Vauxhall

2015 Result:
Conservative: 13070 (27.3%)
Labour: 25778 (53.8%)
Lib Dem: 3312 (6.9%)
Green: 3658 (7.6%)
UKIP: 1385 (2.9%)
Others: 738 (1.5%)
MAJORITY: 12708 (26.5%)

Category: Very safe Labour seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of Lambeth council area.

Main population centres: Waterloo, Kennington, North Clapham, Vauxhall, Stockwell, Brixton.

Profile: An inner-city seat in Lambeth that faces Westminster across the river Thames. The north of the seat is dominated by well known landmarks like the London Eye, St Thomas`s hospital, the redeveloped South Bank complex, County Hall, the Imperial War Museum and Lambeth Palace, the official residence of the Archbishop of Canterbury. Close to the river at Vauxhall itself and the Oval at Kennington there is some gentrification due to the proximity to Westminster (it is a popular place for MPs and civil servants to live), but the majority of the seat is far more troubled - crime ridden council estates and grim terraces that struggle with crime and drugs problems. Over a quarter of the population is afro-carribean and there is also a large Portuguese community in the seat, largely around Stockwell - in the 2011 census 3% of people here were born in Portugal.

Politics: The Liberal Democrats had advanced in this seat at a local level after 1994, however it swung back towards Labour in 2006. At a Parliamentary level it is solidly Labour having returned Labour MPs since its creation in 1950.


Current MP
KATE HOEY (Labour) Born 1946, County Antrim. Educated at Belfast Royal Academy and Ulster College of Physical Education. Former education advisor to Arsenal Football club.. Contested Dulwich 1983, 1987. First elected as MP for Vauxhall in 1989 by-election. PPS to Frank Field 1997-1998, junior minister in the home office 1998-1999, sports minister 1999-2001. Hoey started out as a left winger - she supported Tony Benn in the 1981 Deputy Leadership election. In more recent years she - along with her former boss Frank Field - is invariably citied as a favourite Labour MP by Conservative activists, she is a euro-sceptic who supports grammar schools in Northern Ireland, supports fox hunting, opposes ID cards and the congestion charge and is a regular rebel against the Labour whip. Chairman of the Countryside Alliance since 2005.

Past Results
2010
Con: 9301 (22%)
Lab: 21498 (50%)
LDem: 10847 (25%)
GRN: 708 (2%)
Oth: 837 (2%)
MAJ: 10651 (25%)
2005*
Con: 5405 (14%)
Lab: 19744 (53%)
LDem: 9767 (26%)
GRN: 1705 (5%)
Oth: 732 (2%)
MAJ: 9977 (27%)
2001
Con: 4489 (13%)
Lab: 19738 (59%)
LDem: 6720 (20%)
GRN: 1485 (4%)
Oth: 960 (3%)
MAJ: 13018 (39%)
1997
Con: 5942 (15%)
Lab: 24920 (64%)
LDem: 6260 (16%)
Oth: 1944 (5%)
MAJ: 18660 (48%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JAMES BELLIS (Conservative)
KATE HOEY (Labour) See above.
ADRIAN HYYRYLAINEN-TRETT (Liberal Democrat)
ACE NNOROM (UKIP) Born Cameroon. Lecturer.
GULNAR HASNAIN (Green)
DANNY LAMBERT (Socialist Party GB)
MARK CHAPMAN (Pirate)
WALEED GHANI (Whig)
SIMON HARDY (Left Unity)
LOUIS JENSEN (CISTA)
Links
Comments - 296 Responses on “Vauxhall”
  1. “McCririck voted Labour during the Blair years.”

    Watch his “Celebrity Wife Swap” episode with Edwina Currie from 2006 and you don’t get that impression, at least for the latter Blair years. It’s one of the funniest things on YouTube IMO so watch it anyway. Sadly McCririck has aged horrendously since then.

  2. Hoey is just odd; McCririck is batshit. I remember the Wife Swap thing, and also his appearance on Celebrity Big Brother, where he managed to offend just about everyone. To say his views on women are antiquated is a massive understatement, although he is probably just hamming it up for the public.

  3. He was a first class racing presenter though. As a student in the early-mid 90s I worked in a bookies and a couple of hours of McCririck in his element helped pass many a boring afternoon. I can’t say the same about Currie. It was good to see her grating bossiness hit a brick wall for once.

  4. “McCririck voted Labour during the Blair years.”

    He most certainly did

    He went on a political show shortly before the 97 election and endorsed the entire New Labour manifesto

    When asked what about his long-held staunch opposition to a Scottish Parliament he replied “I can live with a parish council’

    He was first and foremost an entertainer, and never seems to have taken himself too seriously which in today’s world of self-inflated egos and people wanting take offence at anything that’s said is surely welcome

    I’d take him over Currie any day

  5. Yet more noises about Hoey being deselected today.

    Aside from the rights and wrongs of such a move…can anyone think of an MP who is a worse ‘fit’ for their constituency than Hoey is?!

  6. Can’t think of anyone in the commons right now. Going back a bit, Tristram Hunt and Lembit Opik were pretty poor fits for their constituencies. (Though fair to say Lembit Opik wouldn’t have been particularly well-suited anywhere, rural nothing-ever-happens-around-here Wales was especially inappropriate for him.)

  7. I know what you mean about Hoey, but it’s fair to point out that she increased her vote share by 4% / 6000 votes last yr.

  8. Sure, I’m not doubting her electoral record. But there was a pretty big swing to Lab generally in London last year. I’m not even saying I think she should be deselected.

    PT- great call on Tristram Hunt. He must have been rather alien for the ordinary person in Stoke.

  9. Peter Mandelson a leading contender surely. Mistaking the mushy peas in a Hartlepool chippy for avocado dip.

    On bread n butter issues Hoey is pretty left wing. On housing she has often opposed New Labour Lambeth council robustly from the left. She might have pushed it too far recently but I personally doubt she’ll be easy to shift.

  10. HH – I think the chippy was in Kirkby, no? The Knowsley by-election rings a bell. I’ll ask Rosie Cooper on a less busy day in her life! [as she was the LD PPC IIRC]

  11. Tristan – that isn’t quite true, re 80 v 20 on fox hunting.

    The only poll which came close to that was one which asked whether you supported a repeal of the ban (80% said they opposed this) and this style of wording was mentioned by Prof Curtice ie the British public are conservative so a majority oppose most change when questioned.

    However when asked do you support the ban on fox hunting? YouGov showed 51% did and 33% opposed this.

    In urban areas, 33% oppose the ban (higher than in towns where only 29% oppose the ban).

    Again, this shouldn’t be surprising – as we all know many urban voters especially in English Northern cities hold more conservative views (on everything from smoking to gay rights). I also recall from my trainee Court reporting days that all those convicted of unlawful hare coursing, rabbiting, fishing, rare birds etc all came from the city and not the area where they were arrested (semi rural or rural 20 miles away).

  12. My experience as vice chairman of a safe Tory constituency in London 15 years ago was that hunting was exceptionally unpopular on the doorstep with most Tory voters. Pro hunting MPs such as ours kept very quiet about it on the doorstep. It’s one reason why the ban got a pretty easy ride.

  13. That’s interesting. My only similar local experience was Countryside Alliance activists from Crosby refused to help the Tory there (as Debi Jones opposed hunting) in 2005 and so helped in neighbouring Southport instead.

    But then Merseyside may be unusual due to the history of the Grand National, betting industry, hare coursing etc. As I have mentioned before the only Cllr I know who proudly wore a (real) fur coat was Labour!

  14. In general I think working class Labour areas were probably less anti-hunting than posh Tory suburbs. Both for the reasons you cite, and the fact that ethnic minorities tend to be less sentimental about animals than white Brits.

    The midlands is a different ball game, Derbyshire especially, with its heart being the Peak District. The Countryside Alliance were instrumental in the Tories winning Amber Valley, Erewash and High Peak.

  15. Yes, you’re right (although the ethnic point doesn’t apply up here as Crosby is 99% White).

    I don’t think of Derbyshire as being hunting territory – I thought it was too hilly haha

    Yes, the Amber Valley MP is very good at questioning at Select Committee and always scrutinises the Executive. I realise they’re all meant to, but sadly most don’t when their own side is in Govt.

  16. “I don’t think of Derbyshire as being hunting territory – I thought it was too hilly haha”

    A lot of grouse moors in the Peak though – politically it’s the same thing.

  17. Hare coursing was the main thing in the South Pennines as I recall. I would guess the adjoining Dark Peak area would be the same.

  18. Kate Hoey has admonished her fellow female MPs for dressing ‘too casually’ in Parliament. In comments that are bound to trigger a few snowflakes, Hoey claims to have never worn trousers to the Commons, and would ‘welcome being wolf whistled’.

    I don’t doubt that she has held her views in a steadfast manner for a long time, but I think she’s just being silly and deliberately trying to annoy people at this point.

  19. She’ll be 76 at the next election if the parliament runs its full course, so pretty likely she’ll stand down even if she avoids deselection / boundary changes.

    Moaning about women wearing trousers to work is daft and old fashioned, nothing necessarily casual about them & indeed the PM herself wears trousers quite often (leather ones sometimes).

    I do think though that sitting in the chamber in T-shirts and Doc Martins cf Caroline Lucas and some of the 2015 SNP intake is not on.

  20. Has anyone worn doc martens?

    Tbf the only shirts worn were ones making political points ‘no page 3 girl’ & ‘this what a feminist looks like’ Caroline Lucas only wore her shirt in committee i suppose the rules are the same tho

  21. It looks increasingly like Hoey is trying to land herself a Spiked column as a nice little retirement gig.

  22. Hoey is supporting the ERG+DUP amendment to block the government’s proposed ban on high-powered rifles – the only Labour MP to do so.

    Surely it’s got to be curtains for her now.

    In the past on here I’ve bigged up her extraordinary record of survival on here, but she’s sailing far too close to the wind these days. I doubt other Labour Eurosceptics will want much to do with her and that might be the crucial factor.

  23. Does Hoey still chair the Countryside Alliance?

  24. As I said before, she’s just trolling for trollings sake at this point. A bit like some fading celebrity- Madonna would be an example- she’s lost her ability to shock.

  25. More like I expect Katie Price to be in 20 years time.

    Madonna’s too upmarket.

  26. I’ve always had a lot of time for the attention whore, drunk driving, bankrupt, unfit mother Katie Price.

    Only kidding!

  27. “Does Hoey still chair the Countryside Alliance?”

    Still involved I think, not sure she’s still the chair.

    The kind of rifles the government wants to ban are so powerful they can penetrate any bullet proof clothing or armoured car. A bit more powerful than the kind of gun Farmer Giles needs to shoot a few pigeons or foxes. I’m usually quite conservative on this kind of thing but this is a disgrace. The 40-odd MPs grandstanding on it will have blood on their hands if they block the ban and (sadly inevitably) a stolen gun is used in a terrorist attack.

  28. “I’ve always had a lot of time for the attention whore, drunk driving, bankrupt, unfit mother Katie Price.”

    Seems to me like it’s all part of the show.

    When she’s finally lost her looks she’ll be left with nothing (and she seems to be well on the way already). That’s not true of Madonna who is a very talented artist.

  29. The 40 ERG MPs might vote against this ban, but surely Labour would support the government if push came to shove. How on earth could they explain themselves if they voted to keep these things legal?

  30. I believe the ERG aren’t voting against the ban but proposing an amendment that would kill the ban

  31. The Amendment mentioned above has now been signed by H.Hemmelig own Mp Sir Nicolas Soames along with a few other backbench remainers. Kate Hoey remains the only Labour mp who has signed.

  32. Note to all politicians: STOP MAKING EVERYTHING ELSE A PROXY WAR OVER BREXIT.

  33. Theresa May often gets criticised for not having much to say in terms of domestic policy. But while the ERG are playing this silly game, and while Labour still imagine they can bring down the government, she couldn’t get much legislation past.

  34. “The Amendment mentioned above has now been signed by H.Hemmelig own Mp Sir Nicolas Soames along with a few other backbench remainers.”

    Was very disappointed to see that.

    Soames has been one of May’s most loyal supporters so far so if even he has given up on her she is in very big trouble indeed. Most likely though, as a long standing campaigner on military issues and countryside pursuits, his opposition is on those grounds.

    The names of the Remainers on that list were far more interesting than the usual right wing awkward squad. People like Oliver Letwin, Ed Vaizey and Jonathan Djangoly. Might suggest that both wings of the party are now tired of May. Until now I thought she’d survive a vote of no confidence but now I’m beginning to wonder.

  35. I’m not sure being “a long-time campaigner on countryside and military issues” is much of a justification for this. Like you say, these guns are way more powerful than what is required for pest control. And soldiers get guns as part of their job.

    The only reasons you could have for voting in this way are either an ideological aversion to banning things, or as a show of force.

  36. I’m not justifying it – you can read my comments upthread as to my own views on the subject.

    Pheasant shooting with one of those things wouldn’t leave you much of a pheasant at the end of it.

    I don’t think Soames would use this to destabilise May, he has been highly critical of both the ERG and the Soubry sides of the party, and usually if he wants to say something he just says it.

  37. I agree with HH…don’t think this is anything to do with trying to destabilise May. IIRC May is one of the few high profile Tories he hasn’t publicly slagged off! As to what his true motivations are…absolutely no idea, Soames really does inhabit his own little world.

  38. For the second time the Bill has been delayed so the Amendment wont be voted on tonight.

  39. Soames was interviewed on Newsnight yesterday and was robust in his support for May. He said if there is a confidence vote he can guarantee she will win resoundingly.

  40. If after 48 letter are received, then, I believe, a vote of confidence is arranged. Is this simple majority? So 316/2 + 1 = 159 Tory MPs needed. Yes you can see her winning that, barring an unforseen disaster

  41. Yes,it’s a simple majority which she should win. It’s impossible to know what the exact mood will be the event of such a vote, obviously. If she scrapes home unconvincingly, there could be a feeling that she is so undermined and damaged that she has to go. Or it could be spun that she has undeniable strength and grit, and Mrs May will continue to gloriously rule over us for many a year. As I said, no one can predict how it will play out.

  42. It appears the government has accepted some of the controversial amendments to the Offensive Weapons Bill – mentioned above. It has been announced the Bill returns to the commons next Wednesday for the final stage.

  43. Bizarre. It’s not like they were gonna pass otherwise. Why accept a wrecking motion?

  44. Because they think some of the rebels who oppose the Brexit deal might vote for the deal if they see this issue a one they have won on.

  45. Jarvid has dropped the bill

  46. Only the amendments- not the whole bill – which is mainly about dealing with Acid Attacks.

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