Tamworth

2015 Result:
Conservative: 23606 (50%)
Labour: 12304 (26.1%)
Lib Dem: 1427 (3%)
Green: 1110 (2.4%)
UKIP: 8727 (18.5%)
MAJORITY: 11302 (24%)

Category: Safe Conservative seat

Geography: West Midlands, Staffordshire. The whole of Tamworth council area and part of Lichfield council area.

Main population centres: Tamworth, Fazeley, Shenstone, Harlaston, Elford, Little Aston.

Profile: Consists of the compact Tamworth council area itself, consisting of little more than the town itself, and some rural wards of Lichield to the west and north. Tamworth is a historic market town that ballooned after the second world war with extensive housing development to home the excess population of the urban West Midlands. The seat also contains the town of Fazeley, essentially a suburb of Tamworth, some more rural villages to the west and north and the extremely affluent suburb of Little Aston, which spills over into the area from Sutton Coldfield.

Politics: A marginal seat between the Conservatives as Labour. As South East Staffordshire it was held by the mountainous Conservative whip and former Regimental Sergeant-Major David Lightbown until his death in 1996, after which it was won by Labour on an equally mountainous 22% swing. It was won back by the Conservatives in 2010. Historically the seat is most associated with Sir Robert Peel, whose 1834 Tamworth manifesto was the foundation of the modern Conservative party. Peel`s former home, Drayton Manor, is now the site of an amusement park and zoo in the constituency.


Current MP
CHRISTOPHER PINCHER (Conservative) Born 1969, Walsall. Educated at the LSE. Former IT consultant. Contested Warley 1997, Tamworth 2005. First elected as MP for Tamworth in 2010.
Past Results
2010
Con: 21238 (46%)
Lab: 15148 (33%)
LDem: 7516 (16%)
UKIP: 2253 (5%)
Oth: 235 (1%)
MAJ: 6090 (13%)
2005
Con: 16232 (37%)
Lab: 18801 (43%)
LDem: 6175 (14%)
UKIP: 1212 (3%)
Oth: 1320 (3%)
MAJ: 2569 (6%)
2001
Con: 15124 (38%)
Lab: 19722 (49%)
LDem: 4721 (12%)
Oth: 683 (2%)
MAJ: 4598 (11%)
1997
Con: 18312 (37%)
Lab: 25808 (52%)
LDem: 4025 (8%)
Oth: 546 (1%)
MAJ: 7496 (15%)

Demographics
2015 Candidates
CHRISTOPHER PINCHER (Conservative) See above.
CAROL DEAN (Labour) Office manager for Richard Burden. Staffordshire councillor 2001-2009.
JENNY PINKETT (Liberal Democrat) Retired teacher. Contested Tamworth 1997, 2001, Cannock Chase 2005, Tamworth 2010.
JAN HIGGINS (UKIP)
NICOLA HOLMES (Green)
Links
Comments - 163 Responses on “Tamworth”
  1. At the risk of alienating their own voters

  2. Theresa May clearly never spoke to a single moderate UKIP voter at any stage, probably in the last five years.

    Some of the stuff they were coming up with, like migrant workers registers were just stupid, and wouldn’t appeal to anyone inclined to vote Tory, especially a party that had been for the previous decade on a path towards being much more socially liberal.

    I reckon that in seats with a small Conservative majority, with a sitting Tory MP who was a prominent leaver, and a decent UKIP share, the break was disproportionately high.

    Of course it took a targeted and effective campaign in order to achieve it, most stuck to the guidelines from CCHQ. Talk about Corbyn being a terror sympathiser, ‘standing with Theresa May’ and what not.

    In the last week of the campaign when it was clear she was a liability, most of them locally were still using her as figurehead on their stuff.

  3. Luke, what in your eyes is a “moderate UKIP voter”? I’m assuming you are talking about economic libertarians, but I just don’t think there are that many of those in Britain, and that they are a better fit with the Conservative Party anyway (a point that Douglas Carswell has belatedly accepted).

  4. ‘Luke, what in your eyes is a “moderate UKIP voter”? I’m assuming you are talking about economic libertarians,’

    Economic Libertarianism is in no way ‘moderate’. It’s a political philosophy that is somewhere on the radical right of the political stratosphere, which is why if they do have a home its on the right-wing fringes if the Tory Party

    I can’t imagine there being too UKIP voters who would subscribe to such a philosophy – something Farage seemed to understand much better than Carswell

  5. I wouldn’t say economic libertarianism is moderate, I’m saying that as someone who would fall into that group myself.

    The moderate UKIP voter was a staunchly anti EU Tory, or the ‘Labour used to be for the working class’ type, both socially conservative, two different groupings but both with people who didn’t feel comfortable in either main party.

    Not the NOTA or thinly veiled racists.

    Carswell’s natural constituent voters are tiny in number, would probably be lower nationally than the number of people who elected him in Clacton at the 2015 general election.

    In my view that is unfortunate, but I’m fairly relaxed about it, in the sense that there’s no chance of it changing any time soon.

  6. I suppose its moderate if we are comparing it with social extremes like Fascism and Anarchy

  7. PT is quite right, not only on May’s stance in scooping up the UKIP vote over the past 18 months, but in DC’s change under L Crosby to scrap all of the green c*ap post 2013 in order to halt the rise of UKIP which occurred under the Cameroon leadership years of 2006-2012.

    James E – it was previously Labour’s safest ward as I said. Yes, the decline over the past decade is marked and therefore very noticeable.

    Indeed a couple of posters on Vote 2012 even think the Tories notionally won the ward at the General Election.

    Tristan – I won’t bother responding specifically to your yet another rude and defamatory post about myself, save to point out that not only could it have you banned from this site, if you had used my name, I would have sought your IP address and sent yourself a cease and desist letter from a solicitor (as we have just had to do after a similarly childish poster kept making defamatory comments about my work colleague on our paper’s site). I suspect it’s simply a generational problem, but I imagine much of the ‘Twitter generation’ are going to get a shock when they enter the world of work, if they think it’s acceptable to abuse people in writing.

    I have no idea why Rivers10 believes posting election results on a psephology site is “spamming”, nor do I understand his hissy fit on comparisons. As I explained last week, Vote 2012 compares the previous 3 elections if he wants to look them up, but yes comparing with the most recent election is how change and swing is calculated. In both of the examples cited, the change was in the same direction: in the absence of UKIP (the most important factor), both Tory & Lab vote shares rose.

  8. I know economic libertarianism is in no way moderate – I was just wondering what part of the pre-collapse UKIP voters could have been given that label.

  9. Chris Pincher MP has resigned as a Whip and referred himself to the new inquiry, after Tory PPC Alex Story stated that Pincher gave him a drink that made him feel woozy and came onto him while saying, “you’ll go far in the Conservative Party” back in 2001.

    It’s also alleged that the MP felt up then Labour MP Tom Blenkinsop during the last Parliament.

  10. @JoeJamesB

    Agree with both of your predictions.

    ‘White flight’ from Birmingham has made this a very safe Tory seat now. Can’t envisage Labour winning this parliamentary seat again even in a landslide General Election which results in a Labour government.

  11. Again – Not my post above – impersonator.
    Posted by
    Real Joe James B

  12. “@JoeJamesB

    Agree with both of your predictions.

    ‘White flight’ from Birmingham has made this a very safe Tory seat now. Can’t envisage Labour winning this parliamentary seat again even in a landslide General Election which results in a Labour government.”

    In the near future, probably yes. But “ever” is a strong word. Look at how differently Merseyside and various seaside towns vote now compared to how they did a few decades ago.

  13. Glascote Ward by-election, 25.05.18 (yes, a Friday):

    Labour 490 43% (down 13%)

    Cons 478 42% (down 2%)

    UKIP 124 11% (up 11%)

    Green 55 5% (up 5%)

    Labour Hold (after a recount)

    21% Turnout.

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