Totnes

2015 Result:
Conservative: 24941 (53%)
Labour: 5988 (12.7%)
Lib Dem: 4667 (9.9%)
Green: 4845 (10.3%)
UKIP: 6656 (14.1%)
MAJORITY: 18285 (38.8%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: South West, Devon. Part of South Hams council area and four wards from the Torbay council area.

Main population centres: Kingsbridge, Salcombe, Dartmouth, Totnes, Brixham.

Profile: A picturesque seat on the South Devon coast, it takes in Brixham at the southern end of Torbay - the "English riveria", the small market and coastal towns of South Devon with their thriving tourist industry and up onto the edges of Dartmoor. Tourism is the main industry throughout the area. Like most south coast tourist towns a high proportion of people have come here to retire and the constituency has one of the highest proportions of over 60s in the country. In Salcombe in particular, which is also popular for sailing and yachting, this has pushed property prices up to some of highest outside London. Salcombe and Brixham also retain active fishing industies.

Politics: The seat and its predecessors have been represented by the Conservative party since 1924, thought at many recent elections it has been very tightly fought with the Liberal Democrats. The current MP, Sarah Wollaston, is unusual in having been selected in a true open primary with a postal ballot open to all electors.


Current MP
SARAH WOLLASTON (Conservative) Born 1962, Woking. Educated at Royal Naval School Tal Handaq and King`s College London. Former general practitioner. First elected as MP for Totnes in 2010. She was selected as the Conservative candidate in 2010 through an open postal ballot.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21940 (46%)
Lab: 3538 (7%)
LDem: 17013 (36%)
UKIP: 2890 (6%)
Oth: 2462 (5%)
MAJ: 4927 (10%)
2005*
Con: 21112 (42%)
Lab: 6185 (12%)
LDem: 19165 (38%)
UKIP: 3914 (8%)
Oth: 199 (0%)
MAJ: 1947 (4%)
2001
Con: 21914 (44%)
Lab: 6005 (12%)
LDem: 18317 (37%)
UKIP: 3010 (6%)
MAJ: 3597 (7%)
1997
Con: 19637 (37%)
Lab: 8796 (16%)
LDem: 18760 (35%)
Oth: 4024 (7%)
MAJ: 877 (2%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
SARAH WOLLASTON (Conservative) See above.
NICKY WILLIAMS (Labour)
JULIAN BRAZIL (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Bristol University. Teacher. Contested Brent South 2001, Falmouth and Camborne 2001, Totnes 2010.
JUSTIN HAQUE (UKIP) Born London. Educated at Wandsworth Comprehensive and Newcastle University. Stockbroker.
GILL COOMBS (Green)
Links
Comments - 259 Responses on “Totnes”
  1. Truth be told I cant really remember the exact seats that were effected in the 97 review, I know for a fact Lab would have won the old Northwich, the others I’m less sure about.

  2. @JACK SHELDON

    Yeah that’s true. A combination of boundary changes and infighting could lock Labour out of power for years to come.

    They didn’t win an election between Oct 1974 and 1997, it may be 2030 before they win another election.

  3. That probably would help them and to an extent I can see combining Wheathamstead and Sandridge making sense but I don’t think combining Redbourne and Batchwood could be more justifiable than it currently is. It probably makes far more sense to combine Redbourne with one of the Harpenden wards.

  4. @Matt yes you could do that but then the Tories would still end up with three county council seats up there (one confined to Harpenden, one Harpenden ward linked to Redbourn, one Harpenden ward linked to Wheathampstead). But I think you are missing the point slightly, you said St Albans Rural ward was a gerrymander and while it is strange/ugly it is hardly a gerrymander (boundaries drawn for partisan intent) because the Tories are going to get at least three county council seats in the north of St Albans borough which ever way you cut it. My point was a Tory gerrymander would involve pairing Redbourn to Batchwood thus increasing their county council seat total from North St Albans to four.

  5. I wasn’t missing the point but merely making an observation. I take your point. However, I’m interested to know how the 3,000 new homes SADC are building in Redbourne will impact on the seat in the future. I know the parish council are claiming they will become a corner of Hemel Hempstead. The Napsbury estate turned London Colney from a safe Labour seat into a marginal. The old Oaklands site hasn’t really affected Clarence though and the new Verulam estate hasn’t affected Verulam.

  6. @Matt I don’t know much about it. What type of homes are they?

  7. ‘The Napsbury estate turned London Colney from a safe Labour seat into a marginal’

    Not at all surprised by that. Most of the properties there fall well into the luxury category.

  8. According to the local press the Greens are apparently trying to get Labour and the Lib dems not to stand here in return for not opposing them elsewhere.

    While Wollaston is all but guaranteed to get back in this seems a little optimistic. Totnes itself might be full of fairy folk but as the rest of the constituency is full of farmers and small business owners I’m not sure they’re actually likely to make much impact.

    I can’t see them abandoning a seat that they were so close in for so long, but that said they are yet to select a candidate and up until a few days ago their local website didn’t even work so they don’t appear to treating this it as a priority.

  9. uh, the “them” in the last paragraph is the Lib Dems

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