South Suffolk

2015 Result:
Conservative: 27546 (53.1%)
Labour: 10001 (19.3%)
Lib Dem: 4044 (7.8%)
Green: 2253 (4.3%)
UKIP: 7897 (15.2%)
Others: 166 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 17545 (33.8%)

Category: Very safe Conservative seat

Geography: Eastern, Suffolk. The whole of the Babergh council area and two wards from the St Edmundsbury council area.

Main population centres: Sudbury, Hadleigh.

Profile: A long rural seat, stretching horizontally along Suffolk`s border with Essex, from the Shotley penisula south of Ipswich, through the Dedham Vale area of Outstanding Natural Beauty and westwards to Sudbury. The main population centres are the two historic market towns of Sudbury and Hadleigh and the villages clustered around the fringes of Ipswich, like Sproughton and Pinewood.

Politics: A safe Conservative seat, represented by the Conservative frontbencher Tim Yeo between 1983 and his retirement in 2015.


Current MP
JAMES CARTLIDGE (Conservative) Born London. Educated at Manchester University. Former businessman and former journalist. Babergh councillor since 2013. Contested Lewisham Deptford 2005. First elected as MP for Suffolk South in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 24550 (48%)
Lab: 7368 (14%)
LDem: 15861 (31%)
UKIP: 3637 (7%)
MAJ: 8689 (17%)
2005*
Con: 20471 (42%)
Lab: 11917 (24%)
LDem: 13865 (28%)
UKIP: 2454 (5%)
MAJ: 6606 (14%)
2001
Con: 18748 (41%)
Lab: 13667 (30%)
LDem: 11296 (25%)
UKIP: 1582 (3%)
MAJ: 5081 (11%)
1997
Con: 19402 (37%)
Lab: 15227 (29%)
LDem: 14395 (28%)
Oth: 211 (0%)
MAJ: 4175 (8%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JAMES CARTLIDGE (Conservative) Born London. Educated at Manchester University. Businessman and former journalist. Babergh councillor since 2013. Contested Lewisham Deptford 2005.
JANE BASHAM (Labour) Educated at Gravesend Grammar and Suffolk College. Former Chief Executive of Ipswich and Suffolk Council for Racial Equality. Contested Suffolk police commissioner 2010.
GRACE WEAVER (Liberal Democrat)
STEVEN WHALLEY (UKIP)
ROBERT LINDSAY (Green)
STEPHEN TODD (CPA)
Links
Comments - 183 Responses on “Suffolk South”
  1. Joe R – absolutely. There’s nothing moderate about some LibDem views either although they often like to portray themselves as ‘in the middle’ however wacky a Conf policy is.

  2. ‘There’s nothing moderate about some LibDem views either although they often like to portray themselves as ‘in the middle’ however wacky a Conf policy is.’

    That’s certainly true – some of the stuff they debate at conferences is very waaay-out fringe liberal, and is so PC, I find it quite off-putting – as I’m sure do many others – votes for prisoners, not allowing pubs to open late during the world cup etc

    You also wonder if the people pushing for the introduction of such ideas live on planet earth as they seem to have no idea how unpopular such things will be at large

  3. There is a considerable overlap with the kind of wacky authoritarianism you see among the Greens.

  4. They are extremely varied. Charles Kennedy and Jeremy Browne really have very little in common.

  5. That’s true, but at least all Lib Dems want to see some kind of continuation of capitalist society. My party has to accommodate those who want that, as well as those who want to put it to an end!

  6. Tim, some of those ideas may be unpopular, but they’re not exclusivly supported by Lib Dems, Greens and crack-pot, ultra PC Guardian readers.

    Means I support prisoner voting rights and am against extending pub opening hours, but then again my views on a lot of issues are a strange mix of left and right. I certainly hold some views you certainly wouldn’t associate with an average Tory voter.

  7. For the first time, the Greens are fielding a candidate here, Robert Lindsay.

  8. And I believe Robert will do rather well, Windsofchange, especially with Tim Yeo (who is somewhat more pro-environment than most Conservative MPs, as was shown by his vote for decarbonisation) out of the picture and with the Greens still quite strong in parts of Suffolk.

  9. Will he be advocating freedom for Tooting?

  10. My prediction:-
    Conservative: 45%
    Liberal Democrat: 21%
    Labour: 20%
    UKIP: 11%
    Others: 3%

  11. prediction for 2015-

    con- 44%
    lib- 20%
    lab- 15%
    UKIP- 11%

    Not too many surprises here , this is a pretty safe bet . There’s no doubt the Tories will keep this one.

  12. On what basis have you chosen the seats you are predicting so far?

  13. Conservative Candidate selection now moving:

    Ipswich Star:-
    ” . . . these applicants will be whittled down over the next few weeks and a shortlist of candidates will be drawn up.

    The new candidate will then be selected at a meeting open to all party members on the evening of Friday, July 11. ”

    http://www.ipswichstar.co.uk/news/south_suffolk_tories_start_search_for_yeo_s_successor_1_3593924?usurv=skip

    BR

  14. Grace Weaver selected by LDs:

    https://twitter.com/gracelibdem

  15. James Cartlidge selected by Conservatives.

  16. ‘James Cartlidge selected by Conservatives’

    Despite looking like a Scolt, Cartlidge’s right-wing credenbtials are pretty impeccible

    He was a leader writer for the Daily Telegraph before setting up his own business 10 years ago

    Seems very much to the right of Tim Yeo – which I suspect was the real reason behind the latter’s de-selection

  17. UKIP have now selected their candidate, which means there’s a full lineup of candidates from the main parties:

    Con: James Cartlidge
    Lab: Jane Basham
    LD: Grace Weaver
    UKIP: Steven Whalley
    Greens: Robert Lindsay

  18. Labour are all over South Suffolk and the energy for change is clearly in the air

  19. Conservative Hold. 12,000 maj.

  20. Former MP Tim Yeo loses his libel case against The Sunday Times over a “cash for advocacy” claim.

    See http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-34921715

    Mr Yeo will have to pay costs north of £400K.

    BR

  21. Nice to hear from you again Blake. Were you surprised by the result in Ipswich?

  22. I am mildly amused by the comment here on April 22 that ‘Labour are all over South Suffolk and the energy for change is clearly in the air’. Trying to work out whether it was delusional or ironic.

  23. Look back earlier and you might see some amusing comments about what a stand-up, pro-EU chap Tim Yeo is as well.

  24. Yeo’s lack of morality/decency in his private life clearly reflected a similar absence of shame in his political career and business dealings. In retrospect his constituency party should have booted him out after the back to basics row.

  25. Indeed.

  26. As well as being ordered to pay £500,000 costs within 28 days, Tim Yeo is now facing a criminal prosecution for perjury.

    The decision is currently with an SIO/the CPS.

    Mr Justice Warby described Yeo’s evidence variously, as:

    “false, dishonest, not credible, implausible and clearly untrue and close to absurd!”

    The Court ruled that Yeo had known that the emails referred to payments and to state he was not interested in money was so untrue to be a bizarre submission.

    Separately, police are investigating alleged expenses’ fraud by 2 MPs and a Parliamentary aide, after receiving paperwork from an IPSA employee who spotted the irregularities.

  27. If prosecuted for perjury, Yeo would join the ranks of other ex-Tory MPs Archer & Aitken, of course.

  28. Even if Tim Yeo were found guilty of perjury and he is of course innocent until and unless he is found guilty, I cannot see it as having much political effect in a rock-solid Conservative seat like this.

  29. “I cannot see it as having much political effect in a rock-solid Conservative seat like this.”

    Not having much is perhaps too charitable. It’ll have zero political effect.

  30. Would have had very little effect if Yeo was still the sitting MP, given that he’s not it will have absolutely zero as Neil says.

  31. The Tories have lost the Suffolk County Council seat of Hadleigh to the LibDems which means the Tories lose control. Some unhappiness with the Tories round here ; too many landowners cashing on the housing boom in a crass way.South Norfolk seems to have that complaint.

  32. Labour has gained the Sudbury South ward in a Babergh council by-election, but by only one vote. Labour’s candidate was the controversial Luke Cresswell. Rather remarkably, the Conservative candidate was called S.Sudbury.

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