Stoke-on-Trent Central

2015 Result:
Conservative: 7008 (22.5%)
Labour: 12220 (39.3%)
Lib Dem: 1296 (4.2%)
Green: 1123 (3.6%)
UKIP: 7041 (22.7%)
Independent: 2120 (6.8%)
Others: 276 (0.9%)
MAJORITY: 5179 (16.7%)

Category: Safe Labour seat

Geography: West Midlands, Staffordshire. Part of the Stoke-on-Trent council area and part of the Newcastle under Lyme council area.

Main population centres: Stoke, Hanley.

Profile: Stoke-on-Trent is actually an amalgamation of six towns, heavily associated with the industrial pottery industry. The most famous British pottery brands such as Wedgwood and Spode are all based in or around Stoke. This is also a former coal mining area, with the last coal mine in Stoke closing in the 1990s. Stoke-on-Trent Central covers the middle two of the six towns, Stoke and Hanley, which forms the city centre and main retail centre for Stoke as a whole.

Politics: Stoke is a city that is solidly Labour and Stoke-on-Trent Central has been held by Labour since its creation in 1950. Tristram Hunt`s select as Labour candidate here in 2010 was controversial, his (even more well-heeled) predecessor Mark Fisher stood down at a late stage due to ill-health meaning a shortlist for the Stoke Central seat was imposed by the national Labour party and did not feature any local candidates. Hunt was returned with a comfortable 17% majority but it is a sign of just how safe this seat was that this was the lowest ever Labour majority here. In 2015 Hunt's majority remained stable, but UKIP replaced the Liberal Democrats in second place.

Current MP
TRISTRAM HUNT (Labour) Born 1974. Educated at University College School and Cambridge University. Former Historian, journalist and broadcaster. First elected as MP for Stoke on Trent Central in 2010. Shadow Education Secretary 2013-2015. Declined to serve under Jeremy Corbyn.
Past Results
Con: 6833 (21%)
Lab: 12605 (39%)
LDem: 7039 (22%)
BNP: 2502 (8%)
Oth: 3491 (11%)
MAJ: 5566 (17%)
Con: 4823 (17%)
Lab: 14760 (53%)
LDem: 4986 (18%)
BNP: 2178 (8%)
Oth: 1160 (4%)
MAJ: 9774 (35%)
Con: 5325 (19%)
Lab: 17170 (61%)
LDem: 4148 (15%)
Oth: 1657 (6%)
MAJ: 11845 (42%)
Con: 6738 (17%)
Lab: 26662 (66%)
LDem: 4809 (12%)
Oth: 965 (2%)
MAJ: 19924 (50%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

2015 Candidates
LIAM ASCOUGH (Conservative)
TRISTRAM HUNT (Labour) See above.
ZULFIQAR ALI (Liberal Democrat) Cardiologist. Contested Stoke on Trent South 2010.
MARK BREEZE (Independent)
Comments - 1,707 Responses on “Stoke-on-Trent Central”
  1. PAUL H-J – Ah…..I see you haven’t ruled out a shock Green victory?

  2. I liked Poll Troll’s interesting, if somewhat gloomy post about the generation gap. I am an exception to the rule in that I am a millennial by birth but not by lifestyle or outlook (I am a young fogey and a mortgagor). Therefore whilst I can understand some of my generation’s gripes, I tend to make common cause with older people on most issues.

  3. I thought it was a pretty feeble whinge really, which could have been indulged in by anyone in a younger age group at any time over the last century or so.

    Probably longer.

  4. “I thought it was a pretty feeble whinge really…”

    Hear, hear!

    Though, in all serious, my point was not the whole “baby boomers have ruined my life” rant you would get from some of my “progressive” peers, who seem to think that demonising old people is fine. It is merely that we are very different – society is delineated by age more than by any other demographic marker.

    Indeed, it is this stratification by age that leads to the cognitive dissonance whereby young people who are generally so inclusive can be so dismissive of the old. A century ago white people didn’t mix with black people and that meant most white people were racist. Now young and old don’t mix and that leads to intergenerational grievances.

  5. Is it really any different from say the 1960s?

  6. Yes. In the 1960s there was less mixing across all identity and class divisions. The working classes, for example, had a social life based largely around their work – after a day down t’ pit they would retire to a union-sponsored drinking establishment – and this kept the working classes siloed away from the middle classes. Immigrant communities often had a poor grasp of English and hence kept to each others’ company. Integration is far from perfect nowadays but it is certainly better, and Facebook & friends are accelerating its development (at least among youths).

    But the one area where this is not true is age. Family no longer defines us in the way that it used to – indeed one of the failures of traditional conservatism over the last fifty years is the collapse of the nuclear family as a basis for the growth of society. (It says something that people barely even think of the family as a conservative ideal any more.) As families have grown ever more distant, with most millennials now only seeing their elder relatives at occasional family get-togethers, which they attend out of a sense of obligation rather than enthusiasm – and when they do appear, elderly people present to the younger generation a test of endurance (“Sorry, what did you say?” “I SAID I THINK YOU NEED TO TURN YOUR HEARING AID ON!”), rather than a source of wisdom. As a result, young people treat the elderly as an “other”, in much the same way that white, working-class communities treat immigrants – in both cases it’s because they never actually see them in real life.

  7. Nah.

    When my father was in his 20s in the 1960s he didn’t hang out with old people. Nor did I when I was in my 20s. I often got bored visiting older relatives as well. I get bored with my father’s deafness now as well.

    None of this is new.

  8. “PAUL H-J – Ah…..I see you haven’t ruled out a shock Green victory?”
    In terms of “Swing required” technically Stoke Central is/was Green target number #12..

  9. I learnt to sign but then my brothers were born Deaf

  10. Polltroll – the only observations I’d make on your thoughts are:

    there were hardly any (we didn’t mix with black people 100 years ago);

    pensioners only make up 15% (the only reason they exert more political power is that they’re 3 times more likely to vote than young people).

    segregation has actually increased in some areas.

    Where young people do have a tough time is reality: ie all of the things OAPs fear (crime, terrorism and so on) are in fact far more likely to be inflicted upon young people.

  11. No UKIP candidate here. Think it may help labour actually, doubt the core UKIP vote who were planning to cast a ballot for them on June 8th will be that favourable to tories at all.

  12. Apparntley that is not actually true and UKIP are standing here

  13. Yes I was mislead by Election Data tweets. It’s Stoke North and South where they aren’t standing.

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