Tooting
2015 Result:
Conservative: 22421 (41.9%)
Labour: 25263 (47.2%)
Lib Dem: 2107 (3.9%)
Green: 2201 (4.1%)
UKIP: 1537 (2.9%)
MAJORITY: 2842 (5.3%)
Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat
Geography: Greater London. Part of the Wandsworth council area.
Main population centres: Tooting, Earlsfield, Balham.
Profile: A traditionally working class area, Tooting is the more Labour inclined part of the constituency and has a significant ethnic minority community. In both Earlsfield and Balham though attractive Victorian housing and good transport links have seen house prices forced up as middle class professionals move in. The seat includes Wandsworth Common.
Politics: The most Labour inclined of the three seats that make up the Conservative`s "flagship borough" of Wandsworth. While Wandsworth is a solidly Conservative borough at a local level, all three seats fell to Labour in 1997. Putney was regained by the Tories in 2005, Battersea in 2010, Tooting has remained Labour.
| Con: | 19514 (39%) |
| Lab: | 22038 (44%) |
| LDem: | 7509 (15%) |
| UKIP: | 624 (1%) |
| Oth: | 970 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 2524 (5%) |
| Con: | 12533 (30%) |
| Lab: | 17914 (43%) |
| LDem: | 8110 (20%) |
| GRN: | 1695 (4%) |
| Oth: | 1316 (3%) |
| MAJ: | 5381 (13%) |
| Con: | 9932 (26%) |
| Lab: | 20332 (54%) |
| LDem: | 5583 (15%) |
| GRN: | 1744 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 10400 (28%) |
| Con: | 12505 (27%) |
| Lab: | 27516 (60%) |
| LDem: | 4320 (9%) |
| Oth: | 935 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 15011 (33%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
The Lib Dems have been criticised by People’s Vote for an amendment on a 2nd Ref. They must be confident Labour will back a 2nd Ref after Tuesday.
The Lib Dem amendment is not certain to be among the maximum of six that Bercow can choose.
I’m not sure a 2nd referendum would pass even if the Labour leadership backed it. There are probably more Caroline Flint types prepared to vote against one than Tory rebels in favour.
Yes. I reckon at most a 2nd ref would get up to 298 votes at the most
It is virtually impossible for a second referendum to pass unless the government of the day backed it.
It is virtually impossible for a No Deal to pass unless the government of the day backed it.
They don’t and even if they did, new deal doesn’t have the numbers in Parliament
I still maintain a 2nd referendum, although unlikely, is more probable than a ‘No Deal’ Brexit
Sure, there is nowhere near a majority in favour of no deal. But there doesn’t need to be. If parliament doesn’t actively decide to do something else, no deal happens by default.
I’ve lost count of the number of times I’ve said this.
And the Next Tory Pm may well be someone who openly backs no deal – as it seems to be popular among the tory grassroots even if the majority of their mp’s would prefer a deal of some sorts.
A50 will be revoked before we’d default no deal
Managed no deal is said to be backed by Leadsom, Javid and Hunt- where individual deals are done on stuff like aviation and citizen rights but no wider deal .