Twickenham

2015 Result:
Conservative: 25580 (41.3%)
Labour: 7129 (11.5%)
Lib Dem: 23563 (38%)
Green: 2463 (4%)
UKIP: 3069 (4.9%)
Christian: 174 (0.3%)
Others: 26 (0%)
MAJORITY: 2017 (3.3%)

Category: Marginal Conservative seat

Geography: Greater London. Part of the Richmond on Thames council area.

Main population centres: Twickenham, Teddington, Hampton.

Profile: The seat consists of the part of the Borough of Richmond-on-Thames that lies to the north of the River Thames. This is prosperous and leafy suburbia, with high house prices, a high proportion of graduates and little social housing. The seat has two major film and television venues - Twickenham Studios, a venue for the filming and production for many high profile films and Teddington Studios, a television studio now owned by Pinewood. The seat also includes Twickenham Stadium, the world`s largest dedicated Rugby stadium, and Hampton Court Palace and its grounds.

Politics: Twickenham was historically a safe Conservative seat but was won by Vince Cable of the Liberal Democrats in the Tories` landslide defeat of 1997. Cable was one of the most high profile Liberal Democrats, was business secretary in the coalition government and became one of the most high profile casualties of the Liberal Democrats` crushing defeat in 2015.


Current MP
TANIA MATHIAS (Conservative) Educated at St Pauls Girls School and Oxford University. Former doctor. First elected as MP for Twickenham in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 20343 (34%)
Lab: 4583 (8%)
LDem: 32483 (54%)
UKIP: 868 (1%)
Oth: 1444 (2%)
MAJ: 12140 (20%)
2005
Con: 16731 (32%)
Lab: 5868 (11%)
LDem: 26696 (52%)
GRN: 1445 (3%)
Oth: 947 (2%)
MAJ: 9965 (19%)
2001
Con: 16689 (33%)
Lab: 6903 (14%)
LDem: 24344 (49%)
GRN: 1423 (3%)
Oth: 579 (1%)
MAJ: 7655 (15%)
1997
Con: 21956 (38%)
Lab: 9065 (16%)
LDem: 26237 (45%)
Oth: 886 (2%)
MAJ: 4281 (7%)

Demographics
2015 Candidates
TANIA MATHIAS (Conservative) Educated at St Pauls Girls School and Oxford University. Doctor.
NICK GRANT (Labour) Barrister.
VINCENT CABLE (Liberal Democrat) Born 1943, York. Educated at Nunthorpe Grammar and Cambridge University. Chief economist for Shell. Glasgow councillor 1971-1974 for the Labour party. Contested York 1983, 1987, Twickenham 1992. MP for Twickenham 1997 to 2015. Liberal Democrat shadow chancellor 2003-2010. Deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats 2006-2010 and acting leader following Ming Campbells resigination in 2007. Secretary of State for Business since 2010.
BARRY EDWARDS (UKIP) Businessman.
TANYA WILLIAMS (Green) Educated at Bryanston School and Cambridge University. Human rights student.
DOMINIC STOCKFORD (Christian) Pastor.
DAVID WEDGWOOD (Magna Carta) Contested Bermondsey 1983 by-election.
Links
Comments - 572 Responses on “Twickenham”
  1. Jo Swinson is a bland but safe choice. Would be interesting to see if she improved the LDs fortunes in Scotland at all (and split the media coverage with Ruth Davidson).

    The Lib Dems are also at ~10% of the list vote in the two latest holyrood polls which is rather surprising.

  2. The title of the Lib Dems’ European election manifesto is “Bollocks To Brexit”.

    IMO it is an enormous misjudgement for a mainstream party to use swear words in its political advertising. It looks course, and will put off a lot of the granny and granddad demographic, exactly the kind of people most likely to vote in a low turnout election. Vince Cable really should know better.

  3. OFCOM have warned that showing or mentioning the phrase “Bollocks To Brexit” on the TV pre-watershed is probably in breach of offensiveness guidelines….

    What a spectacular own goal by the Lib Dems, whose news coverage is already sparse, and will now be further restricted in the lunchtime and evening bulletins which most people watch.

  4. Hemmy, I must admit I tended to agree with you at the time, but it looks like “Bollocks to Brexit” is the antidote to “take back control” Europhiles have been looking for these last few years. The Lib Dems are surging back to relevance – in this latest YouGov poll they’ve moved into second place for the first time (albeit a fairly distant second):

    Brex: 35
    LD: 16
    Lab: 15
    Green: 10
    Con: 9
    ChUK: 5
    UKIP: 3

  5. Though YouGov are the only pollster with the Lib Dems anywhere near second so normal caveats and all that

  6. True, I still think it’s somewhat unlikely they will finish second, but I fully expect them to beat the Tories, and every pollster has picked up on the movement towards the Lib Dems. They have definitely “won the campaign”, so to speak.

  7. What else can “Bollocks To Brexit” and “Stop Brexit” mean other than Revoke A50 and tell all the Leave voters to f**k off even though they won the referendum?

    That’s not the antidote to “Take Back Control”, it’s the equivalent, in terms of stupidity and disingenuousness.

    I am a staunch Remainer but I do not think it correct or wise for us to simply ignore the referendum. It would be an absolute disaster. Carefully done, a second referendum might be OK, and indeed the Lib Dems used to advocate this, but have now seemingly moved on to full Revoke.

    This has lost the Lib Dems my vote having originally expected to be voting for them in the Euros. ChUK are an incompetent irrelevance. So I’ll either be abstaining or voting Tory (can’t believe I’m writing this).

  8. I agree with you that unilateral revocation sets a dangerous precedent, and I was very careful not to sign the petition to that effect, but I missed the bit where they changed their policy from 2nd vote to straight revoke.

  9. “I missed the bit where they changed their policy from 2nd vote to straight revoke.”

    It’s staring you in the face. How can saying Bollocks To Brexit be compatible with arguing for a second referendum? You can’t credibly argue for a second referendum by stating so obviously that you would not accept a second vote to Leave.

  10. Perhaps a different and better way of putting it is that the Lib Dems have, lured by the promise of masses of votes, suddenly turned themselves into the Remain version of Farage. For a party which was a serious and successful (policywise) party of government a few years back, it is a sad development indeed. Amazing that Vince Cable would lower himself like this. It will be a long time before I even consider voting for them again.

  11. Their EU election communications say, “Stop Brexit.”

    I assume Liberal Leave weren’t consulted and an MP and Peer resigned the Whip to support Brexit. Similarly Plaid are effectively saying they don’t want the 40% of their voters who voted Leave. Likewise the SNP and Greens.

  12. @H.Hemmelig

    ”I am a staunch Remainer but I do not think it correct or wise for us to simply ignore the referendum. It would be an absolute disaster. Carefully done, a second referendum might be OK, and indeed the Lib Dems used to advocate this, but have now seemingly moved on to full Revoke.”

    The problem with a second referendum is they probably won’t even be able to agree on the question! If arch Remainers get their way though and put Mays deal (or May’s Deal + customs union) vs. Remain it will quite rightly be portrayed as an establishment stitch up that basically disenfranchises a large chunk of the country and as a consequence a large chunk of voters will boycott. This would be the quickest way to radicalise lots of ordinary, fairly non-political Leave voters. I used to scoff at the idea of Farage becoming PM but in a toxic atmosphere of betrayal that would come from a referendum of this format or indeed a unilateral revocation I think the Brexit Party would do very well indeed while the Tories collapse to basically wealthy Remainy seats clustered around London with Labour also taking heavy losses in their traditional white working class strongholds.

  13. I think this confirms that the LibDems now see themselves as an upper-middle class metropolitan party.

    The old local non-conformist LibDem party has been replaced.

  14. Whether you agree with it or not, there is a certain clarity in the LibDems current position, rather moreso than with the Labour party stance.

  15. Though most the country doesn’t seem to think so. Only 41% think the Lib Dem position is clear

  16. Vince Cable will handover leadership of the Lib Dems on July 23rd.

  17. Rumours that Yougov tonight are going to release a poll showing the Lib Dems in first place…

  18. And it would cause more Tory reactions than Labour ones because nothing will happen in Labour unless Thornberry or Starmer are ready to pull the trigger on a major development.

  19. And the Poll is.
    Lib Dems – 24
    Brexit -22
    Lab -18
    Tory -18
    Green – 8
    Electoral calcus would give Labour the most seats but under 200. Then Brexit. Then Lib Dems. Tories under 100.

    It’s all of course irrelevant because I suspect once brexit happens (probably as a no deal) the tories will surge again – Labour won’t recover through because the remainer anger will not subside unlike the leaver anger,.

  20. Assuming Brexit happens

  21. You think that instant chaos which brings the country to its knees within days will satisfy no dealers?

    Either the Tories plough on regardless as Britain spirals into ruin, or they accept reality and buckle, accepting whatever olive branch the EU offers them, no matter the terms. Neither scenario leaves them with a rosy electoral future.

  22. Who knows, It might if it gets spun as Europe is suffering more (A massive stretch if there is food distribution problems here but no sign of that issue in France.)

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