did the elected mayor. The large Muslim population allowed Respect to gain some support in the area and they secured second place in the 2005 general election, albeit a distant one, but failed to put forward a candidate since. In 2015 the Labour majority climbed to over fifty percent.


Current MP
LYN BROWN (Labour) Born 1960, London. Educated at Plashet Comprehensive and Whitelands College, Putney. Former social worker. Newham councillor 1988-2006. Contested Wanstead and Woodford 1992. First elected as MP for West Ham in 2005. PPS to Phil Woolas 2006-2007, PPS to John Denham 2007-2009, government whip 2009-2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 6888 (15%)
Lab: 29422 (63%)
LDem: 5392 (11%)
UKIP: 766 (2%)
Oth: 4483 (10%)
MAJ: 22534 (48%)
2005*
Con: 3618 (12%)
Lab: 15840 (51%)
LDem: 3364 (11%)
GRN: 894 (3%)
Oth: 7250 (23%)
MAJ: 8999 (29%)
2001
Con: 4804 (16%)
Lab: 20449 (70%)
LDem: 2166 (7%)
GRN: 1197 (4%)
Oth: 657 (2%)
MAJ: 15645 (53%)
1997
Con: 5037 (15%)
Lab: 24531 (73%)
LDem: 2479 (7%)
Oth: 1614 (5%)
MAJ: 19494 (58%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
FESTUS AKINBUSOYE (Conservative) Born Nigeria. Educated at St Pauls Secondary School and London College of Printing and Distributive Trades. Parliamentary assistant.
LYN BROWN (Labour) See above.
PAUL REYNOLDS (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Professor. Contested Leicestershire North West 2010.
JAMIE ROSS-MCKENZIE (UKIP)
RACHEL COLLINSON (Green)
CYDATTY BOGIE (Communities United)
ANDY UZOKA (CPA)
Links
Comments - 68 Responses on “West Ham”
  1. The docu is certainly worth watching. I watched last night.

    HH – I think you’d particularly enjoy the guy (mixed race Caribbean) bemoaning all of the immigrants.

    As well as the Indian, West Ham supporter who also complained about the lack of white kids today in the school he attended years ago.

    But it was largely centred on the white flight of Eastenders moving to Essex. It said over the past 15 years most of the white population have moved out of Newham.

  2. Councillor Ellie Robinson of Forest Gate North Ward is to resign her seat to become an Senior Advisor to Sadiq Khan at City Hall.

  3. Newham was possibly the strangest result of all. Just 52.8% Remain despite the white British population being around 10-15%.

  4. Similar to the AV result – the ‘trendies’ and ‘ethnics’ not aligning.

  5. This map of the petition calling for the referendum to be stopped matches the referendum result closely:

    http://petitionmap.unboxedconsulting.com/?petition=123450&area=uk

  6. I’m a bit late but I thought the documentary excellent. The point is really about a culture that’s dying out in an area. I guess the East End culture simply moves to Essex which it historically has, perhaps often more for economic reasons than due to feelings of dislocation as alluded to in the programme?

    The relevance to this site though and the reason I bring it up though is that I wonder why such feelings amongst the WWC in the area haven’t resulted in an opposition to Labour on Newham Borough Council. It would surely be fertile breeding ground for UKIP. I note that (along with Respect) the last opposition to Labour on the council was the Christian People’s Alliance in 2006 in Canning Town South where they had all three seats. The leader, Alan Craig, has since joined UKIP so maybe that was the demographic voting for his party. The last other opposition to Labour was a Lib Dem in (Canning?) South ward back in 1994. Bemersyde and Greatfield had Conservative councillors in 1990. In the early 80s the Alliance had 6 opposition councillors, prior to that the Ratepayers had a few. Greatfield ward seems to be the common factor. Regardless, I was surprised how long Newham has more or less been a one-party state, and any effects of mass immigration seem to have had little effect on the overall result. I must say, I find the comment that the BBC wouldn’t have aired this from 1997 to 2010 intriguing. It was bereft of any political commentary on why these changes have taken place. Obviously Newham officials quoted in the press weren’t happy though.

  7. Apologies for word repetition. Hard typing it out on a phone! I obviously meant the programme was bereft of any political commentary.

    I think in the recent Blair biography it is noted that David Davis suspected Labour were attempting to gerrymander with mass immigration, but concluded it was actually done in the belief it was economically beneficial.

  8. You can’t edit posts here, but before my original post got lost by my browser I wondered if perhaps the WWC support in Newham isn’t concentrated enough in any particular wards for them to have any power as a voting bloc – or there simply aren’t enough of them to have any electoral influence. Some of those featured in the programme struck me as would-be Conservatives anyway. Do UKIP have many councillors in Greater London? I’d bet there’s none in ‘inner’ London, however you define that.

  9. ”Do UKIP have many councillors in Greater London? I’d bet there’s none in ‘inner’ London, however you define that.”

    Yes they do at the last local elections they won:

    Havering: 7
    Bexley: 3
    Bromley: 2

    And none in every other borough. here may have been by-elections/ defections since though. Note also they would have probably got more in Havering if it wasn’t for a strong residents association.

  10. That was where I guessed they had councillors. Actually, several Labour councillors in Barking and Dagenham (a similar place to Newham demographically and electorally) defected to UKIP between 2010 to 2014, but none were elected as such in the latter year’s contests.

  11. @Harry Perkins

    South ward did not include any of the current Canning Town South. It was the south east of the borough including Beckton, North Woolwich and the southern part of East Ham itself. I assume the name was a hangover from the days of a separate East Ham council – certainly a number of the old West Ham BC ward names survived all the way up to 2002, even when they could create confusion (the pre 2002 “Beckton” was in the Canning Town area).

  12. Ah, thanks for the explanation.

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