Tatton

2015 Result:
Conservative: 26552 (58.6%)
Labour: 8311 (18.3%)
Lib Dem: 3850 (8.5%)
Green: 1714 (3.8%)
UKIP: 4871 (10.8%)
MAJORITY: 18241 (40.3%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: North West, Cheshire. Part of the Cheshire East council area and part of the Cheshire West and Chester council area.

Main population centres: Knutsford, Wilmslow, Alderley Edge.

Profile: A semi-rural seat in Cheshire, Tatton lies to the immediate south-west of Greater Manchester, and largely consists of prosperous and affluent villages inhabited by Manchester`s affluent middle class. The main towns are Knutsford, Wilmslow and Alderley Edge, which has become well known as the home of the Manchester super-rich, most notably several Manchester United football players. The name Tatton is drawn from Tatton Park, a stately home within the constituency.

Politics: Under normal circumstances the seat is solidly Conservative. In 1997 however it was famously lost to the television news reporter Martin Bell, standing as an independent candidate against the then Conservative MP Neil Hamilton who had become embroiled in the cash-for-questions scandal. Labour and the Liberal Democrats stood aside for Bell and he successfully won the seat. Having pledged to serve only for one term, Bell stood down in 2001 and the seat once again became a safe Conservative berth.


Current MP
GEORGE OSBORNE (Conservative) Born 1971, London, heir to the Osborne baronetcy and wallpaper company Osborne and Little. Educated at St Paul's and Oxford University. Former special advisor and political secretary to William Hague. First elected as MP for Tatton in 2001. Shadow chief secretary 2004-2005, shadow chancellor 2005-2010. Chancellor of the Exechequer since 2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 24687 (55%)
Lab: 7803 (17%)
LDem: 10200 (23%)
Oth: 2541 (6%)
MAJ: 14487 (32%)
2005*
Con: 21447 (52%)
Lab: 9716 (23%)
LDem: 9016 (22%)
UKIP: 996 (2%)
Oth: 239 (1%)
MAJ: 11731 (28%)
2001
Con: 19860 (48%)
Lab: 11249 (27%)
LDem: 7685 (19%)
UKIP: 769 (2%)
Oth: 1715 (4%)
MAJ: 8611 (21%)
1997
Con: 18277 (37%)
Oth: 30515 (63%)
MAJ: 12238 (25%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
GEORGE OSBORNE (Conservative) See above.
DAVID PINTO-DUSCHINSKY (Labour) Educated at Oxford University. Bank director.
GARETH WILSON (Liberal Democrat) Software designer.
STUART HUTTON (UKIP) Chartered engineer. Cheshire East councillor.
TINA-LOUISE ROTHERY (Green)
Links
Comments - 442 Responses on “Tatton”
  1. And when Tatton disappears in the boundary changes she’ll be off looking for yet another seat…

  2. Wirral West should also have more favourable boundary changes in 2022 to when Tatton gets abolished.

    Perhaps she is not confident about the long term pro-labour drift of the Wirral. With Tattons 5 year life span she would have an excuse to look for a really safe seat in the South prior to 2022.

  3. Spoken to some local voters (Tory) about McVey’s selection and ‘unimpressed’ doesn’t even start to describe it.

    She’ll win – because who else will they vote for? But she won’t be liked.

  4. If Martin Bell fancies a comeback, here’s a golden opportunity!

  5. SS – Esther wasn’t shortlisted in WW.

    Obviously it could be that she didn’t apply – but it could equally be that they didn’t want her again, after she lost twice.

  6. And its not that Likely any Cheshire MP’s will stand down in 2022 except maybe Fiona Bruce who will be 65 in 2022.

  7. True. Plus Esther herself will be 55.

    If there’s a Tory majority of 100 I can’t see her ever getting into the Cabinet – not that she probably would have done under May even with a small majority.

    Incidentally for those who were wondering – I’m told Esther’s 3 month notice period for her Transport role doesn’t bar her from standing. It’ll just mean she’ll return the £ (PILON presumably) as it’ll cover a period when she’ll be an MP and she can’t be paid twice by the taxpayer for the same time period for both the public body role and being an MP.

  8. Met her on a number of occasions completely misrepresented – she will be a good hard working MP,

  9. I’ve no idea why the Tatton CCP would want her; she is a tainted politician, who has only ever been an obvious careerist. Her style is one of the most pointscoring of any MP in history. How bad must the other candidates have been?

    As for 2022- it depends on how high profile she is; As Tatton is the seat which is considered as being abolished (not really accurate, as in fact all the boundaries in the area are being re-drawn- Tatton being the dropped name doesn’t necessarily put her at the bottom of the list) then a high-profile MP whose seat has disappeared should be high on the list of people to take over a juicy new seat somewhere.

  10. …and now she’s in the Cabinet. Beggars belief.

  11. There’s a fairly strong core of right-wingers who quite like McVey. No, I don’t get it either – but she might be a more popular appointment than you think. British attitudes on benefits are on average pretty far to the right.

    That doesn’t mean she’ll be a good minister, of course.

  12. There will be a sustained assault on her. Her comments about food banks will make her a big & hittable target.

  13. Whilst McVey’s appointment does indeed beggar belief, I think it almost pales into insignificance compared to bringing Matt Hancock into the cabinet – the perfect example of an over-promoted careerist know-it-all politician happy to say anything so long as it benefits his career

    To be honest many of the other appointments aren’t too bad, but I suspect if May thinks either McVey or Hancock are cabinet material she’s likely to be sorely disappointed

  14. The pool of talent we can argue about I’m sure, depending on our allegiances – but the parliamentary Conservative Party doesn’t seem to have as wide a choice of competent ministers above a certain level as it did when Thatcher was the PM, as far as I can make out anyway.

  15. And as if to demonstrate Polltroll’s point… this is one of the appointments I am most pleased about.
    Like all politics it’s personal opinion, really.

    I’m sure her local association will be chuffed to have another Cabinet Minister as their MP.
    Presumably the possibility of her climbing the ministerial ladder was one reason they chose her.

  16. BM: I agree. Most talented right-wingers these days would rather go into business than politics. And of course, the Tories’ declining membership means that they will have fewer and fewer people to choose from in future selections.

    That said, I don’t think this is an exclusively Conservative disease. I don’t think Labour’s front bench today compares to what Blair had at his disposal.

  17. ‘That said, I don’t think this is an exclusively Conservative disease. I don’t think Labour’s front bench today compares to what Blair had at his disposal’

    Whilst the quality of our MPs has certainly declined since the Thatcher days – and that’s across the board – I never thought New Labour, of which I supported for some time, had that much at their disposal

    Cabinet ministers like Steve Byers, Patricia Hewitt, Charles Clark, Estelle Morris etc always struck me as out of their depth as their current Tory counterparts

    They did however have a degree of humility that’s completely lacking amongst the non-performers in our current cabinet

  18. Just saw a headline (in one of these Outbrain-style “you’ll never guess what happened next!” click farms).

    “McVey hints at marriage to Philip Davies”

    I actually spat out my tea, all over the laptop screen. Still, I guess it goes to show there really is someone for everyone.

  19. “McVey hints at marriage to Philip Davies”
    ”II actually spat out my tea, all over the laptop screen. Still, I guess it goes to show there really is someone for everyone.”

    Hahaha! Talk about the gruesome twosome! Dreadful people!

  20. Welcome back Christian.

    God knows I’m no fan of Esther McVey, but I must concede that she is an attractive woman. Philip Davies is most emphatically not an attractive man. I can only conclude that Ms McVey has totally taken leave of her senses and taste.

    If I think this as a gay man, God knows what the rest of the country thinks.

  21. PT – lol I hardly think whether Tory membership is 200,000 or 500,000 affects who becomes a PPC in a safe seat.

    Especially when – as I have mentioned on here previously – most of the notorious ‘angry women’ (Mensch, Perry, Allen, McVey et al) of course only joined their Party just prior to becoming a PPC!

    In fact there was a greater chance of an ordinary member becoming a PPC and MP in the 1980s when membership was far higher (although in part because a local Assoc was then permitted to add a local name to a selection shortlist) than the clique and A Lists under the Cameroons.

  22. As for Esther & PD, they used to be flatmates but that’s it as far as I know.

    Indeed Hesford hinted she was gay when he was considering fighting on in WW in around 2008/9.

    I just assumed she was married to herself, as she appears to be good at promoting herself but I honestly don’t know if she believes in any policies.

  23. ”Welcome back Christian.”

    Thank you Tristan. Been busy with work and family issues but glad to be back!

  24. https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/james-cusick/george-osborne-s-london-evening-standard-promises-positive-news-coverage-to-uber-goo

    Smooth.

    I’m not one for press regulation on the whole – but this is a pretty unpleasant trick. People should know when they are looking at news, or even opinion, and when they are looking at an advert.

  25. So, Esther McVey seems to be in some trouble, doesn’t she? In fairness, she was given an impossible job, to deliver Universal Credit without the funds being made available to her to do so. It seems like, every time UC comes back onto the agenda, there is universal (and justified) outrage, including from the Tories – but every time, the program trundles on regardless.

    This is a serious political headache for the Tories – though of course, the real headache is for the millions of ordinary Britons who will lose much-needed support.

  26. There was an interesting piece in The Times today which stated that charities have been ‘banned’ from being disparaging about McVey. As for being ‘in trouble’…that’s what happens when you are promoted so far beyond your capabilities. A nasty piece of work all in all,but she’ll fade away soon.

  27. That cant really be true

  28. I read that on my way back from work Matt – surely bribery in its purest form

    Have to say I find McVey one of the least sympathetic mps in the house – she gives me the creeps with her clearly put on northern accent

  29. Much as I can’t stand the faux-accented McVey, it’s daft to blame her for the Universal Credit fiasco. It’s been coming into view for years.

  30. I agree that any issues with the policy are hardly her fault, but you can’t deny she has an abrasive, antagonistic style that really does get a lot of people’s backs up. I don’t per se have an issue with abrasiveness in itself, but she really doesn’t back it up with anything tangible.

    Anyway, it’s pit up or shut up for McVey (Morduant and Leadsom too) this week. She might not be overseeing this fiasco for much longer.

  31. It’s not easy being brought in as minister to a department in crisis, but you can at least set the right tone. Sajid Javid did this at the Home Office, for example, he couldn’t retroactively undo the suffering the Windrush migrants had gone through, but he could at least acknowledge what went wrong, why, and how it could be prevented from recurring. Esther McVey hasn’t done anything to suggest that Universal Credit is going to be fixed (or scrapped) under her stewardship. She doesn’t even seem to acknowledge that it’s wrecking people’s lives.

  32. The poll tax taught us that

    Good idea in theory + totally impractical to implement = complete disaster

    The generation of MPs and ministers who bore the scars of the poll tax in the late 80s would never have attempted such an obviously impractical scheme as this.

    These days peoples’ hours change significantly from week to week and it is ridiculous to think the government’s IT systems can keep on top of that without mistakes that will devastate lives and push children into poverty.

  33. In news that will upset very few, Esther McVey has resigned as DWP Secretary.

  34. Although this is the Tories best seat in the North West, it’s also pretty in the Remain camp and on this specific issue I’d imagine most voters have more sympathy for the PM than their elected representative, who just doesn’t seem like a good fit for this constituency

    I’m very surprised that McVey got more or less straight back into government after being out of Parliament because she lost her seat in 2015 in the Wirral where they used to weigh the Tory vote such was there dominance for most of the post war period

    She comes across as personally dislikeable, is economical with the truth and most importantly of all seems incapable of doing a good job. It suggests that the Tories are fishing from an unbelievably shallow pool of talent which obviously isn’t true as there are plenty of competent Tory MPs who tend to spend much of their time in Parliamentary getting things done in the committees

    How the likes of Tom Tugenhat for example hasnt been invited into government is beyond me. I speak as an outsider but he seems more competent and effective than the current government put together. And he’s one of at least a half dozen or so who the likes of McVey, Grayling and Truss should be made to step aside for

    If this we normal times and Labour weren’t led by Jeremy Corbyn, you’d expect the government to be about 20 pts behind in the polls, such is their ineptitude, and the main reason is simply that there’s too many people who aren’t up to their jobs, and given the crisis this country is currently going through, that’s extremely worrying

  35. A large part of why the likes of Tom Tugenhadt are being kept outside the tent is that Theresa May is (a) extremely vulnerable and (b) a control freak. The last thing she wants to do is invite people into government who could outmanoeuvre her.

  36. That’s certainly a plausible explanation as to how senior ministers who have proved their incompetence in a succession of briefs manage to remain in the cabinet, but if so its a shameful dereliction of duty

    Governments ought to be selected on the basis of who has the most to offer and not on who is least threatening to the PM

    And besides May invited Boris back into government who despite his breathtaking incompetence as foreign secretary, remained a thorn in her side throughout

  37. Polltroll has pretty much nailed it. The pushy, aggressive (but not particularly talented) types like McVey, May and her team can handle. The genuine talents (and Tim is quite right…the Tories have some very bright backbenchers) are viewed with more caution.
    HH was quite prescient when he stated that McVey would never get through any leadership contest without some kind of meltdown. In turns out that she can’t even get through a (admittedly tough) Cabinet meeting without a few hissy fits. Unprofessional frankly.

  38. Tugenhat is a posh white man, which counts against him in today’s box ticking culture when it comes to government appointments. Also he is an ultra Remainer who has rebelled on many of the same Brexit votes as Soubry, Wollaston etc. I suspect that explains more than anything why he remainson the backbenches.

    McVey encompasses the very worst of Cameron’s A list experiment. A talentless shrill overpromoted nobody with a horrible voice. Good riddance to her.

    I said yesterday there would be a lot of huffing and puffing but don’t write May and her deal off yet. Mogg and the ERG have made themselves look pretty ridiculous today. As I said yesterday they are empty vessels. If they can’t get 48 letters in after a day like today they are doomed. When we really are staring right down the barrel of no deal and factories start to shut etc, MPs may well change their mind. May made clear today that she’s going nowhere unless dragged out kicking and screaming. Mogg will have to do much better than he managed today if he is to bring her down.

  39. With Turgenhat now in an important commons position any promotion would have to be at cabinet level I suspect.

  40. Issue is factories wont close till after her deal is rejected by the commons considering the vote can only be delayed so long.

  41. The deal can be voted on, rejected and brought back to the commons multiple times.

    Unless Tory MPs have the numbers to remove May, or two thirds of the commons votes for an election, this is what she will do.

    A deal might not finally be accepted by the commons till say March 28th. By that time believe me the factories will be closing.

  42. Re McVey and indeed Raab (and Mordaunt if she was going) I thought Adam Boulton on Sky had it right when he said, in response to to the resignation shock/horror, that these are hardly well-known and respected senior political figures, just little-known people who were lucky to get on the ministerial ladder.

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