Tooting
2015 Result:
Conservative: 22421 (41.9%)
Labour: 25263 (47.2%)
Lib Dem: 2107 (3.9%)
Green: 2201 (4.1%)
UKIP: 1537 (2.9%)
MAJORITY: 2842 (5.3%)
Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat
Geography: Greater London. Part of the Wandsworth council area.
Main population centres: Tooting, Earlsfield, Balham.
Profile: A traditionally working class area, Tooting is the more Labour inclined part of the constituency and has a significant ethnic minority community. In both Earlsfield and Balham though attractive Victorian housing and good transport links have seen house prices forced up as middle class professionals move in. The seat includes Wandsworth Common.
Politics: The most Labour inclined of the three seats that make up the Conservative`s "flagship borough" of Wandsworth. While Wandsworth is a solidly Conservative borough at a local level, all three seats fell to Labour in 1997. Putney was regained by the Tories in 2005, Battersea in 2010, Tooting has remained Labour.
| Con: | 19514 (39%) |
| Lab: | 22038 (44%) |
| LDem: | 7509 (15%) |
| UKIP: | 624 (1%) |
| Oth: | 970 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 2524 (5%) |
| Con: | 12533 (30%) |
| Lab: | 17914 (43%) |
| LDem: | 8110 (20%) |
| GRN: | 1695 (4%) |
| Oth: | 1316 (3%) |
| MAJ: | 5381 (13%) |
| Con: | 9932 (26%) |
| Lab: | 20332 (54%) |
| LDem: | 5583 (15%) |
| GRN: | 1744 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 10400 (28%) |
| Con: | 12505 (27%) |
| Lab: | 27516 (60%) |
| LDem: | 4320 (9%) |
| Oth: | 935 (2%) |
| MAJ: | 15011 (33%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
The Lib Dems have been criticised by People’s Vote for an amendment on a 2nd Ref. They must be confident Labour will back a 2nd Ref after Tuesday.
The Lib Dem amendment is not certain to be among the maximum of six that Bercow can choose.
I’m not sure a 2nd referendum would pass even if the Labour leadership backed it. There are probably more Caroline Flint types prepared to vote against one than Tory rebels in favour.
Yes. I reckon at most a 2nd ref would get up to 298 votes at the most
It is virtually impossible for a second referendum to pass unless the government of the day backed it.
It is virtually impossible for a No Deal to pass unless the government of the day backed it.
They don’t and even if they did, new deal doesn’t have the numbers in Parliament
I still maintain a 2nd referendum, although unlikely, is more probable than a ‘No Deal’ Brexit
Sure, there is nowhere near a majority in favour of no deal. But there doesn’t need to be. If parliament doesn’t actively decide to do something else, no deal happens by default.
I’ve lost count of the number of times I’ve said this.
And the Next Tory Pm may well be someone who openly backs no deal – as it seems to be popular among the tory grassroots even if the majority of their mp’s would prefer a deal of some sorts.
A50 will be revoked before we’d default no deal
Managed no deal is said to be backed by Leadsom, Javid and Hunt- where individual deals are done on stuff like aviation and citizen rights but no wider deal .
“Also re. Derby apparently Labour activists are being sent to defend Beckett in Derby South leaving Williamson and Momentum to pester the people of Derby North (where they’ll almost certainly lose anyway).” – Pepperminttea before the 2017 election
The Derby N prediction was way off, but thankfully CW is now history there. (And that’s a prediction I’m confident about.) I didn’t know Labour were worried about Beckett. The previously proposed boundary changes made her look vulnerable.
Tooting may be gentrifying and trendy in parts, but it’s not the right kind of gentrification to help the Tories. Interestingly, Fleabag’s sister Claire said she lived here in the TV series. And the two characters are clearly part of the established middle class, if not upper middle class. Phoebe Waller-Bridge is actually related to a Tory MP, a fact I imagine she doesn’t want to remind people of. I don’t recall the area where her character lives being mentioned, but according to the Telegraph, “the majority of the show is set and filmed in Dartmouth Park, within the NW5 postcode of Camden.” The exterior of the character’s home is on Laurier Road (Holborn & St Pancras), round the corner from Ed Miliband’s house. The article says the production team also considered Richmond and Barnet as locations.
I misread the article linked to above.
“The Village Café, on York Rise, is where Fleabag works, and her flat, while filmed in a studio, is set in Dartmouth Park; finally, her sister Clare’s house is on Laurier Road.”
Location manager interviewed here about series 1 https://www.kentishtowner.co.uk/2017/01/27/hit-bbc-show-fleabag-set-nw5/
So Dartmouth Park could have been standing in for Tooting, although Claire only mentions it in series 2. So maybe the character moved. Not that the producers probably gave it this much thought.
Pretty certain PW-B is an Ealing girl. I know someone who went to school with her there and i would guess she’s upper m/c.
Her character doesn’t disclose any UK political allegiance but I am fairly certain if she has become a U.S resident, she’d vote for Biden not Trump as she gave the distinct impression of being a big fan of Barack Obama…if you know what I mean. 😉
No, we don’t know what you mean.
Perhaps it’s for the best in your case.
Yes, she was a big Obama fan – the clip is on YouTube, but not something we can discuss on a family site like this. 🙂 She does later suggest she wants the priest to tell her who to vote for.
PWB is from Ealing, yes. I believe she’s distantly related to Conservative MP Edward Leigh: her Wiki says “On her father’s side, she is also a descendant of The Rev. Sir Egerton Leigh, 2nd Baronet, Conservative MP for Mid Cheshire from 1873 to his death in 1876.” On the Wiki for The Rev. Leigh, it says “They had several children, the eldest of whom was Egerton Leigh (who married first Lady Elizabeth Gore White; who died 1880) and great-grandfather of the Conservative politician Sir Edward Leigh, MP for Gainsborough (since 1983).” So it would seem logical that PWB is also related to the current Sir Edward.