Stoke-on-Trent North

2015 Result:
Conservative: 10593 (27.8%)
Labour: 15429 (40.4%)
Lib Dem: 1137 (3%)
Green: 1091 (2.9%)
UKIP: 9542 (25%)
Independent: 354 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 4836 (12.7%)

Category: Safe Labour seat

Geography: West Midlands, Staffordshire. Part of the Stoke-on-Trent council area.

Main population centres: Burslem, Tunstall, Kidsgrove.

Profile: Stoke-on-Trent is actually an amalgamation of six towns, heavily associated with the industrial pottery industry. The most famous British pottery brands such as Wedgwood and Spode are all based in or around Stoke. This is also a former coal mining area, with the last coal mine in Stoke closing in the 1990s. Stoke-on-Trent North covers the northernmost two of the six towns, Burslem and Tunstall, as well as the town of Kidsgrove.

Politics: Stoke is a city that is solidly Labour and Stoke-on-Trent North has been held by Labour since its creation in 1950.


Current MP
RUTH SMEETH (Labour) Educated at Birmingham University. Former Deputy Director of Hope not Hate and trade union officer. Contested Burton 2010. First elected as MP for Stoke-on-Trent North in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 9580 (24%)
Lab: 17815 (44%)
LDem: 7120 (18%)
BNP: 3196 (8%)
Oth: 2485 (6%)
MAJ: 8235 (20%)
2005*
Con: 6155 (20%)
Lab: 16191 (53%)
LDem: 4561 (15%)
BNP: 2132 (7%)
Oth: 1721 (6%)
MAJ: 10036 (33%)
2001
Con: 5676 (19%)
Lab: 17460 (58%)
LDem: 3580 (12%)
Oth: 3399 (11%)
MAJ: 11784 (39%)
1997
Con: 7798 (20%)
Lab: 25190 (65%)
LDem: 4141 (11%)
MAJ: 17392 (45%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
BEN ADAMS (Conservative)
RUTH SMEETH (Labour) Educated at Birmingham University. Deputy Director of Hope not Hate and former trade union officer. Contested Burton 2010.
PAUL ROBERTS (Liberal Democrat)
GEOFF LOCKE (UKIP) Contested Stoke on Trent North 2010.
SEAN ADAM (Green)
JOHN MILLWARD (Independent)
CRAIG POND (Independent)
Links
Comments - 135 Responses on “Stoke-on-Trent North”
  1. Also, MRNAMELESS, surely the fact that membership went up under miliband underlines the decline during the blair years? The return of the left must have started before Corbyn’s candidacy (presumably helping him in his election?).

  2. MPR – Thanks!

  3. This whole argument that MPs shouldn’t agitate against a ‘democratically elected leader’ and that it makes them traitors, etc… In 1988 there was a leader who had been democratically elected by all 3 sections of the electorate (PLP, unions/affiliates and members). Tony Bennett stood against him because he didn’t like his policies, and helping to orchestrate the challenge was… Jeremy Corbyn.

  4. No problem with challenges, it is the scale of this and its wanton disregard for the members, the dishonesty of it (that it is a reaction to Corbyn’s performance) plus the obvious dirty and inflammatory tactics. As I say, a small number of Labour MPs certainly deserve deselection.

  5. EcoW – re inflammatory, Jezza’s managed it again.

    The Chief Rabbi and former Chief Rabbi are outraged that he equated Israel with Islamic State!

    Oh and a Corbynista at the launch of an Anti-Semitism report, blamed a Jewish Labour MP for being behind the row with her friends in the media – so she walked out and JC said nothing.

    He really has surpassed himself for PR disasters this week.

  6. Ecowirral: what is the point in threatening deselections? It certainly won’t work as a deterrent – these MPs, who are loyal to the party rather than its leader, won’t recoil from standing up for their beliefs, just as Jeremy is refusing to back down from his.

  7. LANCS OBSERVER- He didn’t “equate israel and ISIS”. He equated british jews to british muslims-read the quote. Had David Cameron or Tony Blair said exactly the same thing, no-one would have made a peep!

    POLLTROLL -I don’t think they should threaten deselections. I think local parties should deselect MPs whose behaviour is dishonest and against their party. It isn’t because they disagree-it is because their behaviour in the 3 cases I mention was beyond the pale.

  8. UKIP would need a 5.71% swing to win the new Stoke North constituency.

  9. I personally favour reselection. I agree you shouldn’t reselect on the basis of disagreement. However, I’ve been speaking to a branch chair who plans on challenging his local councillor because this councillor is a bully. They can do that because councillors aren’t automatically reselected. I don’t think he’s being cowardly, anyonev who stands up to a bully is brave imo.

  10. “New Times: John Harris on why Labour is losing its heartland

    Conventional class-consciousness has been overtaken by collective resentment. We must face the fact Labour as we know it may very well soon not exist.”

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2016/09/new-times-john-harris-why-labour-losing-its-heartland

  11. By putting an X next to their candidate of choice 😉

  12. I would be pretty surprised if Labour survived with all of its Potteries seats in tact.

  13. From the Staffordshire County Council elections, Stoke-on-Trent North divisions for the parliamentary seat:

    Conservative: 1 – 2,099
    Labour: 1 – 2,760

    It’s worth noting, though the Conservatives won an impressive victory in the Kidsgrove division, the independent candidate (elected as a Labour cllr in 2013) split the Labour vote, allowing the Conservatives in.

    Stoke-on-Trent North is on a knife edge.

  14. Hmm, surely Labour are stronger in the bits of Stoke North actually within the city itself?

    So that result doesn’t make it look like the Tories are heading for victory here.

  15. I don’t think the locals are a very good guide to how people will vote in June- especially in the Midlands and North.
    I know this is anecdotal, but I know a lot of people in the Manchester region who were happy to vote for Andy Burnham but will be voting Conservative in June. My mother has voted Labour her whole life but will be voting Tory to keep Jeremy Corbyn out. I hope this doesn’t sound too impartial as I’m just trying to get across how despised he really is. It won’t just be UKIP supporters voting for May but life long Labour supporters. Seats such as this with a large UKIP vote and less than 5k majority should be easy pickings.

  16. ‘Hard to fathom that we’re talking about safe Labour seats like Mansfield and Stoke North as being on a “knife edge”…’

    Not really, when you consider who the leader of the Labour Party is…

    Plus, in the case of Mansfield and perhaps this too I doubt they can truly even be said to be on a knife-edge – the Cons should win them fairly comfortably.

  17. The current national Lab>Con swing is around 4-5% compared to 2015. Account for very Leave constituencies with high UKIP votes from 2015 likely having much larger swings and the Tories should, if polls are correct, be ahead fairly comfortably in Mansfield and Stoke North.

    And my ultimate prediction at the moment is that polls are still over-stating Labour and the eventual Con majority could therefore be as much as 200.

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